SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg Prédiction

3. Liga · Regular Season - 4

Post on X

SSV Jahn Regensburg

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 0

MSV Duisburg

Away

Jahnstadion Regensburg, Regensburg

Prédiction IA MSV Duisburg ou match nul

27%

26%

47%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg : Sportiko estime que SSV Jahn Regensburg a 27% de chances de s'imposer, MSV Duisburg 47% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 5 Sep 2026, 14:00.

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L'équipe à domicile marque 73%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

▮ 25'

Lex-Tyger Lobinger Red Card

▮ 30'

Patrick Sussek Yellow Card

Yellow Card

32' ▮

Yellow Card

33' ▮

▮ 33'

Can Coskun Yellow Card

⇄ 45'

Patrick Sussek ⇄ Jan-Simon Symalla

⇄ 45'

Dominik Kother

HT 0–0

▮ 54'

Yellow Card

56' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 59'

Yellow Card

60' ▮

⚽ 1–1 71'

assist: Jan-Simon Symalla

72' ⇄

⇄ 73'

Martin Ens ⇄ Niklas Jessen

75' ⇄

Yellow Card

77' ▮

▮ 78'

Aljaž Casar Yellow Card

⇄ 79'

Aljaž Casar ⇄ Max Besuschkow

⚽ 1–2 81'

Tobias Fleckstein assist: Rasim Bulić

82' ⇄

FT 1–2

SSV Jahn Regensburg

Match Stats

MSV Duisburg

61% Ball Possession 39%

8 Total Shots 8

3 Shots on Goal 6

5 Shots off Goal 2

0 Blocked Shots 0

6 Corner Kicks 5

4 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 1

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Notre approche

MSV Duisburg ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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SSV Jahn Regensburg

DLDLL

MSV Duisburg

WWLWW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

27%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

47%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

MSV Duisburg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	7	7	4	2	1
1	5	12	10	6	3	1
2	4	7	6	4	2	1
3	2	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ SSV Jahn Regensburg goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Home Win

27%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Home Win

27%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

63% Away (No Draw) 37% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 27% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	6.7%	7.2%	4.3%	1.9%
1	4.6%	12.1%	9.6%	5.7%	2.6%
2	3.9%	7.0%	6.3%	3.8%	1.7%
3	1.7%	3.1%	2.8%	1.7%	0.7%
4	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

26%

29%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SSV Jahn Regensburg	Draw	MSV Duisburg
SSV Jahn Regensburg	15.5%	4.7%	3.3%
Draw	10.3%	15.3%	17.5%
MSV Duisburg	1.9%	4.2%	27.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

SSV Jahn Regensburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Stuttgart II	D	3 - 3
15 Sep	H Fortuna Düsseldorf	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Alemannia Aachen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H MSV Duisburg	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Hoffenheim II	L	5 - 1

MSV Duisburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A SV Wehen	W	1 - 4
15 Sep	H Havelse	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Düsseldorf	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A SSV Jahn Regensburg	W	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Würzburger Kickers	W	3 - 0

3. Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	7	6	0	1	19	7	+12	18
2	FC Viktoria Köln	7	5	0	2	19	9	+10	15
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	7	4	2	1	13	9	+4	14
4	FC Saarbrücken	7	4	1	2	19	12	+7	13
5	Hoffenheim II	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
6	Hansa Rostock	7	3	3	1	15	15	0	12
7	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11	8	+3	11
8	Preußen Münster	7	3	2	2	12	13	-1	11
9	Waldhof Mannheim	7	3	1	3	11	10	+1	10
10	Fortuna Düsseldorf	7	3	1	3	6	7	-1	10
11	Verl	7	3	1	3	10	13	-3	10
12	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	7	2	2	3	6	9	-3	8
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	2	2	3	7	11	-4	8
14	Stuttgart II	7	2	1	4	12	15	-3	7
15	Würzburger Kickers	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
16	Fortuna Köln	6	1	3	2	5	7	-2	6
17	SV Meppen	7	2	0	5	8	15	-7	6
18	SSV Jahn Regensburg	7	1	2	4	13	17	-4	5
19	SV Wehen	7	1	2	4	5	13	-8	5
20	Havelse	6	1	1	4	9	12	-3	4