Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco Prédiction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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Monaco

Away

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Monaco

22%

27%

52%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco : Sportiko estime que Gornik Zabrze a 22% de chances de s'imposer, Monaco 52% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 20 Aug 2026, 19:54.

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Match Report

Monaco edged out Gornik Zabrze 3–2 in a dramatic UEFA Europa Conference League playoff clash that was largely decided in a frantic ten-minute spell after the break. Mika Biereth broke the deadlock early, slotting Monaco ahead in the ninth minute, and the visitors carried that single-goal advantage into half-time.

The second half erupted almost immediately. Lamine Camara doubled Monaco's lead on 51 minutes, only for Gornik to respond swiftly through Erik Prekop just two minutes later. Paris Brunner restored the two-goal cushion at 58 minutes, but Gornik refused to capitulate, with Sondre Liseth pulling one back on 74 minutes to set up a tense finale. Monaco held firm despite the pressure, seeing out the result with a disciplined defensive display.

The visitors dominated in terms of attacking intent, registering 17 total shots to Gornik's nine, while Monaco also held a clear edge in corner kicks at six to three. Possession was evenly split at 50–50 throughout. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Monaco win as the most likely outcome at 52%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 9'

Mika Biereth assist: Mathys Detourbet

▮ 38'

Mathys Detourbet Yellow Card

HT 0–1

⚽ 0–2 51'

Lamine Camara

Erik Prekop assist: Erik Janža

53' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 55'

Vanderson ⇄ Jordan Teze

⇄ 55'

Mathys Detourbet

⚽ 1–3 58'

Paris Brunner assist: Stanis Idumbo Muzambo

▮ 61'

Yellow Card

Lukáš Sadílek ⇄ Kacper Urbański

66' ⇄

Erik Prekop ⇄ Sondre Liseth

66' ⇄

Maximilian Dietz Yellow Card

70' ▮

Sondre Liseth assist: Paulo Bernardo

74' ⚽ 2–3

Peter González ⇄ Bruno Durdov

74' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Christian Mawissa ⇄ Nazinho

⇄ 81'

Mika Biereth

Paulo Bernardo ⇄ Janis Antiste

81' ⇄

⇄ 89'

Denis Zakaria

Erik Janža Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 2–3

Gornik Zabrze

Match Stats

Monaco

50% Ball Possession 50%

Expected Goals (xG)

17 Total Shots 9

6 Shots on Goal 5

6 Shots off Goal 3

5 Blocked Shots 1

9 Shots insidebox 5

8 Shots outsidebox 4

6 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 0

7 Fouls 14

1 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

331 Total passes 358

286 Passes accurate 313

86% Passes % 87%

goals_prevented

Gornik Zabrze

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Sondre Liseth F	7.5	13'	1	–	1	–	–
11 Erik Prekop F	7.3	66'	1	–	2	10 (7%)	–
33 Maksym Khlan F	7.3	79'	–	–	2	27 (23%)	1
66 Maximilian Dietz M	6.9	79'	–	–	–	32 (30%)	1
8 Paulo Bernardo M	6.9	79'	–	1	1	25 (22%)	2
64 Erik Janža D	6.6	79'	–	1	–	38 (35%)	1
61 Michal Sáček D	6.3	79'	–	–	1	37 (34%)	2
20 Josema D	6.3	79'	–	–	2	45 (40%)	–
18 Lukáš Sadílek M	6.3	66'	–	–	1	21 (18%)	2
82 Kacper Urbański M	6.3	13'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
19 Peter González F	6.3	74'	–	–	2	23 (18%)	1
26 Rafał Janicki D	6.0	79'	–	–	–	46 (40%)	–
1 Philipp Schulze G	5.9	79'	–	–	–	22 (14%)	–
34 Bruno Durdov M	—	5'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

Monaco

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
15 Lamine Camara M	7.9	79'	1	–	2	59 (49%)	1
29 Paris Brunner F	7.9	79'	1	–	4	19 (18%)	–
1 Lukáš Hrádecký G	7.2	79'	–	–	–	28 (18%)	–
14 Mika Biereth F	7.2	79'	1	–	1	6 (6%)	–
6 Denis Zakaria M	6.9	79'	–	–	–	25 (24%)	–
17 Stanis Idumbo Muzambo M	6.9	79'	–	1	–	18 (17%)	2
3 Eric Dier D	6.6	79'	–	–	1	52 (47%)	–
7 Mathys Detourbet M	6.5	55'	–	1	–	28 (23%)	–
46 Anis Soubeir M	6.5	24'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
72 Sadibou Sané D	6.3	79'	–	–	–	45 (43%)	–
4 Jordan Teze D	6.3	24'	–	–	–	10 (6%)	1
13 Christian Mawissa D	6.3	79'	–	–	–	38 (36%)	1
2 Vanderson D	6.2	55'	–	–	–	25 (21%)	1

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Monaco

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Gornik Zabrze

DWWWW

Monaco

WDWWW

Last 1 meetings Gornik Zabrze · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Monaco goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	6	2	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Gornik Zabrze goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

27%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

27%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	6.8%	5.6%	2.5%	0.8%
1	7.5%	13.7%	8.0%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.5%	8.7%	5.8%	2.6%	0.9%
3	3.1%	4.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.1%	1.5%	1.0%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gornik Zabrze	Draw	Monaco
Gornik Zabrze	23.5%	5.0%	2.4%
Draw	13.7%	17.5%	13.5%
Monaco	2.0%	4.2%	18.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco

0 Gornik Zabrze Wins

0 Draws

1 Monaco Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Aug 2026	Monaco	4 - 1	Gornik Zabrze

Gornik Zabrze — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Motor Lublin	D	0 - 0
15 Sep	A Korona Kielce	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Lech Poznan	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Cracovia Krakow	W	0 - 1
03 Sep	A Raków Częstochowa	W	1 - 2

Monaco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Lens	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Strasbourg	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Paris Saint Germain	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Marseille	W	2 - 0
27 Aug	H Gornik Zabrze	W	4 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Monaco

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Filipe Luís

1 Hrádecký

13 Mawissa

3 Dier

72 Sané

2 Vanderson

17 Muzambo

6 Zakaria

15 Camara

7 Detourbet

14 Biereth

29 Brunner

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lukáš Hrádecký	G
2	Vanderson	D
72	Sadibou Sané	D
3	Eric Dier	D
13	Christian Mawissa	D
7	Mathys Detourbet	M
15	Lamine Camara	M
6	Denis Zakaria	M
17	Stanis Idumbo Muzambo	M
29	Paris Brunner	F
14	Mika Biereth	F

Substitutes

16	Philipp Köhn	G
50	Yann Lienard	G
4	Jordan Teze	D
5	Thilo Kehrer	D
20	Nazinho	D
49	Ilane Touré	M
19	Pape Cabral	M
46	Anis Soubeir	M
41	Aymen Assab	M
44	Samuel Nibombe	M
42	Oumar Konaté	F
47	Safouane Benzahra	M

Gornik Zabrze

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Michal Gasparik

1 Schulze

64 Janža

20 Josema

26 Janicki

61 Sáček

8 Bernardo

66 Dietz

18 Sadílek

19 González

11 Prekop

33 Khlan

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Philipp Schulze	G
61	Michal Sáček	D
26	Rafał Janicki	D
20	Josema	D
64	Erik Janža	D
18	Lukáš Sadílek	M
66	Maximilian Dietz	M
8	Paulo Bernardo	M
33	Maksym Khlan	F
11	Erik Prekop	F
19	Peter González	F

Substitutes

29	Wiktor Kania	G
99	Tomasz Loska	G
2	Patryk Warczak	D
4	Paweł Bochniewicz	D
21	Ondřej Zmrzlý	D
14	Jarosław Kubicki	M
34	Bruno Durdov	M
82	Kacper Urbański	M
7	Yvan Ikia Dimi	M
9	Janis Antiste	F
23	Sondre Liseth	F