Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prédiction
Pronostic Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid : Sportiko estime que Liverpool a 53% de chances de s'imposer, Atletico Madrid 22% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 9 Sep 2026, 20:55.
Pronostics Premium
Premium- 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
Match Report
Liverpool edged Atletico Madrid 2–1 in their UEFA Champions League league stage opener at Anfield, in a match that swung decisively in the second half. Marcos Llorente gave the visitors an early lead in the 17th minute, but Dominik Szoboszlai levelled for the hosts just before the break to send the teams in at 1–1.
Liverpool came out sharper after the interval, with Alexis Mac Allister netting the winner just five minutes into the second half to put the Reds ahead. Atletico responded with a flurry of substitutions, introducing Kang-in Lee and later Alex Baena to inject creativity, but they were unable to find an equaliser. Mac Allister, who had earlier been booked, was withdrawn shortly after his goal as a precaution. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Liverpool win as the most likely outcome at 53%, and that assessment proved accurate.
Despite Atletico enjoying the majority of possession at 55%, Liverpool were the more clinical side, edging the shots-on-goal count 5–4. The result gives Liverpool a positive start to their European campaign.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Liverpool
Match Stats
Liverpool
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Dominik Szoboszlai M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 56 (52%) | 2 |
| 10 Alexis Mac Allister M | 7.6 | 69' | 1 | – | 2 | 35 (29%) | 2 |
| 7 Florian Wirtz M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (41%) | 2 |
| 9 Alexander Isak F | 6.9 | 88' | – | 1 | 2 | 10 (5%) | 1 |
| 1 Alisson G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (27%) | – |
| 6 Miloš Kerkez D | 6.8 | 88' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | 4 |
| 4 V. van Dijk D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (43%) | – |
| 33 Ronald Araújo D | 6.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 39 (33%) | – |
| 5 Jérémy Jacquet D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (46%) | 1 |
| 67 Lewis Koumas F | 6.5 | 2' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 23 Victor Muñoz F | 6.4 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 38 R. Gravenberch M | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | – |
| 73 Rio Ngumoha M | 6.3 | 60' | – | – | 2 | 18 (13%) | – |
| 21 Konstantinos Tsimikas D | 6.2 | 2' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 30 Jeremie Frimpong D | 6.1 | 30' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 29 Bradley Barcola M | 5.6 | 60' | – | – | 3 | 13 (12%) | 2 |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Julián Alvarez F | 7.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 32 (26%) | 1 |
| 14 Marcos Llorente M | 7.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 35 (28%) | 5 |
| 21 Cristian Romero D | 7.0 | 77' | – | – | – | 31 (29%) | 5 |
| 8 Pablo Barrios M | 6.8 | 77' | – | – | – | 56 (51%) | 3 |
| 22 Alejandro Grimaldo D | 6.7 | 31' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | 1 |
| 10 Alex Baena M | 6.6 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 40 (36%) | – |
| 6 Koke M | 6.6 | 59' | – | – | – | 40 (37%) | – |
| 7 Kang-in Lee M | 6.3 | 59' | – | – | – | 28 (25%) | 1 |
| 11 Ademola Lookman F | 6.3 | 31' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | 1 |
| 20 Giuliano Simeone M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (28%) | 1 |
| 17 Dávid Hancko D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 74 (62%) | – |
| 23 Morten Hjulmand M | 6.1 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 13 (12%) | 1 |
| 13 Jan Oblak G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (25%) | – |
| 15 Jonathan David F | 6.0 | 17' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 18 Marc Pubill D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (33%) | 3 |
| 24 Robin Le Normand D | 5.7 | 13' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 1 |
Accéder à l'analyse complète de l'IA pour Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid
- Tous les 70+ marchés de probabilité
- Rapport de match — Analyse approfondie IA
- Avantage Analytique — modèle vs marché
- Types de sélections que vous choisissez
At a glance
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowAdvanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowAI match tools
Instant AI analysis of this match.
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all modelsUnlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2025 | Liverpool | 3 - 2 | Atletico Madrid |
| 03 Nov 2021 | Liverpool | 2 - 0 | Atletico Madrid |
| 19 Oct 2021 | Atletico Madrid | 2 - 3 | Liverpool |
Liverpool — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Bournemouth | W | 0 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Tottenham | W | 3 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Fulham | D | 0 - 0 |
| 09 Sep | H Atletico Madrid | W | 2 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A Ipswich | W | 0 - 2 |
Atletico Madrid — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Real Madrid | W | 2 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | H Osasuna | W | 4 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A Real Sociedad | W | 0 - 3 |
| 09 Sep | A Liverpool | L | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Athletic Club | L | 3 - 0 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Liverpool
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alisson Becker | G |
| 33 | R. Araújo | D |
| 5 | J. Jacquet | D |
| 4 | V. van Dijk | D |
| 6 | M. Kerkez | D |
| 8 | D. Szoboszlai | M |
| 10 | A. Mac Allister | M |
| 29 | B. Barcola | M |
| 7 | F. Wirtz | M |
| 73 | R. Ngumoha | M |
| 9 | A. Isak | F |
Substitutes
| 44 | L. Chambers | D |
| 76 | J. Danns | F |
| 30 | J. Frimpong | D |
| 38 | R. Gravenberch | M |
| 67 | L. Koumas | F |
| 25 | G. Mamardashvili | G |
| 53 | J. McConnell | M |
| 23 | Víctor Muñoz | F |
| 42 | T. Nyoni | M |
| 21 | K. Tsimikas | D |
| 28 | F. Woodman | G |
Atletico Madrid
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: D. Simeone
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | J. Oblak | G |
| 18 | Marc Pubill | D |
| 21 | C. Romero | D |
| 17 | D. Hancko | D |
| 14 | Marcos Llorente | M |
| 8 | Pablo Barrios | M |
| 6 | Koke | M |
| 20 | G. Simeone | M |
| 7 | Lee Kang-In | M |
| 10 | Álex Baena | M |
| 19 | J. Álvarez | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | O. Vargas | M |
| 1 | J. Musso | G |
| 4 | Rodrigo Mendoza | M |
| 11 | A. Lookman | F |
| 24 | Robin Le Normand | D |
| 23 | M. Hjulmand | M |
| 22 | Álex Grimaldo | D |
| 27 | J. Dominguez | D |
| 15 | J. David | F |
| 5 | J. Cardoso | M |
| 46 | J. Castillo | M |
| 30 | Dani MartÃnez | D |