Lahti vs Mariehamn Prédiction
FT
Lahden Stadion, Lahti
Prédiction IA
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Lahti
61%
24%
16%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Lahti vs Mariehamn : Sportiko estime que Lahti a 61% de chances de s'imposer, Mariehamn 16% et le match nul 24%. Dernière mise à jour : 8 Sep 2026, 16:54.
Pronostics Premium
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Timeline
A. Lindholm
assist: Tòfol Montiel
38'
⚽
1–0
HT 1–0
⇄
60'
J. van der Heyden
⇄ L. Andersson
⇄
61'
V. Widlund
⇄ A. Stroud
⇄
61'
Arvid Bergvik
⇄ M. Hyvönen
Martim Ferreira
⇄ J. Ojanen
64'
⇄
Tòfol Montiel
⇄ E. Andersson
64'
⇄
⚽
1–1
65'
A. Stroud
▮
71'
N. Nurmi
Yellow Card
T. Inkinen
⇄ V. Vehkonen
75'
⇄
▮
80'
F. Gyamfi
Yellow Card
R. Yapi
Yellow Card
81'
▮
A. Lindholm
⇄ A. Belabid
83'
⇄
M. Sarr
⇄ D. Heikkinen
83'
⇄
J. Ojanen
assist: V. Vehkonen
87'
⚽
2–1
J. Muller
Yellow Card
89'
▮
V. Vehkonen
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
FT 2–1
Lahti
Match Stats
Mariehamn
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots off Goal
5
2
Blocked Shots
2
8
Shots insidebox
6
4
Shots outsidebox
4
2
Corner Kicks
9
0
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
14
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
570
Total passes
286
483
Passes accurate
202
11
Free Kicks
8
Lahti
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 J. Ojanen F | 7.9 | 26' | 1 | – | 2 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 9 A. Lindholm F | 7.7 | 83' | 1 | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 8 Tòfol Montiel M | 7.7 | 64' | – | 1 | 1 | 46 (39%) | – |
| 5 Nícolas D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 79 (74%) | 5 |
| 31 O. Maukonen G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | 1 |
| 25 T. Inkinen D | 7.2 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 51 (45%) | 2 |
| 18 Y. Cassubie M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (52%) | 3 |
| 4 J. Muller D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 115 (104%) | 3 |
| 10 O. Koskinen M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 28 (23%) | 2 |
| 27 R. Yapi D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 63 (47%) | 1 |
| 17 A. Belabid F | 6.6 | 7' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 14 E. Andersson M | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 2 |
| 11 Martim Ferreira F | 6.5 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 19 (14%) | 1 |
| 7 D. Heikkinen M | 6.4 | 7' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 6 V. Vehkonen D | 6.3 | 15' | – | 1 | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 77 M. Sarr F | 6.3 | 83' | – | – | 2 | 37 (30%) | 2 |
Mariehamn
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 A. Stroud D | 7.3 | 29' | 1 | – | 3 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 1 K. Lund G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (8%) | – |
| 8 J. van der Heyden M | 6.5 | 60' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | 1 |
| 23 V. Widlund M | 6.4 | 61' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | 1 |
| 43 L. Andersson F | 6.3 | 30' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 2 |
| 20 E. Patut M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (21%) | 1 |
| 2 N. Nurmi D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 1 |
| 19 T. Jakobsen F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 12 (6%) | – |
| 14 Arvid Bergvik M | 6.1 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 64 M. Hyvönen M | 6.0 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 11 J. Svedberg F | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (24%) | 1 |
| 53 F. Gyamfi D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (28%) | 3 |
| 5 T. Koivisto D | 5.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (12%) | – |
| 31 Samson Ngulube D | 5.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (19%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (61%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Lahti
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Lahti
DLWWW
Mariehamn
LWLWW
Last 2 meetings
Lahti · 1W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
61%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
16%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Lahti
Martim Ferreira
4 gls
Mariehamn
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lahti vs Mariehamn
1
Lahti Wins
0
Draws
1
Mariehamn Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026 | Mariehamn | 0 - 2 | Lahti |
| 05 Mar 2026 | Mariehamn | 4 - 0 | Lahti |
Lahti — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H FF Jaro | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Ilves | L | 3 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | H Mariehamn | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | A VPS | W | 0 - 1 |
| 21 Aug | A SJK | W | 1 - 2 |
Mariehamn — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A SJK | L | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Turku PS | W | 1 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | A Lahti | L | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | H FF Jaro | W | 2 - 0 |
| 23 Aug | A KuPS | W | 2 - 4 |
Veikkausliiga Standings
Champion Additional
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
KuPS
|
25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 24 | +17 | 48 |
| 2 |
Inter Turku
|
25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 18 | +14 | 48 |
| 3 |
HJK Helsinki
|
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 29 | +10 | 42 |
| 4 |
Gnistan
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 41 |
| 5 |
VPS
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 36 |
| 6 |
AC Oulu
|
25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 34 |
Relegation Play-Off
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lahti
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 24 | +6 | 36 |
| 2 |
Ilves
|
25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 38 | +4 | 34 |
| 3 |
Turku PS
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 27 | +1 | 32 |
| 4 |
SJK
|
25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 5 |
Mariehamn
|
25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 17 |
| 6 |
FF Jaro
|
25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 17 |
Mariehamn
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: R. Björknesjö
1
Lund
31
Ngulube
53
Gyamfi
2
Nurmi
5
Koivisto
14
Bergvik
20
Patut
8
Heyden
23
Widlund
19
Jakobsen
11
Svedberg
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Lund | G |
| 5 | T. Koivisto | D |
| 2 | N. Nurmi | D |
| 53 | F. Gyamfi | D |
| 31 | Samson Ngulube | D |
| 23 | V. Widlund | M |
| 8 | J. van der Heyden | M |
| 20 | E. Patut | M |
| 14 | Arvid Bergvik | M |
| 11 | J. Svedberg | F |
| 19 | T. Jakobsen | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | M. Jansson | M |
| 18 | A. Stroud | D |
| 16 | A. Huttunen | M |
| 3 | A. Soiniemi | D |
| 12 | O. Heino | G |
| 43 | L. Andersson | F |
| 64 | M. Hyvönen | M |
Lahti
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Gonçalo Pereira
31
Maukonen
25
Inkinen
4
Muller
5
Nícolas
27
Yapi
10
Koskinen
18
Cassubie
8
Montiel
11
Ferreira
9
Lindholm
77
Sarr
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | O. Maukonen | G |
| 27 | R. Yapi | D |
| 5 | Nícolas | D |
| 4 | J. Muller | D |
| 25 | T. Inkinen | D |
| 8 | Tòfol Montiel | M |
| 18 | Y. Cassubie | M |
| 10 | O. Koskinen | M |
| 77 | M. Sarr | F |
| 9 | A. Lindholm | F |
| 11 | Martim Ferreira | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | A. Hakala | G |
| 6 | V. Vehkonen | D |
| 7 | D. Heikkinen | M |
| 14 | E. Andersson | M |
| 20 | J. Ojanen | F |
| 28 | A. Kabashi | M |
| 17 | A. Belabid | F |
| 41 | Aleksi Paalanen | F |
| 44 | L. Jarvinen | F |