Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City Prédiction

League Two · Regular Season - 8

Post on X

Edinburgh City

Away

New Central Park, Kelty

Prédiction IA Trop serré pour trancher

37%

28%

35%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City : Sportiko estime que Kelty Hearts a 37% de chances de s'imposer, Edinburgh City 35% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 19 Sep 2026, 15:52.

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Timeline

▮ 1'

Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 2'

Yellow Card

14' ▮

⚽ 0–2 25'

Penalty

27' ⇄

⚽ 0–3 41'

Yellow Card

44' ▮

HT 0–3

Yellow Card

46' ▮

▮ 48'

Yellow Card

▮ 48'

Yellow Card

56' ⇄

68' ⚽ 1–3

Yellow Card

69' ▮

⇄ 72'

76' ⇄

⇄ 86'

⇄ 90+1'

FT 1–3

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Trop serré pour trancher

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Kelty Hearts

LLLWW

Edinburgh City

WWWDL

Match summary

In the League Two clash between Kelty Hearts and Edinburgh City, both teams have shown fluctuating form this season. Kelty Hearts will look to leverage their attacking prowess, with a goal-scoring rate of 1.5 goals per match, while Edinburgh City has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. The match could hinge on Kelty's ability to capitalize on set-pieces, where they have been particularly effective. Conversely, Edinburgh City needs to tighten their defense to avoid falling behind early. This encounter promises to be a pivotal one for both sides as they seek to improve their standings.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Edinburgh City leads 1-3. Win probability: 98.2%. Comeback chance: 1.8%.

68' Goal 85% sure

Edinburgh City now leads 1-3 with 96.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 49.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-3. Edinburgh City leads. Win probability: 98%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.4%.

43' Goal 85% sure

Edinburgh City now leads 0-3 with 97.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.8%.

27' Goal 85% sure

Edinburgh City now leads 0-2 with 86.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 84.6%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

35%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Edinburgh City goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	7	6	3	1
1	7	13	8	4	1
2	6	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Kelty Hearts goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

35%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

35%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 17% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 35% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	6.7%	5.8%	2.7%	1.0%
1	6.9%	13.4%	8.3%	3.9%	1.4%
2	6.0%	8.5%	6.0%	2.8%	1.0%
3	2.9%	4.1%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.0%	1.5%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Kelty Hearts	Draw	Edinburgh City
Kelty Hearts	18.7%	3.6%	1.6%
Draw	15.6%	16.9%	11.6%
Edinburgh City	3.2%	5.8%	23.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Kelty Hearts — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Hearts U21	L	3 - 5
19 Sep	H Edinburgh City	L	1 - 3
12 Sep	A Clyde	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Cumbernauld Colts	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	H Annan Athletic	W	2 - 1

Edinburgh City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Dundee United II	W	1 - 0
19 Sep	A Kelty Hearts	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Stirling Albion	W	7 - 3
08 Sep	H Queen of the South	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Clyde	L	3 - 2

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Clyde	8	5	2	1	19	10	+9	17
2	Stranraer	8	5	1	2	17	8	+9	16
3	Spartans	8	3	3	2	19	15	+4	12
4	Elgin City	8	3	2	3	19	14	+5	11
5	Forfar Athletic	8	3	2	3	8	13	-5	11
6	Edinburgh City	8	4	2	2	19	15	+4	9
7	Annan Athletic	8	3	0	5	9	10	-1	9
8	Dumbarton	8	3	0	5	8	14	-6	9
9	Kelty Hearts	8	3	0	5	11	18	-7	9
10	Stirling Albion	8	1	2	5	10	22	-12	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.