Portsmouth vs Stoke City Prédiction

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 15
FT
Post on X
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Prédiction IA Portsmouth ou match nul
42%
31%
28%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Portsmouth vs Stoke City : Sportiko estime que Portsmouth a 42% de chances de s'imposer, Stoke City 28% et le match nul 31%. Dernière mise à jour : 7 Nov 2026, 14:26.

Pronostics Premium

Premium
  • L'équipe à domicile marque 74%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
  • Plus de 1,5 buts 71%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 70%
Les membres Premium avaient ces pronostics avant le coup d'envoi. Voir les sélections Premium

Timeline

T. Shade
6' ⚽ 1–0
Ebou Adams Yellow Card
22' ▮
▮ 29'
J. Tchamadeu Yellow Card
Regan Poole Yellow Card
45+1' ▮
HT 1–0
▮ 55'
Róbert Boženík Yellow Card
⇄ 57'
J. Tchamadeu ⇄ Luca Bombino
⇄ 57'
Róbert Boženík ⇄ George Hirst
⚽ 1–1 59'
Jack McGlynn assist: Luca Bombino
Adrian Segečić ⇄ Thomas Waddingham
65' ⇄
▮ 72'
Ethan Galbraith Yellow Card
Jayden Meghoma ⇄ Zak Swanson
75' ⇄
Marlon Pack ⇄ Rocco Robert Shein
75' ⇄
⚽ 1–2 77'
Ben Wilmot
Odin Bailey ⇄ Josh Murphy
81' ⇄
Abu Kamara ⇄ Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
81' ⇄
⇄ 86'
Million Manhoef ⇄ Justin Devenny
Terry Devlin Yellow Card
90+4' ▮
FT 1–2
Portsmouth

Match Stats

Stoke City
55% Ball Possession 45%
0.7 Expected Goals (xG) 0.88
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 1
2 Blocked Shots 0
6 Shots insidebox 3
2 Shots outsidebox 1
7 Corner Kicks 0
2 Offsides 5
14 Fouls 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
373 Total passes 320
280 Passes accurate 227
12 Free Kicks 13
Portsmouth
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 T. Shade F 7.3 90' 1 – 2 34 (27%) 2
7 Marlon Pack M 6.7 75' – – 1 24 (21%) –
20 Thomas Waddingham F 6.6 25' – – 1 2 (1%) –
25 Ryan Kavuma-McQueen F 6.5 9' – – – 1 1
55 Madiodio Dia D 6.5 90' – – – 38 (34%) 1
38 Ebou Adams M 6.4 90' – – – 33 (25%) 5
16 Jayden Meghoma D 6.3 75' – – – 30 (23%) 1
27 Odin Bailey M 6.3 81' – – 2 37 (28%) 4
19 Rocco Robert Shein M 6.2 15' – – – 13 (12%) 1
5 Regan Poole D 6.2 90' – – 1 37 (29%) 1
11 Abu Kamara M 6.1 81' – – – 14 (11%) –
10 Adrian Segečić M 6.1 65' – – 1 12 (10%) 1
23 Josh Murphy M 6.0 9' – – – 1 (1%) –
22 Zak Swanson D 5.8 15' – – – 14 (12%) –
1 Nicolas Schmid G 5.6 90' – – – 45 (26%) –
24 Terry Devlin D 5.4 90' – – – 38 (20%) 1
Stoke City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Jack McGlynn F 7.4 90' 1 – 1 30 (17%) –
16 Ben Wilmot D 7.2 90' 1 – 2 33 (24%) 1
1 Viktor Johansson G 7.0 90' – – – 23 (18%) –
18 B. Lawal D 6.7 90' – – – 29 (25%) 1
15 George Hirst F 6.6 33' – – – 3 (2%) 1
27 Djibril Soumaré M 6.4 90' – – – 34 (28%) 2
42 Million Manhoef F 6.4 86' – – – 19 (16%) 1
21 Luca Bombino D 6.3 33' – 1 – 11 (8%) –
8 Ethan Galbraith M 6.3 90' – – 1 35 (26%) 1
9 Róbert Boženík F 6.3 57' – – – 9 (4%) –
5 Luke Graham D 6.2 90' – – – 53 (37%) 3
22 J. Tchamadeu M 6.1 57' – – – 13 (9%) 2
2 Ben Johnson M 5.9 90' – – – 24 (13%) 1
13 Justin Devenny M 5.8 4' – – – 4 –
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Portsmouth ou match nul
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Portsmouth
LWDWD
Stoke City
WWWDW

Live insights

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Stoke City leads 1-2. Win probability: 90.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 9.1%.

78' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Stoke City win probability: 85.8%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 27.2%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 70.3%. Late goal chance: 32.7%.

61' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 54.9%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Portsmouth leads. Win probability: 76.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 68.6%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
42%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
28%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Portsmouth

No scorer data.

Stoke City
J. McGlynn 4 gls

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Head to Head: Portsmouth vs Stoke City

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Portsmouth — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Stoke City L 1 - 2
03 Nov H Swansea W 3 - 1
31 Oct A Burnley D 0 - 0
24 Oct H Millwall W 2 - 1
20 Oct A Wolves D 1 - 1

Stoke City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Portsmouth W 1 - 2
03 Nov A Blackburn W 1 - 2
31 Oct H Preston W 2 - 0
24 Oct H Bristol City D 0 - 0
17 Oct A Derby W 0 - 1

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Birmingham
15 8 5 2 +14 29
2
Middlesbrough
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Stoke City
15 9 2 4 +6 29
4
Wolves
15 8 4 3 +8 28
5
West Brom
15 8 4 3 +8 28
6
Swansea
15 8 2 5 +4 26
7
Southampton
15 8 4 3 +14 24
8
QPR
15 6 6 3 +6 24
9
West Ham
15 6 5 4 +14 23
10
Sheffield Utd
15 6 4 5 +2 22
11
Portsmouth
15 6 4 5 +2 22
12
Norwich
15 7 0 8 +8 21
13
Blackburn
15 6 3 6 -1 21
14
Cardiff
15 4 6 5 0 18
15
Wrexham
15 4 6 5 -2 18
16
Millwall
15 5 3 7 -4 18
17
Bristol City
15 5 3 7 -8 18
18
Bolton
15 5 2 8 -9 17
19
Charlton
15 4 5 6 -10 17
20
Watford
15 4 3 8 -10 15
21
Lincoln
15 4 3 8 -11 15
22
Burnley
15 1 7 7 -9 10
23
Derby
15 2 4 9 -16 10
24
Preston
15 2 2 11 -17 8

Stoke City

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: M. Robins
1 Johansson
5 Graham
18 Lawal
16 Wilmot
2 Johnson
8 Galbraith
27 Soumaré
22 Tchamadeu
42 Manhoef
9 Boženík
7 McGlynn

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 V. Johansson G
16 B. Wilmot D
18 B. Lawal D
5 L. Graham D
22 J. Tchamadeu M
27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré M
8 E. Galbraith M
2 B. Johnson M
7 J. McGlynn F
9 R. Boženík F
42 M. Manhoef F

Substitutes

40 M. Talovierov D
19 T. Rigo M
6 S. Ingelsson M
15 G. Hirst F
24 J. Griffiths G
20 S. Gallagher F
13 J. Devenny M
21 L. Bombino D
10 Bae Jun-Ho M

Portsmouth

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Schmid
16 Meghoma
55 Dia
5 Poole
24 Devlin
7 Pack
38 Adams
11 Kamara
27 Bailey
10 Segecic
17 Shade

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Schmid G
24 T. Devlin D
5 R. Poole D
55 M. Dia D
16 J. Meghoma D
38 E. Adams M
7 M. Pack M
10 A. Segecic M
27 O. Bailey M
11 A. Kamara M
17 T. Shade F

Substitutes

31 D. Bielica G
25 R. Kavuma McQueen F
32 E. Kenny M
23 J. Murphy M
6 C. Shaughnessy D
19 R. Shein M
22 Z. Swanson D
15 F. Umeh F
20 T. Waddingham F

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