Newport City vs Baglan Dragons Prédiction

FAW Championship · South - 4

Post on X

Newport City

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Baglan Dragons

Away

Prédiction IA Trop serré pour trancher

38%

32%

30%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Newport City vs Baglan Dragons : Sportiko estime que Newport City a 38% de chances de s'imposer, Baglan Dragons 30% et le match nul 32%. Dernière mise à jour : 22 Aug 2026, 05:46.

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L'équipe à domicile marque 70%
1st Half Draw or Away 72%

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Trop serré pour trancher

Most likely score

1:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Newport City

LLWLL

Baglan Dragons

LWWWL

Last 1 meetings Newport City · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

38%

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

30%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Baglan Dragons goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	9	6	2	1
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	8	8	4	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Newport City goals · most likely 1–1 (15.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

32%

Away Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

32%

Away Win

30%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.2%	9.3%	5.8%	2.0%	0.5%
1	10.9%	15.0%	7.0%	2.4%	0.6%
2	7.7%	8.0%	4.2%	1.5%	0.4%
3	3.1%	3.2%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.9%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Newport City	Draw	Baglan Dragons
Newport City	22.6%	4.3%	1.5%
Draw	14.8%	21.3%	12.3%
Baglan Dragons	1.7%	4.2%	17.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Newport City vs Baglan Dragons

0 Newport City Wins

0 Draws

1 Baglan Dragons Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Mar 2026	Newport City	1 - 2	Baglan Dragons

Newport City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Aug	H Baglan Dragons	L	0 - 1
08 Aug	H Carmarthen Town	L	1 - 2
31 Jul	A llanelli AFC	W	1 - 4
08 Jul	H Newport County	L	0 - 5
20 Mar	H Treowen Stars	L	2 - 3

Baglan Dragons — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
12 Sep	A Cardiff Draconians	L	2 - 1
04 Sep	H Afan Lido	W	2 - 1
21 Aug	A Newport City	W	0 - 1
15 Aug	A Llantwit Major	W	0 - 1
09 Aug	H Swansea University	L	0 - 3

FAW Championship Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.