Osasuna vs Sevilla Prédiction

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Post on X

Sevilla

Away

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Osasuna

58%

25%

17%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Osasuna vs Sevilla : Sportiko estime que Osasuna a 58% de chances de s'imposer, Sevilla 17% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Osasuna claimed a hard-fought 2–1 victory over Sevilla at El Sadar in La Liga Matchday 32, despite spending much of the game on the back foot. A goalless first half gave little indication of the drama to come, with Sevilla dominating possession at 61% and generating significantly more danger, reflected in an expected goals figure of 1.43 compared to Osasuna's 0.40.

The second half told a different story. Osasuna broke the deadlock on 69 minutes before Raúl García de Haro doubled the lead on 80 minutes, capitalising on Sevilla's inability to convert their superiority into goals despite seven shots on target. Alejandro Catena added a third in stoppage time to seal the result, with Sevilla pulling one back somewhere in between. The visitors' pressure through substitutions and late urgency was not enough to overturn the deficit.

Our pre-match AI model had rated an Osasuna win as the most likely outcome at 58%, a call that proved correct. The result was a testament to clinical finishing from the hosts, who made the most of limited opportunities against a Sevilla side that will rue their wastefulness in front of goal.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 6'

Gabriel Suazo Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Ante Budimir Yellow Card

51' ▮

Aimar Oroz ⇄ Raúl Moro

62' ⇄

▮ 66'

Djibril Sow Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 69'

assist: Djibril Sow

Iker Muñoz ⇄ Raúl García de Haro

71' ⇄

Rubén García ⇄ Moi Gómez

71' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Djibril Sow ⇄ Batista Mendy

⇄ 76'

Rubén Vargas ⇄ Juanlu Sánchez

Raúl García de Haro

80' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 87'

⇄ Nemanja Gudelj

⇄ 87'

Oso ⇄ Akor Adams

⇄ 87'

Isaac Romero ⇄ Peque Fernández

Javi Galán ⇄ Abel Bretones

89' ⇄

Victor Muñoz ⇄ Kike Barja

89' ⇄

Alejandro Catena assist: Moi Gómez

90' ⚽ 2–1

Raúl García de Haro Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 2–1

Osasuna

Match Stats

Sevilla

61% Ball Possession 39%

1.43 Expected Goals (xG) 0.40

15 Total Shots 8

7 Shots on Goal 2

6 Shots off Goal 5

2 Blocked Shots 1

11 Shots insidebox 2

4 Shots outsidebox 6

4 Corner Kicks 4

0 Offsides 2

11 Fouls 13

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

484 Total passes 310

403 Passes accurate 218

83% Passes % 70%

0.75 goals_prevented 0.75

Osasuna

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
24 Alejandro Catena D	8.3	90'	1	–	1	66 (57%)	2
9 Raúl García de Haro F	7.7	19'	1	–	4	9 (6%)	–
21 Victor Muñoz M	7.3	89'	–	–	1	27 (25%)	–
7 Jon Moncayola M	7.3	90'	–	–	2	38 (31%)	2
18 Raúl Moro F	7.3	28'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	–
16 Moi Gómez F	7.3	19'	–	1	–	22 (21%)	1
19 Valentin Rosier D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	38 (29%)	4
8 Iker Muñoz M	6.9	71'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	–
20 Javi Galán D	6.7	89'	–	–	1	59 (54%)	2
14 Rubén García M	6.7	71'	–	–	–	27 (21%)	1
10 Aimar Oroz M	6.7	62'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	1
23 Abel Bretones D	6.7	11'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–
22 Flavien Boyomo D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	75 (73%)	1
17 Ante Budimir F	6.3	90'	–	–	2	8 (5%)	–
11 Kike Barja F	6.3	11'	–	–	1	4	–
1 Sergio Herrera G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	34 (23%)	–

Sevilla

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Odysseas Vlachodimos G	7.5	90'	–	–	–	27 (10%)	–
18 Lucien Agoumé M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	39 (28%)	4
17 Neal Maupay F	7.2	87'	1	–	3	19 (15%)	1
36 Oso M	6.9	87'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	3
9 Akor Adams F	6.7	14'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
14 Peque Fernández F	6.7	14'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
11 Rubén Vargas M	6.6	76'	–	–	1	21 (12%)	1
6 Nemanja Gudelj M	6.5	14'	–	–	1	3 (1%)	–
12 Gabriel Suazo D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	30 (27%)	2
20 Djibril Sow M	6.3	71'	–	1	–	22 (18%)	–
16 Juanlu Sánchez M	6.3	14'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	1
32 Andres Castrin D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	41 (33%)	1
2 José Ángel Carmona D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	33 (24%)	2
4 Kike Salas D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	23 (15%)	2
19 Batista Mendy M	6.2	19'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
7 Isaac Romero F	6.2	87'	–	–	1	16 (11%)	–

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Osasuna

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Osasuna

DLLLW

Sevilla

LWWDL

Last 3 meetings Osasuna · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash on April 25, 2026, Osasuna will host Sevilla at El Sadar Stadium. Osasuna has shown solid home form, boasting a strong defensive record, having conceded just 0.9 goals per match at home this season. In contrast, Sevilla has struggled with consistency on the road, averaging only 1.2 goals scored per away game. Key players to watch include Osasuna's top scorer, whose contributions have been pivotal, and Sevilla’s forward line, which needs to improve to capitalize on opportunities. The match could hinge on Osasuna's ability to maintain their defensive solidity against Sevilla's attack, making for an intriguing tactical battle.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sevilla goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	7	3	1
1	16	11	4	1
2	13	9	3	1
3	7	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Osasuna goals · most likely 1–0 (15.9%)

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Players in form

Osasuna

A. Budimir 5 gls

Sevilla

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Osasuna vs Sevilla

1 Osasuna Wins

1 Draws

1 Sevilla Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Nov 2025	Sevilla	1 - 0	Osasuna
24 Apr 2025	Osasuna	1 - 0	Sevilla
02 Dec 2024	Sevilla	1 - 1	Osasuna

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Osasuna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	4 - 0
12 Sep	H Espanyol	L	0 - 2
06 Sep	A Alaves	L	5 - 2
31 Aug	H Getafe	W	1 - 0

Sevilla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Barcelona	L	1 - 3
16 Sep	A Deportivo La Coruna	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Valencia	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Espanyol	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Atletico Madrid	L	1 - 3

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3