FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC Prédiction

Challenge League · Regular Season - 5

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FC Aarau

Home

2 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Away

Prédiction IA FC Aarau ou match nul

44%

27%

30%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC : Sportiko estime que FC Aarau a 44% de chances de s'imposer, Neuchatel Xamax FC 30% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 28 Aug 2026, 20:09.

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L'équipe à domicile marque 76%
1st Half Home or Draw 76%
L'équipe extérieure marque 72%
Moins de 3,5 buts 72%

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Timeline

▮ 39'

Yellow Card

⇄ 44'

Missed Penalty

45' ✗

Yellow Card

45+2' ▮

HT 0–0

▮ 56'

Yellow Card

59' ▮

64' ⇄

65' ⚽ 1–0

69' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 72'

⇄ 73'

▮ 74'

Yellow Card

75' ⇄

⇄ 82'

89' ⇄

Yellow Card

90' ▮

⚽ 2–1 90+2'

FT 2–1

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Notre approche

FC Aarau ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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FC Aarau

LDWDW

Neuchatel Xamax FC

LWLLL

Last 1 meetings FC Aarau · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

30%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Neuchatel Xamax FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	6	2	1
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ FC Aarau goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Away Win

30%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Away Win

30%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	7.1%	5.5%	2.4%	0.8%
1	8.0%	13.9%	7.9%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.8%	8.7%	5.6%	2.4%	0.8%
3	3.2%	4.1%	2.6%	1.1%	0.4%
4	1.1%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Aarau	Draw	Neuchatel Xamax FC
FC Aarau	21.6%	4.5%	2.1%
Draw	15.8%	18.2%	13.6%
Neuchatel Xamax FC	2.4%	4.4%	17.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

1 FC Aarau Wins

0 Draws

0 Neuchatel Xamax FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	FC Aarau	1 - 0	Neuchatel Xamax FC

FC Aarau — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A FC Winterthur	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Kriens	D	2 - 2
04 Sep	H Rapperswil	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A FC WIL 1900	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Neuchatel Xamax FC	W	2 - 1

Neuchatel Xamax FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Rapperswil	L	0 - 3
11 Sep	A Stade Nyonnais	W	1 - 3
04 Sep	A FC Winterthur	L	4 - 0
01 Sep	H Yverdon Sport	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A FC Aarau	L	2 - 1

Challenge League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	9	6	3	0	17	3	+14	21
2	FC Winterthur	9	5	3	1	19	8	+11	18
3	Yverdon Sport	9	4	4	1	14	9	+5	16
4	SC Kriens	9	4	2	3	16	11	+5	14
5	FC Aarau	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
6	Neuchatel Xamax FC	9	4	0	5	12	17	-5	12
7	Rapperswil	9	3	1	5	15	16	-1	10
8	Étoile Carouge	9	2	3	4	8	12	-4	9
9	FC WIL 1900	9	2	3	4	15	21	-6	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6	23	-17	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.