Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova Prédiction

FT
Post on X
1 : 0
HT 0 - 0
Match aller 1-1 · Cumulé 2-1
Prédiction IA Universitatea Craiova ou match nul
32%
29%
39%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova : Sportiko estime que Ararat-Armenia a 32% de chances de s'imposer, Universitatea Craiova 39% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 27 Aug 2026, 17:59.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
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Match Report

Ararat-Armenia edged past Universitatea Craiova 1–0 in their UEFA Europa League play-off tie thanks to a dramatic late winner, despite the Romanian side controlling much of the contest. Craiova enjoyed 54% possession and registered three corner kicks to none for the hosts, yet managed only two shots on target across the entire match, underlining their inability to convert dominance into clear-cut chances.

The game remained goalless at half-time and appeared to be heading toward extra time when the tie exploded into life in stoppage time. Sandro Lima missed two penalties in quick succession before coolly converting at the third attempt in the 90+8th minute to seal a stunning victory for Ararat-Armenia. Yellow cards for Nicușor Bancu, Bruno Wilson, Steven Nsimba, and Samuel Teles reflected the growing tension during the closing stages.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Craiova win as the most likely outcome at 39%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark. Ararat-Armenia advance on the back of one of the most remarkable finishes of the European qualifying rounds.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
▮ 48'
Nicușor Bancu Yellow Card
⇄ 62'
Tudor Băluță ⇄ Samuel Teles
⇄ França
70' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Assad Al-Hamlawi ⇄ Steven Nsimba
Zidane Banjaqui ⇄ Z. Shaghoyan
77' ⇄
A. Serobyan
77' ⇄
Bruno Wilson Yellow Card
80' ▮
⇄ 89'
Ștefan Baiaram ⇄ Monday Etim
K. Muradyan ⇄ M. Carlier
90+2' ⇄
Hugo Oliveira
90+2' ⇄
▮ 90+3'
Steven Nsimba Yellow Card
Sandro Lima Missed Penalty
90+5' ✗
▮ 90+8'
Samuel Teles Yellow Card
Sandro Lima Missed Penalty
90+8' ✗
Sandro Lima
90+8' ⚽ 1–0
FT 1–0
Ararat-Armenia

Match Stats

Universitatea Craiova
46% Ball Possession 54%
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Shots
0 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked Shots 1
Shots insidebox
Shots outsidebox
0 Corner Kicks 3
0 Offsides 2
4 Fouls 3
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
Passes %
goals_prevented
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Universitatea Craiova ou match nul
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Ararat-Armenia
WLWWL
Universitatea Craiova
WWWWD
Last 1 meetings Ararat-Armenia · 0W 1D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
32%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
39%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Ararat-Armenia
Bruno Wilson 1 gls
Universitatea Craiova

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova

0 Ararat-Armenia Wins
1 Draws
0 Universitatea Craiova Wins
Date Home Score Away
20 Aug 2026 Universitatea Craiova 1 - 1 Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Shirak W 1 - 3
16 Sep H Sparta Praha L 1 - 4
11 Sep H Syunik W 3 - 0
05 Sep A Ararat W 0 - 1
31 Aug A Pyunik Yerevan L 2 - 1

Universitatea Craiova — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H FCSB W 5 - 0
13 Sep A Corvinul Hunedoara W 0 - 1
07 Sep H Universitatea Cluj W 4 - 0
03 Sep A FC Bacau W 1 - 2
31 Aug A Rapid D 1 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Juventus
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Crystal Palace
1 1 0 0 +4 3
3
Sparta Praha
1 1 0 0 +3 3
4
Beşiktaş
1 1 0 0 +3 3
5
Union St. Gilloise
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
Ferencvarosi TC
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Benfica
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Bayer Leverkusen
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
OFI
1 1 0 0 +2 3
10
Bournemouth
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Lyon
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Torreense
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Red Bull Salzburg
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Sunderland
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
Omonia Nicosia
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
Sturm Graz
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Rennes
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
Dinamo Zagreb
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Jagiellonia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Real Sociedad
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Anderlecht
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Lillestrom
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Celta Vigo
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
AZ Alkmaar
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Levski Sofia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Celtic
1 0 0 1 -2 0
29
1899 Hoffenheim
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
AC Milan
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
Celje
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
Marseille
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Ararat-Armenia
1 0 0 1 -3 0
34
Plzen
1 0 0 1 -3 0
35
Lech Poznan
1 0 0 1 -4 0
36
NEC Nijmegen
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Ararat-Armenia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Tulipa
98 Bravim
16 Grigoryan
43 Wilson
47 Malis
3 Julio
70 Dias
19 Muradyan
2 Oliveira
11 Banjaqui
91 Lima
77 Serobyan

Starting XI

# Player Pos
98 João Bravim G
3 Junior Julio D
47 Alexandros Malis D
43 Bruno Wilson D
16 Edgar Grigoryan D
2 Hugo Oliveira M
19 Karen Muradyan M
70 Bernardo Dias M
77 Artur Serobyan F
91 Sandro Lima F
11 Zidane Banjaqui F

Substitutes

1 Arman Nersesyan G
5 Luís Felipe D
14 Bruno Pereira D
6 Michel Ayvazyan M
7 Zhirayr Shaghoyan M
8 Juan Balanta M
17 Maxence Carlier M
20 Alwyn Tera M
95 Carlos França M
9 Arayik Eloyan F
25 Alioune Ndour F
90 Paul Ayongo F

Universitatea Craiova

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Filipe Coelho
21 Popescu
6 Screciu
24 Stevanović
3 Romanchuk
11 Bancu
5 Mekvabishvili
8 Băluță
17 Mora
10 Baiaram
9 Al-Hamlawi
20 Cicâldău

Starting XI

# Player Pos
21 Laurenţiu Popescu G
3 Oleksandr Romanchuk D
24 Nikola Stevanović D
6 Vladimir Screciu D
17 Carlos Mora M
8 Tudor Băluță M
5 Anzor Mekvabishvili M
11 Nicușor Bancu M
20 Alexandru Cicâldău F
9 Assad Al-Hamlawi F
10 Ștefan Baiaram F

Substitutes

90 Răzvan Sava G
1 Alexandru Maxim G
31 Ronaldo Webster D
4 Alexandru Crețu M
18 Mihnea Rădulescu M
23 Samuel Teles M
29 Luca Băsceanu M
30 David Matei M
12 Monday Etim F
7 Steven Nsimba F
19 Heriberto Tavares F

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