Lens vs Como Prédiction

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
FT
Post on X
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Prédiction IA Como ou match nul
25%
26%
50%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Lens vs Como : Sportiko estime que Lens a 25% de chances de s'imposer, Como 50% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 4 Nov 2026, 21:56.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
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Match Report

Lens suffered a humiliating 9–1 defeat to Como in the UEFA Champions League league stage, one of the most one-sided results in the competition's recent history. Anastasios Douvikas set the tone early with a seventh-minute opener, and despite a VAR-cancelled Lens penalty in the 17th minute, the Greek striker added a second before Nico Paz made it 3–0 by half-time.

The rout continued after the break as Como showed no mercy. Lucas Da Cunha, Marc-Oliver Kempf, and Douvikas — completing his hat-trick — struck in quick succession to make it 6–0 before the hour mark. Mattia Liberali, Ruben Aguilar, and Martin Baturina then added further goals between the 62nd and 69th minutes, with Como's dominance reflected in their expected goals figure of 3.86 against Lens's meagre 0.85. A late goal in stoppage time, confirmed by VAR, completed the extraordinary scoreline.

The result was a comprehensive vindication of the pre-match analysis, with our AI model having rated a Como victory as the most likely outcome at 50%. Lens were outclassed in every department, managing just three shots on target across the entire match.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 7'
Anastasios Douvikas assist: Máximo Perrone
Florian Thauvin Penalty cancelled
17' 🖵
⚽ 0–2 32'
Anastasios Douvikas assist: Álex Valle
Samson Baidoo Yellow Card
34' ▮
⚽ 0–3 40'
Nico Paz assist: Anastasios Douvikas
Michał Skóraś ⇄ Saud Abdulhamid
45' ⇄
Franjo Ivanović ⇄ Mezian Mesloub
45' ⇄
HT 0–3
⚽ 0–4 47'
Lucas Da Cunha assist: Nico Paz
⚽ 0–5 53'
Marc-Oliver Kempf assist: Luis Milla
⚽ 0–6 57'
Anastasios Douvikas assist: Nico Paz
⇄ 58'
Luis Milla ⇄ Samuele Ricci
⇄ 58'
Nico Paz ⇄ Martin Baturina
⇄ 58'
Lucas Da Cunha ⇄ Mattia Liberali
⇄ 61'
Anastasios Douvikas
⚽ 0–7 62'
Mattia Liberali assist: Jacobo Ramón
Ruben Aguilar assist: Florian Thauvin
65' ⚽ 1–7
⚽ 1–8 69'
Martin Baturina assist: Mattia Liberali
Florian Thauvin ⇄ Junior Kadile
70' ⇄
Amadou Haidara ⇄ Andrija Bulatovic
70' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Marc-Oliver Kempf ⇄ Ivan Smolčić
Michaël Cuisance Yellow Card
75' ▮
⚽ 1–9 90+1'
assist: Mattia Liberali
🖵 90+2'
Goal confirmed
FT 1–9
Lens

Match Stats

Como
42% Ball Possession 58%
0.85 Expected Goals (xG) 3.86
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Goal 12
6 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 16
3 Shots outsidebox 2
5 Corner Kicks 5
0 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
457 Total passes 647
396 Passes accurate 591
11 Free Kicks 12
Lens
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Ruben Aguilar D 7.3 90' 1 – 1 70 (63%) 3
10 Florian Thauvin M 6.7 70' – 1 1 24 (21%) –
27 Michaël Cuisance M 6.5 90' – – 1 42 (40%) 3
9 Thorgan Hazard M 6.4 90' – – 3 24 (19%) 4
21 Amadou Haidara M 6.3 70' – – 1 25 (22%) 4
28 Junior Kadile F 6.3 20' – – 1 9 (7%) –
29 Franjo Ivanović F 6.1 46' – – 1 10 (7%) –
14 Matthieu Udol M 6.1 90' – – 2 43 (37%) –
5 Andrija Bulatovic M 5.9 20' – – – 18 (16%) –
40 Robin Risser G 5.8 90' – – – 32 (26%) 1
22 Michał Skóraś M 5.8 46' – – – 13 (8%) –
23 Saud Abdulhamid D 5.7 44' – – – 18 (15%) 1
38 Mezian Mesloub M 5.7 44' – – – 20 (14%) –
6 Samson Baidoo D 5.6 90' – – – 59 (54%) 1
32 Kyllian Antonio D 5.5 90' – – – 60 (57%) 2
Como
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Anastasios Douvikas F 10.0 61' 3 1 3 6 (5%) –
10 Nico Paz M 9.1 58' 1 2 4 35 (26%) 1
30 Mattia Liberali M 8.5 32' 1 2 1 22 (21%) 2
7 Lucas Da Cunha M 8.0 58' 1 – 3 39 (35%) –
2 Marc-Oliver Kempf D 7.8 72' 1 – 1 59 (53%) 1
5 Máximo Perrone M 7.7 90' – 1 2 84 (81%) 1
6 Luis Milla M 7.7 58' – 1 – 44 (41%) 1
20 Martin Baturina M 7.4 32' 1 – 1 19 (16%) 1
4 Jacobo Ramón D 7.4 90' – 1 – 86 (77%) 3
3 Álex Valle D 7.3 90' – 1 – 50 (46%) 1
21 Samuele Ricci M 7.0 32' – – – 41 (41%) 1
1 Jean Butez G 6.9 90' – – – 32 (31%) –
28 Ivan Smolčić D 6.8 18' – – – 22 (20%) –
27 Yan Couto D 6.6 90' – – 2 52 (48%) –
8 Maxence Caqueret M 6.5 90' – – – 52 (47%) 4
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Confidence Low (50%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Como ou match nul
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Lens
LLWLW
Como
WWWWW

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Como now leads 1-9 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Como leads 1-8. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

70' Goal 85% sure

Como now leads 1-8 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 49.6%.

65' Goal 85% sure

Como now leads 1-7 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 57.3%.

62' Goal 85% sure

Como now leads 0-7 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 61.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
25%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
50%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lens

No scorer data.

Como
T. Douvikas 6 gls
N. Paz 3 gls

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Head to Head: Lens vs Como

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Lens — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov H Como L 1 - 9
30 Oct A Lille L 1 - 0
24 Oct H Paris FC W 2 - 1
21 Oct A Club Brugge KV L 3 - 0
17 Oct A Estac Troyes W 1 - 3

Como — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov A Lens W 1 - 9
01 Nov H Venezia W 1 - 0
27 Oct A Torino W 1 - 3
24 Oct H Sassuolo W 2 - 0
21 Oct H Manchester United W 4 - 1

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
4 4 0 0 +15 12
2
Real Madrid
4 4 0 0 +6 12
3
Arsenal
4 3 1 0 +5 10
4
Como
4 3 0 1 +13 9
5
Barcelona
4 3 0 1 +8 9
6
Aston Villa
4 3 0 1 +6 9
7
Manchester City
4 3 0 1 +5 9
8
Liverpool
4 3 0 1 +4 9
9
Club Brugge KV
4 3 0 1 +4 9
10
Sporting CP
4 3 0 1 +4 9
11
Real Betis
4 3 0 1 +2 9
12
Borussia Dortmund
4 3 0 1 +2 9
13
Bayern München
4 2 2 0 +7 8
14
VfB Stuttgart
4 2 1 1 +3 7
15
Inter
4 2 0 2 +2 6
16
Lask Linz
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Manchester United
4 2 0 2 0 6
18
Galatasaray
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Fenerbahçe
4 1 2 1 -5 5
20
AS Roma
4 1 1 2 +2 4
21
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 1 1 2 0 4
22
Viking
4 1 1 2 -1 4
23
Atletico Madrid
4 1 1 2 -1 4
24
PSV Eindhoven
4 1 1 2 -1 4
25
Bodo/Glimt
4 1 1 2 -5 4
26
FC Porto
4 1 0 3 -1 3
27
Napoli
4 1 0 3 -5 3
28
Villarreal
4 1 0 3 -6 3
29
AEK Athens FC
4 1 0 3 -6 3
30
RB Leipzig
4 1 0 3 -6 3
31
Sabah FA
4 1 0 3 -6 3
32
Feyenoord
4 1 0 3 -7 3
33
Lens
4 1 0 3 -12 3
34
Slavia Praha
4 0 1 3 -4 1
35
Lille
4 0 1 3 -6 1
36
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 -16 0

Lens

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
40 Risser
32 Antonio
6 Baidoo
2 Aguilar
14 Udol
21 Haidara
27 Cuisance
22 Skóraś
9 Hazard
10 Thauvin
29 Ivanović

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 R. Risser G
2 R. Aguilar D
6 S. Baidoo D
32 K. Antonio D
22 M. Skóraś M
27 M. Cuisance M
21 A. Haidara M
14 M. Udol M
10 F. Thauvin M
9 T. Hazard M
29 F. Ivanović F

Substitutes

7 F. Sotoca F
31 S. Sagnan D
38 M. Soares M
28 J. Kadile F
1 R. Gurtner G
24 J. Gradit D
16 M. Gorgelin G
4 N. Čelik D
8 Y. Titraoui M
20 J. Todibo D
23 Saud Abdulhamid D
5 A. Bulatović M

Como

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Cesc Fàbregas
1 Butez
3 Valle
2 Kempf
4 Naveros
27 Couto
6 Milla
5 Perrone
8 Caqueret
10 Paz
7 Cunha
9 Douvikas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Butez G
27 Yan Couto D
4 Jacobo Ramón Naveros D
2 M. Kempf D
3 Álex Valle D
5 M. Perrone M
6 Luis Milla M
7 L. da Cunha M
10 N. Paz M
8 M. Caqueret M
9 T. Douvikas F

Substitutes

13 A. Dossena D
12 Lorenzo Luigi Ginelli G
16 Kaiki D
30 M. Liberali M
21 S. Ricci M
97 Robert Sánchez G
20 M. Baturina M
28 I. Smolčić D
54 Matteo Papaccioli M
52 Federico Grilli D

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