Beşiktaş vs Marseille Prédiction
Pronostic Beşiktaş vs Marseille : Sportiko estime que Beşiktaş a 53% de chances de s'imposer, Marseille 23% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 17 Sep 2026, 20:59.
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Match Report
Beşiktaş claimed an impressive 4–1 victory over Marseille in their UEFA Europa League league stage opener, despite the French side enjoying the majority of possession and generating more shots across the 90 minutes. Marseille took the lead through Keyliane Abdallah in the 29th minute after İlhan Fakili had opened the scoring for the hosts in the 15th, leaving the sides level at the break.
The second half belonged entirely to Beşiktaş. Václav Černý restored the home side's advantage just after the hour mark, and Amir Murillo added a third within minutes to effectively settle the contest. Emmanuel Agbadou's early yellow card had forced Marseille into a half-time substitution, disrupting their defensive shape, and the visitors never recovered their composure after the interval. Ernest Poku rounded off the scoring in the 81st minute to complete a commanding win.
The result was a notable upset on paper given Marseille's possession dominance, though our pre-match AI model had rated a Beşiktaş win as the most likely outcome at 53%, a call that proved well-founded.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Beşiktaş
Match Stats
Beşiktaş
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Junior Olaitan M | 8.3 | 82' | – | 2 | 1 | 44 (36%) | 2 |
| 29 İlhan Fakili M | 8.1 | 82' | 1 | – | 3 | 34 (31%) | – |
| 10 Orkun Kökçü M | 7.9 | 71' | – | 2 | 2 | 36 (30%) | 1 |
| 18 Václav Černý M | 7.9 | 71' | 1 | – | 3 | 16 (14%) | 2 |
| 53 Emirhan Topçu D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 90 (77%) | 5 |
| 17 Ernest Poku F | 7.4 | 19' | 1 | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 62 Amir Murillo D | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 33 (28%) | – |
| 28 Dušan Vlahović F | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 24 (19%) | – |
| 6 Salih Özcan M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 49 (48%) | 1 |
| 1 Alexander Nübel G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (39%) | – |
| 9 Hyeon-gyu Oh F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 12 Emmanuel Agbadou D | 6.5 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 60 (59%) | 1 |
| 4 Wilfred Ndidi M | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 11 Kassoum Ouattara D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (26%) | 2 |
| 35 Tiago Djaló D | 6.2 | 44' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | 1 |
| 21 Fabio Miretti M | 6.0 | 8' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | 1 |
Marseille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Himad Abdelli M | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 52 (48%) | 1 |
| 14 Igor Paixão F | 6.7 | 32' | – | – | 2 | 12 (9%) | – |
| 48 Keyliane Abdallah M | 6.7 | 82' | 1 | – | 4 | 22 (14%) | 1 |
| 43 T. Mmadi F | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 22 Tim Weah D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 45 (39%) | 4 |
| 9 Amine Gouiri F | 6.4 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 70 (60%) | 3 |
| 11 Neal Maupay F | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | – |
| 4 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (41%) | 1 |
| 7 Angel Gomes M | 6.2 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 16 (14%) | 1 |
| 33 Emerson Palmieri D | 6.0 | 32' | – | – | – | 12 (12%) | – |
| 13 Derek Cornelius D | 5.9 | 67' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 12 Jeffrey de Lange G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (38%) | – |
| 21 Nayef Aguerd D | 5.8 | 23' | – | – | – | 18 (18%) | – |
| 77 Amine Harit M | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 28 (23%) | 2 |
| 25 Ulisses Garcia D | 5.4 | 58' | – | – | 2 | 18 (15%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Beşiktaş now leads 4-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 19.3%.
Min 83: Beşiktaş leads 4-1. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.
Min 75: Beşiktaş leads 3-1. Win probability: 99%. Comeback chance: 1%.
Beşiktaş now leads 3-1 with 97.2% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 58.2%.
Goal! Score now 2-1. Beşiktaş win: 82.4%. BTTS: 100%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
V. Černý
1 gls
I. Fakili
1 gls
A. Murillo
1 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Beşiktaş vs Marseille
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Beşiktaş — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Amed | L | 3 - 2 |
| 17 Sep | H Marseille | W | 4 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | H Erzurumspor FK | W | 3 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Fenerbahçe | W | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | H Çorum FK | W | 6 - 2 |
Marseille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Sep | A Beşiktaş | L | 4 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | A Rennes | L | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Paris FC | L | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | A Monaco | L | 2 - 0 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Marseille
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | J. de Lange | G |
| 22 | T. Weah | D |
| 4 | C. Egan-Riley | D |
| 13 | D. Cornelius | D |
| 25 | U. Garcia | D |
| 23 | P. Højbjerg | M |
| 8 | H. Abdelli | M |
| 48 | K. Abdallah | M |
| 7 | A. Gomes | M |
| 77 | A. Harit | M |
| 11 | N. Maupay | F |
Substitutes
| 42 | Nouhoum Kamissoko | M |
| 9 | A. Gouiri | F |
| 74 | K. Bezahaf | D |
| 14 | Igor Paixão | F |
| 21 | N. Aguerd | D |
| 18 | B. Meité | D |
| 46 | E. Mbondo | D |
| 43 | T. Mmadi | F |
| 33 | Emerson | D |
| 40 | J. Van Neck | G |
| 92 | T. Vermot | G |
| 29 | F. Moumbagna | F |
Beşiktaş
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Vincenzo Italiano
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Nübel | G |
| 62 | A. Murillo | D |
| 12 | E. Agbadou | D |
| 53 | E. Topçu | D |
| 11 | K. Ouattara | D |
| 6 | S. Özcan | M |
| 18 | V. Černý | M |
| 15 | J. Olaitan | M |
| 10 | O. Kökçü | M |
| 29 | I. Fakili | M |
| 28 | D. Vlahović | F |
Substitutes
| 80 | D. Alemdar | G |
| 22 | Taylan Bulut | D |
| 35 | Tiago Djaló | D |
| 90 | S. Kılıçsoy | F |
| 21 | F. Miretti | M |
| 4 | W. Ndidi | M |
| 9 | Oh Hyeon-Gyu | F |
| 17 | E. Poku | F |
| 33 | R. Yılmaz | D |
| 8 | K. Yılmaz | M |
| 58 | Y. Özcan | D |
| 50 | Ü. Akdağ | D |