FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden Prédiction

FT
Post on X
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour FC Midtjylland
55%
25%
20%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden : Sportiko estime que FC Midtjylland a 55% de chances de s'imposer, St. Truiden 20% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 22 Oct 2026, 20:55.

Match Report

St. Truiden claimed a hard-fought 1–0 victory away at FC Midtjylland in the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage, with the decisive moment arriving just before half-time. Frederic Soelle Soelle's 42nd-minute goal proved to be the difference between the two sides, giving the Belgian visitors a lead they would carry through to the final whistle.

Midtjylland dominated possession at 57% and registered 15 total shots to St. Truiden's 19, yet the Danish hosts struggled to convert their opportunities, managing only six shots on goal. St. Truiden's expected goals figure of 2.70 compared to Midtjylland's 1.70 reflected the visitors' greater threat throughout, despite the home side's territorial advantage. The match also saw a flurry of bookings, with yellow cards shown to Vanwesemael, Pedro Bravo, and Ilias Sebaoui across the 90 minutes.

Both managers turned to their benches heavily in the second half, with five substitutions apiece, but Midtjylland could not find an equaliser. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Midtjylland win as the most likely outcome at 55%, a call that St. Truiden emphatically overturned.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 11'
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael Yellow Card
Pedro Bravo Yellow Card
22' ▮
⚽ 0–1 42'
Frederic Soelle Soelle assist: Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
HT 0–1
Mileta Rajović ⇄ Friday Etim
46' ⇄
Pedro Bravo ⇄ Gue-sung Cho
46' ⇄
Hong Hyun-Seok ⇄ Stanley Iheanacho
46' ⇄
▮ 59'
Ilias Sebaoui Yellow Card
David Martínez Morales ⇄ Victor Bak Jensen
69' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Ryan Merlen ⇄ Kaito Matsuzawa
⇄ 72'
Frederic Soelle Soelle ⇄ Samed Baždar
J. Emefile ⇄ Abdou Aziz Ndiaye
79' ⇄
⇄ 85'
Nathanaël Mbuku ⇄ Arbnor Muja
⇄ 85'
Joedrick Pupe ⇄ Taiga Hata
⇄ 90+4'
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael ⇄ Wolke Janssens
FT 0–1
FC Midtjylland

Match Stats

St. Truiden
43% Ball Possession 57%
2.70 Expected Goals (xG) 1.70
19 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots off Goal 7
7 Blocked Shots 2
15 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 6
6 Corner Kicks 5
1 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
321 Total passes 434
235 Passes accurate 323
73% Passes % 74%
0.22 goals_prevented 0.22
FC Midtjylland
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
27 Sofus Johannesen M 8.2 89' – – – 35 (24%) 1
25 Nordin Bakker G 8.0 89' – – – 40 (25%) –
5 Rasmus Kristensen D 7.3 89' – – 1 29 (22%) 6
38 J. Emefile F 7.3 79' – – – 17 (15%) 1
22 Mads Bech Sørensen D 6.9 89' – – 1 41 (36%) 1
29 Kjell Wätjen M 6.9 89' – – 1 27 (23%) 2
90 Friday Etim F 6.9 44' – – 1 17 (12%) –
10 Gue-sung Cho F 6.6 44' – – 1 8 (3%) –
19 Pedro Bravo M 6.5 45' – – – 11 (9%) –
98 David Martínez Morales M 6.3 69' – – 3 24 (13%) 2
9 Mileta Rajović F 6.3 45' – – 1 14 (7%) –
55 Victor Bak Jensen D 6.3 20' – – – 7 (4%) 2
18 Stanley Iheanacho F 6.3 44' – – 1 3 (3%) –
34 Abdou Aziz Ndiaye D 6.3 10' – – – 2 (2%) 1
4 O. Diao D 6.3 89' – – – 35 (30%) 2
20 Hong Hyun-Seok M 6.0 45' – – 2 11 (7%) 1
St. Truiden
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
26 Visar Musliu D 8.6 89' – – 1 39 (30%) 1
60 Robert-Jan Vanwesemael D 8.2 89' – 1 – 44 (37%) 5
11 Nathanaël Mbuku M 7.7 85' – – 3 42 (34%) 4
4 Kota Takai D 7.5 89' – – – 33 (31%) 2
14 Ryan Merlen M 7.3 72' – – 1 34 (22%) –
10 Ilias Sebaoui M 7.3 89' – – 4 38 (26%) 3
9 Samed Baždar F 7.0 17' – – 1 10 (7%) –
16 Léo Kokubo G 7.0 89' – – – 41 (21%) –
23 Joedrick Pupe D 7.0 85' – – – 36 (23%) 2
18 Nelson Ishiwatari M 7.0 89' – – – 42 (34%) 2
38 Kaito Matsuzawa F 6.9 17' – – 2 7 (4%) –
8 Abdoulaye Sissako M 6.7 89' – – – 44 (35%) 1
19 Frederic Soelle Soelle F 6.7 72' 1 – 1 18 (13%) –
3 Taiga Hata D — 4' – – – 3 (3%) –
7 Arbnor Muja F — 4' – – – 3 (3%) –
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

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Victoire ou match nul difficile pour FC Midtjylland
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FC Midtjylland
LWWWL
St. Truiden
DLLWW
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
55%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
20%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

FC Midtjylland
Cho Gue-Sung 3 gls
St. Truiden

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FC Midtjylland — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Ajax L 1 - 6
01 Nov A FC Nordsjaelland W 2 - 3
29 Oct H Odense W 2 - 1
25 Oct H Lyngby W 3 - 2
22 Oct H St. Truiden L 0 - 1

St. Truiden — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Brann D 1 - 1
01 Nov H OH Leuven L 1 - 2
25 Oct A Club Brugge KV L 3 - 2
22 Oct A FC Midtjylland W 0 - 1
18 Oct H Lommel United W 4 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Lugano
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Panathinaikos
3 3 0 0 +6 9
3
Twente
3 3 0 0 +6 9
4
Monaco
3 3 0 0 +6 9
5
Brighton
3 2 1 0 +5 7
6
Brann
3 2 1 0 +4 7
7
FC Copenhagen
3 2 1 0 +4 7
8
Universitatea Craiova
3 2 1 0 +4 7
9
Mjallby AIF
3 2 1 0 +4 7
10
St. Truiden
3 2 1 0 +3 7
11
Ajax
3 2 0 1 +6 6
12
Trabzonspor
3 2 0 1 +3 6
13
HNK Hajduk Split
3 2 0 1 +1 6
14
SC Freiburg
3 2 0 1 -1 6
15
FK Crvena Zvezda
3 1 1 1 0 4
16
Atalanta
3 1 1 1 0 4
17
SC Braga
3 1 1 1 -1 4
18
Gent
3 1 1 1 -1 4
19
Riga
3 0 3 0 0 3
20
FC Thun
3 1 0 2 0 3
21
Borac Banja Luka
3 1 0 2 -1 3
22
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3 1 0 2 -3 3
23
FK Jablonec
3 0 2 1 -1 2
24
Aarhus
3 0 2 1 -1 2
25
FC Nordsjaelland
3 0 2 1 -2 2
26
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3 0 2 1 -2 2
27
Kairat Almaty
3 0 2 1 -4 2
28
CSKA Sofia
3 0 1 2 -2 1
29
FC Iberia 1999
3 0 1 2 -3 1
30
Pafos
3 0 1 2 -4 1
31
Getafe
3 0 1 2 -4 1
32
Heart Of Midlothian
3 0 1 2 -4 1
33
KuPS
3 0 1 2 -4 1
34
FC Midtjylland
3 0 1 2 -6 1
35
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3 0 0 3 -5 0
36
Kauno Žalgiris
3 0 0 3 -10 0

St. Truiden

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
16 Kokubo
23 Pupe
26 Musliu
4 Takai
60 Vanwesemael
18 Ishiwatari
8 Sissako
10 Sebaoui
14 Merlen
11 Mbuku
19 Soelle

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 Léo Kokubo G
60 Robert-Jan Vanwesemael D
4 Kota Takai D
26 Visar Musliu D
23 Joedrick Pupe D
8 Abdoulaye Sissako M
18 Nelson Ishiwatari M
11 Nathanaël Mbuku M
14 Ryan Merlen M
10 Ilias Sebaoui M
19 Frederic Soelle Soelle F

Substitutes

35 Yanis Ngoy G
21 Matt Lendfers G
27 Jeremy Kandje Mbambi D
3 Taiga Hata D
22 Wolke Janssens D
5 Shogo Taniguchi D
71 Ryotaro Araki M
7 Arbnor Muja F
99 Shion Shinkawa M
77 Oumar Diouf F
38 Kaito Matsuzawa F
9 Samed Baždar F

FC Midtjylland

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
25 Bakker
22 Sørensen
4 Diao
5 Kristensen
19 Bravo
27 Johannesen
29 Wätjen
20 Hyun-seok
98 Morales
9 Rajović
38 Emefile

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 Nordin Bakker G
5 Rasmus Kristensen D
4 Ousmane Diao D
22 Mads Bech Sørensen D
19 Pedro Bravo M
98 David Martínez Morales M
20 Hong Hyun-seok M
29 Kjell Wätjen M
27 Sofus Johannesen M
38 Julius Emefile F
9 Mileta Rajović F

Substitutes

18 Stanley Iheanacho F
10 Gue-sung Cho F
90 Friday Etim F
60 Mark Ugboh G
30 Ovie Ejeheri G
15 Beni Junior D
34 Abdou Aziz Ndiaye D
55 Victor Bak Jensen D
17 Mikael Uhre F

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