AC Milan vs Benfica Prédiction
Pronostic AC Milan vs Benfica : Sportiko estime que AC Milan a 40% de chances de s'imposer, Benfica 32% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 16 Sep 2026, 20:57.
Match Report
AC Milan suffered a disappointing home defeat to Benfica in their UEFA Europa League league stage opener, going behind as early as the 16th minute when Dodi Lukebakio broke the deadlock. The first half was disrupted by a flurry of bookings, with Strahinja Pavlović, Souffian El Karouani, and Jhon Durán all collecting yellow cards before the break, leaving Milan with an uphill task heading into the second period.
The hosts made double substitutions at half-time in an attempt to shift momentum, but it was Benfica who extended their lead when Jakub Kamiński added a second goal on 53 minutes, effectively sealing the result. Milan struggled to find a way back into the contest despite further changes throughout the second half.
Benfica managed the closing stages comfortably, though the game remained feisty with yellow cards also shown to Daniel Banjaqui, Leandro Barreiro, and Vangelis Pavlidis late on. Our pre-match AI model had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that proved wide of the mark. It was a sobering European debut for Milan under the new league format.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AC Milan
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 Alexis Saelemaekers F | 7.3 | 37' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | – |
| 21 Samuel Chukwueze M | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | 1 |
| 34 Mario Gila Fuentes D | 7.3 | 49' | – | – | 1 | 47 (45%) | 1 |
| 80 Yunus Musah M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 65 (63%) | – |
| 33 Davide Bartesaghi M | 6.9 | 57' | – | – | – | 28 (25%) | 2 |
| 70 Alphadjo Cissè F | 6.9 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 28 (27%) | – |
| 5 Koni De Winter D | 6.7 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 61 (58%) | – |
| 42 Filippo Terracciano D | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 36 (35%) | – |
| 20 Omari Hutchinson F | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 22 Diego Moreira F | 6.3 | 37' | – | – | 1 | 23 (23%) | – |
| 16 Mike Maignan G | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 21 (17%) | – |
| 12 Adrien Rabiot M | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 17 (15%) | 1 |
| 31 Strahinja Pavlović D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 77 (71%) | 1 |
| 30 Ardon Jashari M | 6.2 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 50 (46%) | – |
| 11 Christian Pulišić M | 6.0 | 49' | – | – | 2 | 26 (22%) | – |
| 9 Gonçalo Ramos F | 5.9 | 94' | – | – | 3 | 16 (13%) | 2 |
Benfica
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Anatoliy Trubin G | 8.5 | 94' | – | – | – | 33 (19%) | – |
| 11 Dodi Lukebakio M | 8.2 | 94' | 1 | – | 3 | 29 (21%) | 3 |
| 44 Tomás Araújo D | 8.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 41 (39%) | 4 |
| 13 Jakub Kamiński M | 7.9 | 80' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 (23%) | – |
| 36 João Palhinha M | 7.5 | 94' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | 3 |
| 58 Daniel Banjaqui D | 7.5 | 94' | – | – | – | 39 (33%) | 7 |
| 3 Alessandro Circati D | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 40 (35%) | 1 |
| 34 Souffian El Karouani D | 7.3 | 88' | – | 1 | 1 | 42 (41%) | 2 |
| 10 Georgiy Sudakov M | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 32 (28%) | 1 |
| 8 Fredrik Aursnes M | 6.6 | 70' | – | – | – | 31 (28%) | 2 |
| 25 Gianluca Prestianni F | 6.6 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 10 (10%) | – |
| 14 Vangelis Pavlidis F | 6.5 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 21 Andreas Schjelderup F | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 18 Leandro Barreiro M | 6.2 | 24' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 22 Jhon Durán F | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | – |
| 26 Samuel Dahl D | — | 6' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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J. Kamiński
1 gls
D. Lukebakio
1 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AC Milan vs Benfica
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
AC Milan — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Lecce | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Benfica | L | 0 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Lazio | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A Juventus | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Venezia | W | 2 - 0 |
Benfica — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A FC Porto | L | 3 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | A AC Milan | W | 0 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H GIL Vicente | W | 3 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | A Moreirense | W | 0 - 4 |
| 05 Sep | A Maritimo | W | 0 - 3 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
AC Milan
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Ruben Amorim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mike Maignan | G |
| 42 | Filippo Terracciano | D |
| 5 | Koni De Winter | D |
| 31 | Strahinja Pavlović | D |
| 21 | Samuel Chukwueze | M |
| 30 | Ardon Jashari | M |
| 80 | Yunus Musah | M |
| 33 | Davide Bartesaghi | M |
| 20 | Omari Hutchinson | F |
| 70 | Alphadjo Cissè | F |
| 9 | Gonçalo Ramos | F |
Substitutes
| 34 | Mario Gila | D |
| 11 | Christian Pulišić | M |
| 22 | Diego Moreira | F |
| 56 | Alexis Saelemaekers | F |
| 96 | Lorenzo Torriani | G |
| 23 | Fikayo Tomori | D |
| 46 | Matteo Gabbia | D |
| 2 | Pervis Estupiñán | D |
| 8 | Ruben Loftus-Cheek | M |
| 12 | Adrien Rabiot | M |
| 14 | Luka Modrić | M |
| 73 | Francesco Camarda | F |
Benfica
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Marco Silva
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anatoliy Trubin | G |
| 58 | Daniel Banjaqui | D |
| 3 | Alessandro Circati | D |
| 44 | Tomás Araújo | D |
| 34 | Souffian El Karouani | D |
| 8 | Fredrik Aursnes | M |
| 36 | João Palhinha | M |
| 11 | Dodi Lukebakio | M |
| 10 | Georgiy Sudakov | M |
| 13 | Jakub Kamiński | M |
| 22 | Jhon Durán | F |
Substitutes
| 18 | Leandro Barreiro | M |
| 25 | Gianluca Prestianni | F |
| 24 | Samuel Soares | G |
| 2 | Clément Lenglet | D |
| 26 | Samuel Dahl | D |
| 5 | Enzo Barrenechea | M |
| 16 | Manu Silva | M |
| 21 | Andreas Schjelderup | F |
| 27 | Rafa Silva | M |
| 30 | Claudio Echeverri | M |
| 14 | Vangelis Pavlidis | F |
| 72 | Anísio Cabral | F |