Liverpool vs Villarreal Prédiction
Pronostic Liverpool vs Villarreal : Sportiko estime que Liverpool a 64% de chances de s'imposer, Villarreal 15% et le match nul 21%. Dernière mise à jour : 20 Oct 2026, 20:53.
Match Report
Liverpool edged a breathless seven-goal thriller at Anfield to claim a 4–3 victory over Villarreal in the UEFA Champions League league stage. The visitors struck first through Georges Mikautadze in the fourth minute, but Sergi Cardona's 29th-minute effort gave Villarreal a 2–1 lead after Alexis Mac Allister had levelled. Mac Allister restored parity again before the break, and substitute Ronald Araújo — introduced at half-time — immediately made his mark with a goal in first-half stoppage time to send Liverpool into the interval 3–2 ahead.
The second half continued in the same frenetic fashion. Mac Allister completed a superb individual display with his second goal on 65 minutes, only for Florian Wirtz to pull one back three minutes later, setting up a tense finale. Tani Oluwaseyi's 87th-minute strike sealed the points for Liverpool, who controlled the game's underlying metrics with 53% possession, 22 total shots and an expected goals figure of 2.41 to Villarreal's 1.54.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Liverpool win as the most likely outcome at 64%, a call that proved correct in a match that was far closer than the hosts would have preferred.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Liverpool
Match Stats
Liverpool
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Alexis Mac Allister M | 9.2 | 90' | 2 | – | 5 | 59 (52%) | – |
| 73 Rio Ngumoha M | 8.6 | 74' | – | 2 | 2 | 28 (24%) | – |
| 7 Florian Wirtz M | 7.6 | 44' | 1 | – | 4 | 35 (31%) | 3 |
| 18 C. Gakpo M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 54 (43%) | 2 |
| 21 Konstantinos Tsimikas D | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 47 (41%) | 3 |
| 33 Ronald Araújo D | 6.8 | 46' | 1 | – | 1 | 25 (19%) | – |
| 42 Trey Nyoni M | 6.8 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 87 (82%) | 3 |
| 9 Alexander Isak F | 6.6 | 24' | – | – | 2 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 29 Bradley Barcola F | 6.6 | 16' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 38 R. Gravenberch M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 34 (32%) | 2 |
| 67 Lewis Koumas F | 6.4 | 66' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | – |
| 1 Alisson G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | – |
| 5 Jérémy Jacquet D | 6.2 | 74' | – | – | – | 44 (36%) | 3 |
| 4 V. van Dijk D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 62 (52%) | 1 |
| 2 Joe Gomez D | 6.0 | 16' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | 4 |
| 53 James McConnell M | 5.8 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
Villarreal
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Georges Mikautadze F | 7.5 | 60' | 1 | – | 1 | 17 (14%) | 2 |
| 22 Ayoze Pérez F | 7.3 | 30' | – | 1 | 1 | 10 (10%) | 2 |
| 21 Tani Oluwaseyi F | 7.1 | 44' | 1 | – | 2 | 16 (11%) | 1 |
| 23 Sergi Cardona D | 7.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 35 (31%) | 2 |
| 18 Pape Gueye M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 61 (52%) | 2 |
| 24 Nathan-Dylan Saliba M | 6.5 | 46' | – | 1 | 2 | 16 (12%) | 1 |
| 6 Pau Navarro D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (46%) | 3 |
| 7 Gerard Moreno F | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 19 (16%) | – |
| 3 Alexander Freeman D | 6.1 | 30' | – | – | – | 20 (19%) | 1 |
| 10 Alberto Moleiro M | 6.1 | 54' | – | – | 1 | 23 (22%) | – |
| 12 Renato Veiga D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (33%) | – |
| 17 Tajon Buchanan M | 5.9 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | 1 |
| 25 Péter Gulácsi G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (19%) | – |
| 14 Santi Comesaña M | 5.8 | 78' | – | – | – | 38 (30%) | – |
| 15 Santiago Mouriño D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (34%) | 1 |
| 8 Juan Foyth D | 5.6 | 36' | – | – | – | 41 (38%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Liverpool vs Villarreal
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May 2022 | Villarreal | 2 - 3 | Liverpool |
| 27 Apr 2022 | Liverpool | 2 - 0 | Villarreal |
| 05 May 2016 | Liverpool | 3 - 0 | Villarreal |
Liverpool — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | A Fenerbahçe | L | 3 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H Arsenal | L | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Chelsea | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Brighton | W | 2 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | H Villarreal | W | 4 - 3 |
Villarreal — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 0 - 6 |
| 30 Oct | H Espanyol | L | 0 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A Manacor | W | 0 - 5 |
| 24 Oct | A Valencia | W | 1 - 2 |
| 20 Oct | A Liverpool | L | 4 - 3 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |
Como
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |
Manchester City
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |
Club Brugge KV
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Inter
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Lask Linz
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Manchester United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |
Galatasaray
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Fenerbahçe
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |
AS Roma
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |
Viking
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |
Atletico Madrid
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |
FC Porto
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |
Sabah FA
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |
Feyenoord
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |
Lens
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
Liverpool
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alisson Becker | G |
| 33 | R. Araújo | D |
| 5 | J. Jacquet | D |
| 4 | V. van Dijk | D |
| 21 | K. Tsimikas | D |
| 10 | A. Mac Allister | M |
| 42 | T. Nyoni | M |
| 73 | R. Ngumoha | M |
| 38 | R. Gravenberch | M |
| 18 | C. Gakpo | M |
| 67 | L. Koumas | F |
Substitutes
| 29 | B. Barcola | F |
| 44 | L. Chambers | D |
| 76 | J. Danns | F |
| 2 | J. Gomez | D |
| 9 | A. Isak | F |
| 6 | M. Kerkez | D |
| 25 | G. Mamardashvili | G |
| 53 | J. McConnell | M |
| 7 | F. Wirtz | M |
| 28 | F. Woodman | G |
| 94 | M. Laffey | M |
Villarreal
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Iñigo Pérez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | P. Gulácsi | G |
| 15 | S. Mouriño | D |
| 6 | Pau Navarro | D |
| 12 | Renato Veiga | D |
| 23 | Sergi Cardona | D |
| 24 | N. Saliba | M |
| 18 | P. Gueye | M |
| 17 | T. Buchanan | M |
| 14 | Santi Comesaña | M |
| 10 | Alberto Moleiro | M |
| 9 | G. Mikautadze | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Ayoze Pérez | F |
| 5 | A. Diatta | M |
| 27 | N. El Jmili | F |
| 8 | J. Foyth | D |
| 3 | A. Freeman | D |
| 1 | Luíz Júnior | G |
| 16 | C. Macia | M |
| 7 | Gerard Moreno | F |
| 21 | T. Oluwaseyi | F |
| 2 | Logan Costa | D |
| 11 | Ilias Akhomach | F |
| 28 | Joselillo Gaitán | F |