Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia Prédiction

First League · Regular Season - 14

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Arda Kardzhali

Home

2 : 1

HT 2 - 1

Septemvri Sofia

Away

Arena Arda, Kardzhali

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Arda Kardzhali

55%

28%

17%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia : Sportiko estime que Arda Kardzhali a 55% de chances de s'imposer, Septemvri Sofia 17% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 2 Nov 2026, 19:26.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Plus de 1,5 buts 70%

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Timeline

6' ⚽ 1–0

✗ 23'

Missed Penalty

⚽ 1–1 23'

26' ⚽ 2–1

▮ 30'

Yellow Card

▮ 31'

Yellow Card

Stanislav Ivanov

41' 🖵

▮ 45'

N. Fontaine Yellow Card

Yellow Card

45' ▮

HT 2–1

⇄ 46'

⇄ 63'

N. Fontaine

65' ⇄

▮ 71'

Yellow Card

Stanislav Ivanov

73' ⇄

⇄ 79'

83' ⇄

Yellow Card

84' ▮

▮ 90'

Red Card

FT 2–1

Arda Kardzhali

Match Stats

Septemvri Sofia

58% Ball Possession 42%

15 Total Shots 7

5 Shots on Goal 4

10 Shots off Goal 3

0 Blocked Shots 0

8 Corner Kicks 1

2 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 1

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Arda Kardzhali

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Arda Kardzhali

LWDWL

Septemvri Sofia

WLLLL

Last 2 meetings Arda Kardzhali · 1W 1D 0L

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Arda Kardzhali leads 2-1. Win probability: 91.1%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 8.9%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-1. Arda Kardzhali leads. Win probability: 84.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 68.3%.

41' Goal 85% sure

Arda Kardzhali now leads 3-1 with 96.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.3%.

27' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Arda Kardzhali win: 83.2%. BTTS: 100%.

24' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 34.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

55%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Arda Kardzhali

B. Karagaren 1 gls

S. Kovachev 1 gls

A. Kabov 1 gls

Septemvri Sofia

André Filipe Rio Liberal 1 gls

F. Herard 1 gls

A. Dzhamov 1 gls

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Head to Head: Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia

1 Arda Kardzhali Wins

1 Draws

0 Septemvri Sofia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jul 2026	Septemvri Sofia	1 - 1	Arda Kardzhali
21 Mar 2026	Septemvri Sofia	1 - 4	Arda Kardzhali

Arda Kardzhali — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
08 Nov	A Spartak Varna	L	3 - 2
02 Nov	H Septemvri Sofia	W	2 - 1
27 Oct	H Levski Sofia	D	1 - 1
18 Oct	A Spartak Plovdiv	W	1 - 2
12 Oct	A Ludogorets	L	5 - 0

Septemvri Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Nov	H Lokomotiv Sofia	W	1 - 0
02 Nov	A Arda Kardzhali	L	2 - 1
27 Oct	A Cherno More Varna	L	2 - 0
17 Oct	A Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	L	2 - 1
11 Oct	H Dunav Ruse	L	2 - 3

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	12	10	2	0	25	5	+20	32
2	CSKA Sofia	13	9	4	0	29	9	+20	31
3	Ludogorets	13	9	3	1	26	11	+15	30
4	CSKA 1948	14	9	2	3	33	16	+17	29
5	Botev Plovdiv	14	7	2	5	23	21	+2	23
6	Arda Kardzhali	13	6	3	4	18	19	-1	21
7	Slavia Sofia	14	2	8	4	9	9	0	14
8	Spartak Varna	13	3	4	6	12	23	-11	13
9	Cherno More Varna	14	3	4	7	14	22	-8	13
10	Dunav Ruse	14	3	3	8	16	23	-7	12
11	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	14	3	3	8	8	18	-10	12
12	Septemvri Sofia	14	3	2	9	12	25	-13	11
13	Botev Vratsa	14	2	4	8	11	24	-13	10
14	Lokomotiv Sofia	14	1	6	7	15	26	-11	9

Septemvri Sofia

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: M. Kašćelan

12 Ivanov

26 Ozornwafor

4 Hristov

25 Vulikić

3 Gospodinov

10 Iliev

5 Baurenski

17 Fontaine

23 pedrinho

27 Liberal

29 Herard

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	V. Ivanov	G
25	S. Vulikić	D
4	M. Hristov	D
26	V. Ozornwafor	D
23	pedrinho	D
17	N. Fontaine	F
5	Y. Baurenski	M
10	N. Iliev	M
3	P. Gospodinov	D
29	F. Herard	F
27	André Filipe Rio Liberal	F

Substitutes

21	Viktor Dobrev	M
9	V. Mihaylov	M
7	E. Ribeiro	F
28	S. Stoichkov	F
24	Z. Atanasov	M
19	Pedro Igor	F
11	A. Dzhamov	F
13	K. Önaşçı	M
1	A. Radkov	G
2	B. Stoichkov	F

Arda Kardzhali

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: A. Tunchev

1 Gospodinov

35 Velkovski

5 Lyubenov

24 Paskalev

6 Popov

21 Velev

80 Kotev

91 Ivanov

39 Vutov

10 Kovachev

16 Bachev

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	A. Gospodinov	G
6	V. Popov	D
24	M. Paskalev	D
5	V. Lyubenov	D
35	D. Velkovski	D
80	L. Kotev	M
21	V. Velev	D
10	S. Kovachev	F
39	A. Vutov	M
91	S. Ivanov	F
16	P. Bachev	F

Substitutes

2	Derick Fernando da Silva	D
26	B. Akandzha	M
99	B. Karagaren	F
22	Y. Georgiev	G
4	David Akintola Idowu	D
11	A. Kabov	F
70	Nabil Makni	F
44	Adama Ardile Traoré	D
18	S. Vasilev	D
8	D. Yankov	M