Liverpool vs Chelsea Prédiction

League Cup League Cup · Round of 16
FT
Post on X
Anfield, Liverpool
Prédiction IA Liverpool ou match nul
42%
26%
32%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Liverpool vs Chelsea : Sportiko estime que Liverpool a 42% de chances de s'imposer, Chelsea 32% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 28 Oct 2026, 22:13.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline

Lewis Koumas Yellow Card
11' ▮
James McConnell Yellow Card
21' ▮
⚽ 0–1 40'
Morgan Rogers Penalty
C. Gakpo Penalty
43' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 45+1'
Maxence Lacroix ⇄ Levi Colwill
HT 1–1
▮ 50'
Josh Acheampong Yellow Card
Lewis Koumas ⇄ Bradley Barcola
59' ⇄
James McConnell ⇄ Florian Wirtz
59' ⇄
⇄ 68'
Danny Welbeck ⇄ Emmanuel Emegha
⇄ 68'
Malo Gusto ⇄ Marco Palestra
⇄ 68'
Moisés Caicedo ⇄ Valentín Barco
V. van Dijk ⇄ Jérémy Jacquet
72' ⇄
▮ 73'
Roméo Lavia Yellow Card
Trey Nyoni ⇄ Alexis Mac Allister
81' ⇄
Rio Ngumoha ⇄ Alexander Isak
82' ⇄
Alexis Mac Allister Penalty
91' ⚽ 2–1
⚽ 2–2 92'
Pedro Neto Penalty
Alexander Isak Penalty
93' ⚽ 3–2
⚽ 3–3 94'
Morgan Rogers Penalty
C. Gakpo Penalty
94' ⚽ 4–3
⚽ 4–4 95'
Roméo Lavia Penalty
Florian Wirtz Penalty
96' ⚽ 5–4
✗ 97'
Valentín Barco Missed Penalty
Konstantinos Tsimikas Missed Penalty
98' ✗
⚽ 5–5 99'
Jordan Henderson Penalty
Bradley Barcola Penalty
100' ⚽ 6–5
⚽ 6–6 101'
Levi Colwill Penalty
R. Gravenberch Missed Penalty
101' ✗
✗ 102'
Emmanuel Emegha Missed Penalty
Joe Gomez Penalty
103' ⚽ 7–6
✗ 104'
Wesley Fofana Missed Penalty
FT 1–1
Liverpool

Match Stats

Chelsea
52% Ball Possession 48%
2.19 Expected Goals (xG) 1.88
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
1 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 3
7 Corner Kicks 5
1 Offsides 3
12 Fouls 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
441 Total passes 422
347 Passes accurate 334
8 Free Kicks 10
Liverpool
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 C. Gakpo F 7.2 90' 1 – 2 21 (15%) 1
4 V. van Dijk D 6.8 72' – – 1 47 (41%) –
33 Ronald Araújo D 6.6 90' – – 3 59 (46%) –
42 Trey Nyoni M 6.6 81' – – 1 76 (65%) 2
29 Bradley Barcola F 6.5 31' – – 2 10 (10%) 1
9 Alexander Isak F 6.4 8' – – – 3 (3%) –
25 Giorgi Mamardashvili G 6.4 90' – – – 34 (20%) –
10 Alexis Mac Allister M 6.3 9' – – – 14 (13%) 1
5 Jérémy Jacquet D 6.3 18' – – – 16 (13%) –
38 R. Gravenberch M 6.2 90' – – – 28 (22%) 2
21 Konstantinos Tsimikas D 6.2 90' – – – 40 (29%) –
73 Rio Ngumoha M 6.1 82' – – – 23 (16%) 1
67 Lewis Koumas M 6.1 59' – – – 7 (7%) –
53 James McConnell M 6.0 59' – – – 11 (11%) 2
7 Florian Wirtz M 5.9 31' – – 1 11 (7%) –
2 Joe Gomez D 5.8 90' – – – 41 (29%) 2
Chelsea
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Morgan Rogers M 7.6 90' 1 – 6 24 (19%) –
3 Wesley Fofana D 6.8 90' – – – 47 (39%) 3
5 Maxence Lacroix D 6.7 46' – – – 41 (36%) –
25 Moisés Caicedo M 6.6 68' – – 1 38 (31%) 3
7 Pedro Neto M 6.5 90' – – 1 35 (31%) –
45 Roméo Lavia M 6.5 90' – – – 43 (39%) 2
22 Emmanuel Emegha F 6.4 22' – – – 3 (2%) –
6 Levi Colwill D 6.4 44' – – 1 16 (15%) –
4 Valentín Barco M 6.3 22' – – – 11 (6%) 2
14 Jordan Henderson M 6.3 90' – – – 58 (46%) 1
27 Malo Gusto D 6.2 68' – – – 30 (21%) –
18 Danny Welbeck F 6.2 68' – – – 11 (10%) –
2 Marco Palestra D 6.1 22' – – 1 7 (6%) 1
39 Mike Penders G 6.0 90' – – – 35 (19%) –
34 Josh Acheampong D 5.9 90' – – 1 23 (14%) 3
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Liverpool ou match nul
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Liverpool
LLDWW
Chelsea
WDLWW
Last 3 meetings Liverpool · 0W 1D 2L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
42%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
32%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Liverpool

No scorer data.

Chelsea
D. Welbeck 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Liverpool vs Chelsea

0 Liverpool Wins
1 Draws
2 Chelsea Wins
Date Home Score Away
09 May 2026 Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea
04 Oct 2025 Chelsea 2 - 1 Liverpool
04 May 2025 Chelsea 3 - 1 Liverpool
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Liverpool — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov A Fenerbahçe L 3 - 2
01 Nov H Arsenal L 0 - 1
28 Oct H Chelsea D 1 - 1
25 Oct H Brighton W 2 - 0
20 Oct H Villarreal W 4 - 3

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct H Manchester United W 2 - 0
28 Oct A Liverpool D 1 - 1
24 Oct H Tottenham L 0 - 2
17 Oct A Everton W 0 - 2
10 Oct H Bournemouth W 5 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Liverpool

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Andoni Iraola
25 Mamardashvili
21 Tsimikas
4 Dijk
33 Araújo
2 Gomez
42 Nyoni
38 Gravenberch
73 Ngumoha
53 McConnell
67 Koumas
18 Gakpo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 G. Mamardashvili G
2 J. Gomez D
33 R. Araújo D
4 V. van Dijk D
21 K. Tsimikas D
38 R. Gravenberch M
42 T. Nyoni M
67 L. Koumas M
53 J. McConnell M
73 R. Ngumoha M
18 C. Gakpo F

Substitutes

9 A. Isak F
5 J. Jacquet D
10 A. Mac Allister M
1 Alisson Becker G
29 B. Barcola F
44 L. Chambers D
14 F. Chiesa F
3 W. Endo M
7 F. Wirtz M

Chelsea

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Xabi Alonso
39 Penders
27 Gusto
3 Fofana
5 Lacroix
34 Acheampong
45 Lavia
25 Caicedo
17 Rogers
14 Henderson
7 Neto
18 Welbeck

Starting XI

# Player Pos
39 M. Penders G
34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong D
5 M. Lacroix D
3 W. Fofana D
27 M. Gusto D
25 M. Caicedo M
45 R. Lavia M
7 Pedro Neto M
14 J. Henderson M
17 M. Rogers M
18 D. Welbeck F

Substitutes

22 E. Emegha F
41 Estêvão F
32 M. Nicoll-Jazuli M
2 M. Palestra D
23 Geovany Tcherno Quenda M
28 T. Sharman-Lowe G
37 O. Subuloye D
4 V. Barco M
6 L. Colwill D

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