Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana Prédiction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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Pafos

Home

4 : 2

HT 1 - 1

Match aller 1-1 · Cumulé 5-3

Dinamo Tirana

Away

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Pafos

64%

22%

13%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana : Sportiko estime que Pafos a 64% de chances de s'imposer, Dinamo Tirana 13% et le match nul 22%. Dernière mise à jour : 27 Aug 2026, 19:40.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Match Report

Pafos edged past Dinamo Tirana 4–2 after extra time in a fiery UEFA Europa Conference League playoff tie that required 120 minutes to settle. The match burst into life immediately, with an unnamed goal in the eighth minute answered swiftly by Ken Sema for Dinamo just five minutes later, leaving the sides level at half-time. Pafos dominated territorially, registering 19 total shots to Tirana's seven, though the scoreline remained tight deep into the second half.

The hosts regained the lead through Nikolas Ioannou on 78 minutes, before Ruben Silva-Richards extended the advantage to 3–1 in the 87th minute, seemingly putting the tie to bed. Dinamo, however, pulled one back through Domingos Quina in the 116th minute to set up a nervy finale, but Anderson Silva's goal in the final minute of extra time secured a 4–2 victory for Pafos.

Discipline was a persistent theme throughout, with ten yellow cards distributed across both sides and several bookings arriving in a fractious extra-time period. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Pafos win as the most likely outcome at 64%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 8'

assist: Ruben Silva-Richards

Yellow Card

10' ▮

Ken Sema

13' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 14'

Yellow Card

▮ 26'

Fabjan Perndreca Yellow Card

HT 1–1

▮ 57'

Eridon Qardaku Yellow Card

▮ 59'

Klevi Qefalija Yellow Card

⇄ 62'

Fabjan Perndreca ⇄ Erion Hoxhallari

Ivan Šunjić ⇄ Gonçalo Rodrigues

64' ⇄

⇄ 70'

⇄ Hekuran Berisha

⇄ 70'

Eridon Qardaku ⇄ Adamu Alhassan

João Correia ⇄ Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu

73' ⇄

Nikolas Ioannou assist: Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu

78' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 83'

Klevi Qefalija ⇄ Flamur Ruci

⇄ 83'

Malomo Taofeek Ayodeji ⇄ Almir Ajzeraj

Lelê Yellow Card

84' ▮

Ken Sema ⇄ Domingos Quina

84' ⇄

Lelê ⇄ Anderson Silva

85' ⇄

Vlad Dragomir ⇄ Samy Mmaee

85' ⇄

⚽ 2–2 87'

Ruben Silva-Richards assist: Bruno Dita

Domingos Quina Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

▮ 101'

Yellow Card

Pêpê Yellow Card

104' ▮

⇄ 104'

David Luiz Yellow Card

107' ▮

Bruno Yellow Card

113' ▮

▮ 114'

Lorenco Vila Yellow Card

Samy Mmaee Yellow Card

114' ▮

Domingos Quina assist: David Luiz

116' ⚽ 3–2

Anderson Silva

120+1' ⚽ 4–2

FT 4–2

Pafos

Match Stats

Dinamo Tirana

50% Ball Possession 50%

Expected Goals (xG)

19 Total Shots 7

7 Shots on Goal 2

6 Shots off Goal 5

6 Blocked Shots 0

14 Shots insidebox 4

5 Shots outsidebox 3

5 Corner Kicks 2

5 Offsides 1

28 Fouls 22

6 Yellow Cards 5

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 4

450 Total passes 480

374 Passes accurate 391

83% Passes % 81%

goals_prevented

Pafos

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Nikolas Ioannou D	8.3	116'	1	–	3	50 (39%)	1
13 Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu F	8.2	43'	1	1	1	8 (3%)	1
12 Ken Sema F	7.9	84'	1	–	1	17 (14%)	1
7 Bruno D	7.9	116'	–	–	1	48 (39%)	7
88 Pêpê M	6.9	116'	–	–	–	74 (65%)	1
6 Gonçalo Rodrigues M	6.6	52'	–	–	–	27 (26%)	–
4 David Luiz D	6.6	116'	–	1	1	54 (49%)	–
30 Vlad Dragomir M	6.6	85'	–	–	–	20 (15%)	–
77 João Correia F	6.6	73'	–	–	1	12 (7%)	2
5 David Goldar D	6.3	116'	–	–	–	52 (45%)	1
3 Samy Mmaee D	6.3	31'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	–
99 Radosław Majecki G	6.2	116'	–	–	–	31 (27%)	–
8 Domingos Quina M	6.2	32'	–	–	1	8 (5%)	1
33 Anderson Silva F	6.2	31'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
18 Lelê F	6.0	85'	–	–	4	12 (8%)	–
26 Ivan Šunjić M	5.9	64'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	2

Dinamo Tirana

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
27 Naser Aliji D	7.3	116'	–	–	–	86 (73%)	1
11 Ruben Silva-Richards F	7.2	116'	1	1	1	22 (19%)	–
33 David Fadairo F	7.2	70'	1	–	1	7 (4%)	–
6 Adamu Alhassan M	6.9	46'	–	–	–	31 (29%)	–
20 Malomo Taofeek Ayodeji M	6.9	83'	–	–	1	24 (17%)	5
8 Eridon Qardaku M	6.7	70'	–	–	–	29 (26%)	2
88 Flamur Ruci M	6.7	33'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	3
22 Bruno Dita D	6.6	116'	–	1	1	59 (49%)	2
13 Fabjan Perndreca D	6.5	62'	–	–	2	19 (18%)	1
24 Florenc Ferruku F	6.5	12'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
29 Hekuran Berisha F	6.5	46'	–	–	1	15 (11%)	–
7 Almir Ajzeraj F	6.3	33'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	1
77 Aldo Teqja G	6.3	116'	–	–	–	35 (19%)	–
5 Erion Hoxhallari D	6.3	54'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	–
21 Klevi Qefalija M	6.2	83'	–	–	–	43 (38%)	3
10 Lorenco Vila M	5.9	116'	–	–	–	32 (23%)	1
2 Ysni Ismaili D	5.7	104'	–	–	–	36 (30%)	–

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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Pafos

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Pafos

LWDWW

Dinamo Tirana

WWWWL

Last 1 meetings Pafos · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

64%

10%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

13%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dinamo Tirana goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	8	5	2
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Pafos goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

22%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

22%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

61% Home (No Draw) 39% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.9%	7.8%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%
1	10.8%	14.6%	6.6%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.5%	8.8%	4.5%	1.6%	0.4%
3	3.9%	4.0%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Pafos	Draw	Dinamo Tirana
Pafos	26.4%	5.1%	2.1%
Draw	15.8%	20.1%	13.2%
Dinamo Tirana	1.6%	3.3%	12.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana

0 Pafos Wins

1 Draws

0 Dinamo Tirana Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	Dinamo Tirana	1 - 1	Pafos

Pafos — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H AEL	L	0 - 2
13 Sep	A AEK Larnaca	W	0 - 1
07 Sep	H Olympiakos	D	0 - 0
03 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Karmiotissa	W	0 - 3

Dinamo Tirana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Laci	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Partizani	W	2 - 4
06 Sep	H AF Elbasani	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A Skenderbeu Korce	W	0 - 1
27 Aug	A Pafos	L	4 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Pafos

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ricardo Sa Pinto

99 Majecki

14 Ioannou

4 Luiz

5 Goldar

7 Bruno

88 Pêpê

26 Šunjić

30 Dragomir

12 Sema

18 Lelê

77 Correia

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Radosław Majecki	G
7	Bruno	D
5	David Goldar	D
4	David Luiz	D
14	Nikolas Ioannou	D
30	Vlad Dragomir	M
26	Ivan Šunjić	M
88	Pêpê	M
77	João Correia	F
18	Lelê	F
12	Ken Sema	F

Substitutes

71	Michalis Papastylianou	G
82	Petros Petrou	G
3	Samy Mmaee	D
72	Kosmas Ioannou	D
6	Guga	M
8	Domingos Quina	M
13	Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu	F
42	Georgios Michael	M
60	Christos Efzona	M
61	Melinos Kais	D
33	Anderson Silva	F
20	Biel	F

Dinamo Tirana

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Ilir Daja

77 Teqja

13 Perndreca

27 Aliji

22 Dita

2 Ismaili

10 Vila

8 Qardaku

21 Qefalija

20 Ayodeji

11 Silva-Richards

33 Fadairo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
77	Aldo Teqja	G
2	Ysni Ismaili	D
22	Bruno Dita	D
27	Naser Aliji	D
13	Fabjan Perndreca	D
20	Malomo Taofeek Ayodeji	M
21	Klevi Qefalija	M
8	Eridon Qardaku	M
10	Lorenco Vila	M
33	David Fadairo	F
11	Ruben Silva-Richards	F

Substitutes

1	Edmir Sali	G
97	Tomas Kiri	G
5	Erion Hoxhallari	D
6	Adamu Alhassan	M
7	Almir Ajzeraj	F
16	Noel Bleta	M
28	Isi Manellari	M
88	Flamur Ruci	M
18	Dejvi Metaj	F
24	Florenc Ferruku	F
29	Hekuran Berisha	F
45	Bright Aniekan James	F