Southampton vs Portsmouth Prédiction
FT
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Prédiction IA
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Southampton
60%
24%
17%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Southampton vs Portsmouth : Sportiko estime que Southampton a 60% de chances de s'imposer, Portsmouth 17% et le match nul 24%. Dernière mise à jour : 11 Oct 2026, 12:55.
Timeline
James Bree
assist: Finn Azaz
20'
⚽
1–0
Cameron Bragg
Yellow Card
32'
▮
▮
34'
Ebou Adams
Yellow Card
Cameron Bragg
Red Card
44'
▮
⇄
45'
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
⇄ Adrian Segečić
HT 1–0
Cyle Larin
Yellow Card
51'
▮
Finn Azaz
Yellow Card
53'
▮
▮
53'
Jayden Meghoma
Yellow Card
Leo Scienza
⇄ Kuryu Matsuki
57'
⇄
⇄
65'
Ebou Adams
⇄ Odin Bailey
⇄
65'
Jayden Meghoma
⇄ Terry Devlin
⇄
65'
Colby Bishop
⇄ Marko Milovanović
▮
69'
Terry Devlin
Yellow Card
Cyle Larin
⇄ C. Jander
72'
⇄
⇄
77'
Zak Swanson
⇄ K. Anderson
Keven Schlotterbeck
Yellow Card
82'
▮
FT 1–0
Southampton
Match Stats
Portsmouth
51%
Ball Possession
49%
1.35
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
7
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
9
2
Blocked Shots
4
6
Shots insidebox
9
1
Shots outsidebox
6
2
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
14
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
396
Total passes
366
329
Passes accurate
300
13
Free Kicks
11
Southampton
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 James Bree D | 8.1 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 32 (23%) | 2 |
| 3 Ryan Manning D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (33%) | – |
| 5 Jack Stephens D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (42%) | 1 |
| 13 Keven Schlotterbeck D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 65 (59%) | 1 |
| 10 Finn Azaz M | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 32 (25%) | 1 |
| 8 C. Jander M | 6.9 | 18' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 2 |
| 30 James Ward-Prowse M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | – |
| 7 Leo Scienza M | 6.8 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 11 (11%) | 1 |
| 1 Daniel Peretz G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (29%) | – |
| 4 Flynn Downes M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | 3 |
| 26 Cameron Bragg M | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 37 (36%) | – |
| 27 Kuryu Matsuki M | 6.4 | 33' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 9 Cyle Larin F | 6.1 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 6 (6%) | – |
Portsmouth
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Regan Poole D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (44%) | 1 |
| 16 Jayden Meghoma D | 6.7 | 65' | – | – | 3 | 25 (22%) | 1 |
| 1 Nicolas Schmid G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (25%) | – |
| 55 Madiodio Dia D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (41%) | 1 |
| 10 Adrian Segečić M | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 38 Ebou Adams M | 6.5 | 65' | – | – | – | 26 (23%) | 4 |
| 25 Ryan Kavuma-McQueen M | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | 2 | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 7 Marlon Pack M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 60 (50%) | 1 |
| 11 Abu Kamara M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 18 (11%) | – |
| 9 Colby Bishop F | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 5 (1%) | – |
| 27 Odin Bailey M | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 12 (12%) | – |
| 21 K. Anderson M | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 17 T. Shade M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (21%) | – |
| 29 Marko Milovanović F | 6.1 | 25' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 24 Terry Devlin M | 6.0 | 25' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | – |
| 22 Zak Swanson D | 5.9 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 33 (22%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (60%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Southampton
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Southampton
LDWWD
Portsmouth
LWDWD
Match summary
In the upcoming Championship clash between Southampton and Portsmouth, both teams will be looking to capitalize on their recent form. Southampton has demonstrated a solid home record, and while they may have the advantage of familiar surroundings, Portsmouth's away performances have shown resilience. Key players to watch include Southampton's attacking threats and Portsmouth's defensive organization, which could prove crucial in a tightly contested derby. With both teams vying for crucial points, expect a competitive match with potential playoff implications.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
60%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
17%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Southampton
C. Larin
7 gls
K. Matsuki
4 gls
Portsmouth
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Southampton vs Portsmouth
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Southampton — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Preston | L | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A West Brom | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H QPR | W | 4 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A West Ham | W | 2 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | H Bolton | D | 0 - 0 |
Portsmouth — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Stoke City | L | 1 - 2 |
| 03 Nov | H Swansea | W | 3 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Burnley | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Millwall | W | 2 - 1 |
| 20 Oct | A Wolves | D | 1 - 1 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Southampton
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Peretz
3
Manning
13
Schlotterbeck
5
Stephens
14
Bree
30
Ward-Prowse
4
Downes
7
Scienza
10
Azaz
26
Bragg
9
Larin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Peretz | G |
| 14 | J. Bree | D |
| 5 | J. Stephens | D |
| 13 | K. Schlotterbeck | D |
| 3 | R. Manning | D |
| 4 | F. Downes | M |
| 30 | J. Ward-Prowse | M |
| 26 | Cameron Bragg | M |
| 10 | F. Azaz | M |
| 7 | Léo Scienza | M |
| 9 | C. Larin | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | D. Mubama | F |
| 27 | K. Matsuki | M |
| 25 | G. Long | G |
| 8 | C. Jander | M |
| 18 | T. Fellows | M |
| 23 | S. Edozie | M |
| 11 | L. Dobbin | F |
| 34 | Welington | D |
| 15 | N. Wood-Gordon | D |
Portsmouth
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Schmid
16
Meghoma
55
Dia
5
Poole
22
Swanson
38
Adams
7
Pack
17
Shade
11
Kamara
25
McQueen
9
Bishop
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Schmid | G |
| 22 | Z. Swanson | D |
| 5 | R. Poole | D |
| 55 | M. Dia | D |
| 16 | J. Meghoma | D |
| 7 | M. Pack | M |
| 38 | E. Adams | M |
| 25 | R. Kavuma McQueen | M |
| 11 | A. Kamara | M |
| 17 | T. Shade | M |
| 9 | C. Bishop | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | R. Shein | M |
| 21 | K. Anderson | M |
| 27 | O. Bailey | M |
| 31 | D. Bielica | G |
| 24 | T. Devlin | M |
| 32 | E. Kenny | M |
| 29 | M. Milovanović | F |
| 37 | I. Mohamed | M |
| 10 | A. Segecic | M |