Athletic Club vs Villarreal Prédiction
Pronostic Athletic Club vs Villarreal : Sportiko estime que Athletic Club a 31% de chances de s'imposer, Villarreal 44% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Villarreal secured a hard-fought 1–2 victory at San Mamés despite Athletic Club dominating possession throughout the afternoon. The visitors struck twice before the break to put themselves firmly in control, with Sergi Cardona opening the scoring on 26 minutes before Alfon González doubled the advantage right on half-time. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Villarreal win as the most likely outcome at 44%, and that call proved correct.
Athletic Club pushed hard after the interval, holding 61% of the ball and generating 15 corners, but found Villarreal's defensive shape difficult to break down. The hosts' pressure eventually told when Gorka Guruzeta pulled one back on 84 minutes, setting up a tense finale. A potential equaliser from Nicolas Pépé was ruled out by VAR in the 90th minute, extinguishing Athletic's hopes of a comeback.
Both sides finished level on shots on target at six apiece, and the expected goals figures — 1.20 for Athletic, 1.29 for Villarreal — reflected how closely contested the match was in terms of clear chances, even if the scoreline told a different story.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Athletic Club
Match Stats
Athletic Club
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Daniel Vivian D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 84 (77%) | 1 |
| 17 Yuri Berchiche D | 7.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 76 (67%) | 1 |
| 18 Mikel Jauregizar M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 74 (61%) | 3 |
| 11 Gorka Guruzeta F | 7.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 10 (6%) | – |
| 2 Andoni Gorosabel D | 7.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 31 (29%) | 1 |
| 10 Nico Williams M | 6.9 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 28 (23%) | 1 |
| 30 Alejandro Rego M | 6.9 | 24' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | – |
| 22 Nico Serrano F | 6.9 | 8' | – | – | 1 | 3 | – |
| 16 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta M | 6.7 | 66' | – | – | – | 46 (41%) | 1 |
| 7 Álex Berenguer F | 6.6 | 24' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | 2 |
| 14 Aymeric Laporte D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 75 (68%) | 2 |
| 9 Iñaki Williams M | 6.5 | 82' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | – |
| 23 Robert Navarro M | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 1 Unai Simón G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (16%) | – |
| 8 Oihan Sancet M | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 20 (18%) | 1 |
| 15 Íñigo Lekue D | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | 1 |
Villarreal
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sergi Cardona D | 8.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 29 (22%) | 6 |
| 1 Luiz Júnior G | 8.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (19%) | – |
| 7 Gerard Moreno F | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (33%) | 2 |
| 18 Pape Gueye M | 7.5 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 34 (23%) | 3 |
| 15 Santiago Mouriño D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (26%) | 5 |
| 12 Renato Veiga D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (35%) | 1 |
| 11 Alfon González M | 7.2 | 69' | 1 | – | 2 | 12 (9%) | – |
| 4 Rafa Marín D | 7.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 16 (15%) | 1 |
| 17 Tajon Buchanan M | 6.9 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 18 (15%) | 1 |
| 14 Santi Comesaña M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (32%) | 1 |
| 19 Nicolas Pépé F | 6.7 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 10 Dani Parejo M | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | – |
| 21 Tani Oluwaseyi F | 6.6 | 69' | – | 1 | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 6 Pau Navarro D | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 29 (26%) | – |
| 20 Alberto Moleiro M | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 9 Georges Mikautadze F | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 7 (7%) | – |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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No scorer data.
P. Gueye
3 gls
Alberto Moleiro
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Athletic Club vs Villarreal
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Villarreal | 1 - 0 | Athletic Club |
| 06 Apr 2025 | Villarreal | 0 - 0 | Athletic Club |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Athletic Club | 2 - 0 | Villarreal |
Athletic Club — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Alaves | D | 0 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Elche | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Atletico Madrid | W | 3 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | A Celta Vigo | W | 0 - 2 |
| 27 Aug | A Barcelona | L | 2 - 0 |
Villarreal — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Levante | W | 3 - 1 |
| 17 Sep | A Malaga | W | 1 - 3 |
| 14 Sep | H Real Betis | L | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A Borussia Dortmund | L | 3 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | H Deportivo La Coruna | L | 2 - 3 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Athletic Club
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Ernesto Valverde
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. Simon | G |
| 15 | I. Lekue | D |
| 3 | D. Vivian | D |
| 14 | A. Laporte | D |
| 17 | Y. Berchiche | D |
| 18 | M. Jauregizar | M |
| 16 | I. Ruiz de Galarreta | M |
| 9 | I. Williams | M |
| 8 | O. Sancet | M |
| 10 | N. Williams | M |
| 11 | G. Guruzeta | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | A. Padilla | G |
| 2 | A. Gorosabel | D |
| 7 | A. Berenguer | F |
| 5 | Y. Alvarez | D |
| 23 | R. Navarro | M |
| 4 | A. Paredes | D |
| 22 | N. Serrano | F |
| 30 | A. Rego | M |
| 20 | U. Gomez | M |
| 6 | M. Vesga | M |
| 25 | Izeta | F |
| 19 | A. Boiro | D |
Villarreal
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Marcelino
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luiz Junior | G |
| 15 | S. Mourino | D |
| 6 | P. Navarro | D |
| 12 | R. Veiga | D |
| 23 | S. Cardona | D |
| 17 | T. Buchanan | M |
| 14 | S. Comesana | M |
| 18 | P. Gueye | M |
| 11 | A. Gonzalez | M |
| 7 | G. Moreno | F |
| 21 | T. Oluwaseyi | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | A. Tenas | G |
| 10 | D. Parejo | M |
| 19 | N. Pepe | F |
| 9 | G. Mikautadze | F |
| 20 | A. Moleiro | M |
| 5 | W. Kambwala | D |
| 38 | A. Diatta | M |
| 22 | A. Perez | F |
| 24 | A. Pedraza | D |
| 4 | R. Marin | D |
| 3 | A. Freeman | D |