Maribor vs Aluminij Prédiction

1. SNL 1. SNL · Regular Season - 10
FT
Post on X
Ljudski vrt, Maribor
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Maribor
63%
22%
15%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Maribor vs Aluminij : Sportiko estime que Maribor a 63% de chances de s'imposer, Aluminij 15% et le match nul 22%. Dernière mise à jour : 19 Sep 2026, 20:13.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline

12'
Yellow Card
19'
Yellow Card
22' 1–0
HT 1–0
1–1 52'
65'
65'
74'
79'
80'
⇄ Marko Mladenović
1–2 81'
83'
88'
90+7' 2–2
FT 2–2
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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Maribor
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Maribor
DWDWW
Aluminij
DWDLL
Last 2 meetings Maribor · 0W 2D 0L

Live insights

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Aluminij leads 1-2. Win probability: 87%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13%.

81' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Aluminij win probability: 83.9%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 25.1%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 67.3%. Late goal chance: 36%.

52' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 42.4%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Maribor leads. Win probability: 83.7%. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
63%
45%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
15%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Maribor vs Aluminij

0 Maribor Wins
2 Draws
0 Aluminij Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Jul 2026 Aluminij 0 - 0 Maribor
20 Mar 2026 Aluminij 1 - 1 Maribor

Maribor — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Aluminij D 2 - 2
13 Sep A Radomlje W 0 - 3
06 Sep H Mura D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Nafta W 2 - 3
23 Aug H Bravo W 3 - 1

Aluminij — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Maribor D 2 - 2
13 Sep A Mura W 1 - 6
05 Sep H Bravo D 0 - 0
02 Sep H Celje L 0 - 2
28 Aug H Koper L 0 - 1

1. SNL Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Maribor
10 5 5 0 +11 20
2
Koper
10 5 3 2 +3 18
3
Bravo
10 5 3 2 +2 18
4
Olimpija Ljubljana
10 4 2 4 +2 14
5
Aluminij
10 3 4 3 +5 13
6
Nafta
10 4 1 5 +1 13
7
Celje
9 3 3 3 0 12
8
Brinje-Grosuplje
10 3 2 5 -4 11
9
Mura
10 2 3 5 -11 9
10
Radomlje
9 1 2 6 -9 5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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