FC Porto vs Napoli Prédiction
Pronostic FC Porto vs Napoli : Sportiko estime que FC Porto a 50% de chances de s'imposer, Napoli 23% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 4 Nov 2026, 21:54.
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Match Report
FC Porto claimed a commanding 4–1 victory over Napoli in the UEFA Champions League league stage, though the match was far more competitive than the scoreline suggests. Jan Bednarek opened the scoring for Porto in the 11th minute, only for Scott McTominay to level things up just before half-time, capping a feisty first half that saw five yellow cards distributed across both sides.
Porto took control after the break, with Gabri Veiga restoring the home side's lead on 71 minutes before being substituted off shortly after. Napoli's resistance crumbled further when Jakub Kiwior added a third on 80 minutes, and a red card for Rafa Marín in the 88th minute compounded the visitors' misery. Samu wrapped up the scoring from the penalty spot in stoppage time to seal an emphatic result. The pre-match AI model had rated a Porto win as the most likely outcome at 50%, a call that proved correct.
Despite Napoli enjoying marginally more possession and generating a significantly higher expected goals figure of 2.75 compared to Porto's 1.27, it was the home side who proved ruthlessly clinical, converting six of their eleven shots to secure a decisive three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
FC Porto
Match Stats
FC Porto
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Gabri Veiga M | 8.9 | 78' | 1 | 1 | 4 | 49 (39%) | 2 |
| 5 Jan Bednarek D | 8.1 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 57 (55%) | 2 |
| 4 Jakub Kiwior D | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 68 (66%) | 1 |
| 9 Samu F | 7.8 | 34' | 1 | – | 2 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 29 Santiago Giménez F | 7.2 | 23' | – | 1 | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 99 Diogo Costa G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (36%) | – |
| 52 Martim Fernandes D | 6.8 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 26 (24%) | 1 |
| 16 Hwang In-beom M | 6.7 | 12' | – | 1 | – | 11 (11%) | 1 |
| 8 Victor Froholdt M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (22%) | 1 |
| 20 Alberto Costa D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 50 (43%) | 3 |
| 17 Borja Sainz F | 6.5 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 18 (16%) | – |
| 19 André Silva F | 6.4 | 56' | – | – | – | 18 (11%) | – |
| 42 Seko Fofana M | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 12 Zaidu Sanusi D | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | – |
| 11 Pepê F | 6.2 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 41 (33%) | – |
| 13 Pablo Rosario M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 67 (56%) | 3 |
Napoli
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Scott McTominay M | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 39 (34%) | 1 |
| 70 N. Lang F | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 21 Matteo Politano M | 6.5 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 27 (23%) | 1 |
| 11 Kevin De Bruyne F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (44%) | – |
| 23 Giovane F | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 19 Rasmus Højlund F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 17 (8%) | – |
| 20 Lorenzo Lucca F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 6 Billy Gilmour M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 64 (55%) | 1 |
| 31 Sam Beukema D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (42%) | – |
| 99 Frank Anguissa M | 5.9 | 78' | – | – | – | 41 (36%) | – |
| 1 Alex Meret G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (22%) | – |
| 13 Amir Rrahmani D | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (45%) | 2 |
| 26 Antonio Vergara M | 5.2 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 30 (24%) | 3 |
| 16 Rafa Marín D | 5.1 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 60 (52%) | 4 |
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At a glance
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FC Porto now leads 4-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.
Min 83: FC Porto leads 3-1. Win probability: 99.7%. Comeback chance: 0.3%.
FC Porto now leads 3-1 with 99.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 24%.
Min 75: FC Porto leads 2-1. Win probability: 87.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 12.3%.
Goal! Score now 2-1. FC Porto win: 85.8%. BTTS: 100%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FC Porto vs Napoli
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
FC Porto — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | H Napoli | W | 4 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Estoril | W | 4 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | H Academico Viseu | W | 1 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A GIL Vicente | W | 0 - 1 |
| 20 Oct | H PSV Eindhoven | L | 0 - 1 |
Napoli — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Lazio | D | 1 - 1 |
| 04 Nov | A FC Porto | L | 4 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Juventus | L | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Monza | W | 1 - 4 |
| 24 Oct | H AS Roma | D | 3 - 3 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |
Como
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |
Manchester City
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |
Club Brugge KV
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Inter
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Lask Linz
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Manchester United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |
Galatasaray
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Fenerbahçe
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |
AS Roma
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |
Viking
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |
Atletico Madrid
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |
FC Porto
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |
Sabah FA
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |
Feyenoord
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |
Lens
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
Napoli
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: M. Allegri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Meret | G |
| 31 | S. Beukema | D |
| 13 | Amir Rrahmani | D |
| 16 | Rafa Marín | D |
| 21 | M. Politano | M |
| 99 | A. Zambo Anguissa | M |
| 8 | S. McTominay | M |
| 26 | A. Vergara | M |
| 6 | B. Gilmour | M |
| 19 | R. Højlund | F |
| 11 | K. De Bruyne | F |
Substitutes
| 32 | V. Milinković-Savić | G |
| 20 | L. Lucca | F |
| 14 | N. Contini | G |
| 23 | Giovane | F |
| 70 | N. Lang | F |
| 40 | C. Lieto | D |
| 38 | A. Chiummariello | M |
FC Porto
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: F. Farioli
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Diogo Costa | G |
| 20 | Alberto Baio | D |
| 5 | J. Bednarek | D |
| 4 | J. Kiwior | D |
| 52 | Martim Fernandes | D |
| 8 | Victor Mow Froholdt | M |
| 13 | P. Rosario | M |
| 10 | Gabri Veiga | M |
| 11 | Pepê Aquino | F |
| 19 | André Silva | F |
| 17 | Borja Sainz | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | Z. Sanusi | D |
| 22 | A. Varela | M |
| 33 | Souza | D |
| 9 | Samu | F |
| 14 | Cláudio Ramos | G |
| 24 | Andorinha | G |
| 42 | S. Fofana | M |
| 29 | S. Giménez | F |
| 16 | Hwang In-Beom | M |
| 74 | Francisco Moura | D |
| 18 | N. Pérez | D |
| 77 | O. Pietuszewski | F |