Wrexham vs Southampton Prédiction

Championship · Regular Season - 8

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Wrexham

Home

2 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Southampton

Away

STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam

Prédiction IA Southampton ou match nul

30%

27%

43%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Wrexham vs Southampton : Sportiko estime que Wrexham a 30% de chances de s'imposer, Southampton 43% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 19 Sep 2026, 15:57.

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Timeline

▮ 14'

Cyle Larin Yellow Card

Kieffer Moore assist: Ben Whiteman

35' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 45'

Leo Scienza ⇄ Samuel Edozie

HT 1–0

⚽ 1–1 50'

James Ward-Prowse assist: Samuel Edozie

B. Sheaf ⇄ Matty James

65' ⇄

▮ 69'

Nathan Wood Yellow Card

Kieffer Moore ⇄ Sam Smith

72' ⇄

⇄ 76'

Kuryu Matsuki ⇄ Tom Fellows

Dominic Hyam Yellow Card

86' ▮

⇄ 86'

Cyle Larin ⇄ Divin Mubama

Josh Windass ⇄ Lewis O'Brien

87' ⇄

Keven Schlotterbeck Own Goal

89' ⚽ 2–1

▮ 90+2'

Ryan Manning Yellow Card

⇄ 90+2'

James Bree ⇄ Lewis Dobbin

▮ 90+5'

Flynn Downes Yellow Card

FT 2–1

Wrexham

Match Stats

Southampton

40% Ball Possession 60%

8 Total Shots 19

4 Shots on Goal 7

4 Shots off Goal 8

0 Blocked Shots 4

6 Shots insidebox 12

2 Shots outsidebox 7

2 Corner Kicks 3

0 Offsides 2

8 Fouls 7

1 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

6 Goalkeeper Saves 3

317 Total passes 659

253 Passes accurate 597

7 Free Kicks 7

Wrexham

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Kieffer Moore F	8.1	72'	1	–	2	23 (15%)	–
22 Anthony Patterson G	7.6	90'	–	–	–	32 (19%)	–
8 Ben Whiteman M	7.4	90'	–	1	–	31 (30%)	–
26 Zak Vyner D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	27 (23%)	3
28 Sam Smith F	6.8	18'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	1
17 Callum O'Hare M	6.6	90'	–	–	4	25 (23%)	2
10 Josh Windass M	6.6	87'	–	–	1	35 (26%)	–
2 Callum Doyle D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	29 (20%)	2
37 Matty James M	6.4	25'	–	–	–	16 (16%)	–
27 Lewis O'Brien M	6.4	3'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
18 B. Sheaf M	6.4	65'	–	–	–	34 (26%)	–
12 Issa Kaboré M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	17 (16%)	–
3 Jacques Ekomié M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	3
5 Dominic Hyam D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	26 (21%)	1

Southampton

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
30 James Ward-Prowse M	8.2	90'	1	–	5	70 (67%)	3
4 Flynn Downes M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	78 (73%)	2
14 James Bree D	6.8	92'	–	–	1	51 (49%)	–
3 Ryan Manning D	6.8	90'	–	–	2	58 (51%)	–
23 Samuel Edozie M	6.7	44'	–	1	–	8 (7%)	–
1 Daniel Peretz G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	64 (63%)	–
15 Nathan Wood D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	106 (96%)	2
7 Leo Scienza M	6.4	46'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	1
10 Finn Azaz M	6.3	90'	–	–	2	49 (41%)	–
28 Divin Mubama F	6.3	4'	–	–	–	–	–
9 Cyle Larin F	6.0	86'	–	–	5	16 (11%)	–
18 Tom Fellows M	6.0	14'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
13 Keven Schlotterbeck D	5.8	90'	–	–	2	103 (95%)	1
27 Kuryu Matsuki M	5.8	76'	–	–	2	28 (19%)	2

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Southampton ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Wrexham

WLDDW

Southampton

LWWDD

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Wrexham win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 67.1%. Late goal chance: 36.6%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Wrexham leads. Win probability: 61.9%. Over 0.5 more goals: 73.5%.

45' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 40.9%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

36' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Wrexham win: 59%. BTTS: 63.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

43%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Southampton goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	9	9	5	2	1
1	5	13	10	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Wrexham goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

Wrexham

K. Moore 3 gls

Southampton

C. Larin 7 gls

F. Azaz 3 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Home Win

30%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Home Win

30%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

67% Away (No Draw) 33% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	9.0%	8.8%	4.9%	2.1%
1	5.4%	13.1%	9.7%	5.4%	2.3%
2	3.8%	6.4%	5.3%	3.0%	1.2%
3	1.4%	2.3%	2.0%	1.1%	0.5%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Wrexham	Draw	Southampton
Wrexham	13.1%	4.1%	2.3%
Draw	9.6%	16.8%	16.6%
Southampton	1.7%	4.6%	31.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Wrexham vs Southampton

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Wrexham — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Southampton	W	2 - 1
11 Sep	A West Ham	L	6 - 0
08 Sep	H Burnley	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Swansea	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A Millwall	W	0 - 3

Southampton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Wrexham	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Bristol City	W	4 - 1
08 Sep	H Swansea	W	3 - 1
05 Sep	A Lincoln	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Birmingham	D	1 - 1

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	5	2	1	13	6	+7	17
2	West Ham	8	4	3	1	22	11	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	16	12	+4	15
4	Wolves	7	4	2	1	15	10	+5	14
5	West Brom	8	4	2	2	10	8	+2	14
6	QPR	8	3	4	1	10	7	+3	13
7	Stoke City	8	4	1	3	13	12	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	11	12	-1	13
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	7	10	-3	12
10	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	12	11	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	3	2	3	15	15	0	11
12	Lincoln	8	3	2	3	7	8	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19	10	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	9	12	-3	10
15	Bolton	8	3	1	4	11	15	-4	10
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	12	12	0	9
17	Norwich	8	3	0	5	16	17	-1	9
18	Sheffield Utd	8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	7	10	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	1	4	3	10	12	-2	7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	7	14	-7	5
23	Preston	8	1	1	6	8	15	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	9	17	-8	4