Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos Prédiction

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
Prédiction IA Pafos ou match nul
26%
29%
45%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos : Sportiko estime que Red Bull Salzburg a 26% de chances de s'imposer, Pafos 45% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 6 Aug 2026, 20:52.

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Match Report

Red Bull Salzburg edged past Pafos 1–0 in the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round, with the decisive moment arriving late in a tight contest. The first half ended goalless, though Salzburg's dominance in possession and territory was already evident, and a yellow card for Pafos's Ken Sema just before the break hinted at the visitors' growing disciplinary struggles.

The second half brought a flurry of substitutions from both sides as the game remained locked, with Salzburg pressing through 12 corner kicks to Pafos's none. Haris Tabaković finally broke the deadlock in the 88th minute with a late winner that settled the tie. Pafos's evening was compounded in stoppage time when Ken Sema received a second yellow card, earning a red, to cap a difficult night for the Cypriot side.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Pafos win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that did not materialise. Salzburg's territorial control — 59% possession and a commanding corner count — ultimately told, even if the scoreline remained close until the very end.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 36'
Yellow Card
⇄ 43'
⇄ Ken Sema
HT 0–0
▮ 46'
Ken Sema Yellow Card
Soumaïla Diabaté ⇄ Bartosz Mazurek
58' ⇄
Damir Redzic
64' ⇄
Yorbe Vertessen ⇄ Karim Konaté
65' ⇄
Gaoussou Diakite ⇄ Enrique Aguilar
70' ⇄
⇄ Haris Tabaković
70' ⇄
Abubakr Barry Yellow Card
75' ▮
⇄ 80'
▮ 81'
Ivan Šunjić Yellow Card
Haris Tabaković
88' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 88'
▮ 90+3'
Ken Sema Yellow Card
▮ 90+3'
Ken Sema Red Card
FT 1–0
Red Bull Salzburg

Match Stats

Pafos
59% Ball Possession 41%
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Shots
3 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 0
Shots insidebox
Shots outsidebox
12 Corner Kicks 0
1 Offsides 3
13 Fouls 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
Passes %
goals_prevented
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Pafos ou match nul
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Red Bull Salzburg
WWDWW
Pafos
LWDWW
Last 1 meetings Red Bull Salzburg · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Pafos faces Red Bull Salzburg in a crucial UEFA Europa League clash. Pafos has shown resilience in their recent performances, with a strong defensive record averaging only 1.2 goals conceded per match in their last five outings. Conversely, Red Bull Salzburg boasts a potent attack, averaging 2.5 goals per game in their last five fixtures. The contrasting styles of play will be pivotal, with Pafos needing to effectively neutralize Salzburg's offensive threats while capitalizing on set pieces and counterattacks. This matchup promises to be a test of tactical discipline for both sides.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Red Bull Salzburg
H. Tabaković 1 gls
Pafos

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos

0 Red Bull Salzburg Wins
1 Draws
0 Pafos Wins
Date Home Score Away
13 Aug 2026 Pafos 3 - 3 Red Bull Salzburg

Red Bull Salzburg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Sturm Graz W 3 - 0
17 Sep A Levski Sofia W 0 - 1
11 Sep A Ried D 1 - 1
06 Sep A SKN ST. Polten W 0 - 3
02 Sep H Rapid Vienna W 5 - 1

Pafos — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H AEL L 0 - 2
13 Sep A AEK Larnaca W 0 - 1
07 Sep H Olympiakos D 0 - 0
03 Sep A Omonia Nicosia W 0 - 1
30 Aug A Karmiotissa W 0 - 3

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Juventus
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Crystal Palace
1 1 0 0 +4 3
3
Sparta Praha
1 1 0 0 +3 3
4
Beşiktaş
1 1 0 0 +3 3
5
Union St. Gilloise
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
Ferencvarosi TC
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Benfica
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Bayer Leverkusen
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
OFI
1 1 0 0 +2 3
10
Bournemouth
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Lyon
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Torreense
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Red Bull Salzburg
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Sunderland
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
Omonia Nicosia
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
Sturm Graz
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Rennes
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
Dinamo Zagreb
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Jagiellonia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Real Sociedad
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Anderlecht
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Lillestrom
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Celta Vigo
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
AZ Alkmaar
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Levski Sofia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Celtic
1 0 0 1 -2 0
29
1899 Hoffenheim
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
AC Milan
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
Celje
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
Marseille
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Ararat-Armenia
1 0 0 1 -3 0
34
Plzen
1 0 0 1 -3 0
35
Lech Poznan
1 0 0 1 -4 0
36
NEC Nijmegen
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Red Bull Salzburg

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Danny Rohl
52 Zawieschitzky
31 Schmid
47 Zabransky
44 Boma
18 Veratschnig
32 Barry
5 Diabaté
23 Redzic
30 Diakite
20 Baidoo
11 Vertessen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
52 Christian Zawieschitzky G
18 Nikolas Veratschnig D
44 Kévin Boma D
47 Valentin Zabransky D
31 Dominik Schmid D
5 Soumaïla Diabaté M
32 Abubakr Barry M
20 Edmund Baidoo F
30 Gaoussou Diakite F
23 Damir Redzic M
11 Yorbe Vertessen F

Substitutes

15 Bartosz Mazurek M
8 Sota Kitano M
19 Karim Konaté F
9 Haris Tabaković F
43 Enrique Aguilar F
41 Nikola Sarcevic G
4 John Mellberg D
13 Frans Krätzig D
21 Tim Drexler D
39 Leandro Morgalla D
14 Maurits Kjaergaard M
33 Aboubacar Camara F

Pafos

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Albert Celades
99 Majecki
14 Ioannou
4 Luiz
5 Goldar
20 Biel
6 Guga
26 Šunjić
50 Brito
8 Quina
30 Dragomir
18 Lelê

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 Radosław Majecki G
5 David Goldar D
4 David Luiz D
14 Nikolas Ioannou D
8 Domingos Quina M
50 Alexandre Brito M
26 Ivan Šunjić M
6 Guga M
20 Biel F
18 Lelê F
30 Vlad Dragomir M

Substitutes

12 Ken Sema M
71 Michalis Papastylianou G
82 Petros Petrou G
7 Bruno D
61 Melinos Kais D
72 Kosmas Ioannou D
13 Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu M
42 Georgios Michael M
88 Pêpê M
47 Murad Mammadov F
60 Christos Evzona -

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