Bristol City vs Watford Prédiction

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 8
FT
Post on X
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Bristol City
53%
26%
21%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Bristol City vs Watford : Sportiko estime que Bristol City a 53% de chances de s'imposer, Watford 21% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 18 Sep 2026, 20:53.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline

▮ 21'
Mamadou Doumbia Yellow Card
▮ 25'
Amin Nabizada Yellow Card
Dominic Ballard assist: Rio Cardines
31' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
▮ 54'
Branimir Mlačić Yellow Card
Jason Knight Yellow Card
54' ▮
Joe Williams Yellow Card
54' ▮
▮ 54'
Edo Kayembe Yellow Card
⇄ 62'
Branimir Mlačić ⇄ Albert Eames
⇄ 62'
Rocco Vata ⇄ Othmane Maamma
⇄ 62'
Amin Nabizada ⇄ Stephy Mavididi
Dominic Ballard ⇄ Lorent Tolaj
63' ⇄
Yu Hirakawa ⇄ Jed Wallace
63' ⇄
⇄ 70'
Mamadou Doumbia ⇄ Myron Boadu
Sam Greenwood ⇄ Cameron Pring
70' ⇄
▮ 81'
Matthew Pollock Yellow Card
Noah Eile ⇄ Lisav Naif Eissat
88' ⇄
Adam Randell ⇄ Gibson Yah
88' ⇄
FT 1–0
Bristol City

Match Stats

Watford
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 5
12 Shots insidebox 3
5 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Corner Kicks 5
3 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 15
2 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
269 Total passes 489
207 Passes accurate 418
14 Free Kicks 11
Bristol City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Rio Cardines D 8.3 90' – 1 1 23 (15%) –
23 Dominic Ballard F 8.2 63' 1 – 1 5 (5%) 1
38 Noah Eile D 7.6 88' – – 1 31 (27%) 1
19 George Tanner D 7.5 90' – – 1 22 (18%) 5
27 Gibson Yah M 7.3 2' – – 1 – –
3 Cameron Pring D 7.1 20' – – – 2 (1%) 1
4 Adam Randell M 7.1 88' – – – 24 (22%) –
5 Robert Atkinson D 7.1 90' – – – 44 (35%) 2
2 Lisav Naif Eissat D 7.0 2' – – – 1 (1%) –
20 Sam Greenwood M 6.9 70' – – 2 14 (10%) 5
9 Lorent Tolaj F 6.9 27' – – 3 4 (3%) –
17 Jed Wallace M 6.8 27' – – – 4 (4%) –
7 Yu Hirakawa M 6.7 63' – – 3 16 (8%) 2
1 Sam Tickle G 6.6 90' – – – 23 (14%) –
12 Jason Knight M 6.4 90' – – 1 22 (16%) –
8 Joe Williams M 6.4 90' – – 3 34 (28%) 2
Watford
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Federico Ravaglia G 7.7 90' – – – 37 (27%) –
9 Luca Kjerrumgaard F 6.9 90' – – 1 12 (9%) –
5 Hector Kyprianou M 6.7 90' – – 2 54 (50%) –
45 Stephy Mavididi F 6.6 28' – – 1 13 (10%) 2
39 Edo Kayembe M 6.5 90' – – 2 43 (37%) 2
17 Iker Bravo M 6.5 90' – – – 34 (29%) –
29 Branimir Mlačić D 6.4 62' – – – 50 (45%) 1
6 Matthew Pollock D 6.4 90' – – – 100 (88%) 1
7 Othmane Maamma F 6.4 28' – – – 16 (13%) –
4 Kévin Keben Biakolo D 6.3 90' – – – 56 (51%) –
21 Amin Nabizada M 6.2 62' – – 2 23 (20%) 1
11 Rocco Vata M 6.2 62' – – 1 10 (6%) –
10 Myron Boadu F 6.1 20' – – 1 3 (2%) 1
20 Mamadou Doumbia F 6.1 70' – – – 22 (19%) 1
56 Albert Eames D 5.9 28' – – – 16 (12%) –
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Bristol City
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Bristol City
WLLWW
Watford
LLWLL
Last 1 meetings Bristol City · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Bristol City leads 1-0. Win probability: 88.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 11.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Bristol City leads. Win probability: 81%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.8%.

32' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Bristol City win: 80.1%. BTTS: 49.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
21%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bristol City
D. Ballard 3 gls
Watford
Amin Nabizada 3 gls

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Head to Head: Bristol City vs Watford

0 Bristol City Wins
0 Draws
1 Watford Wins
Date Home Score Away
27 Feb 2026 Bristol City 1 - 2 Watford

Bristol City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Watford W 1 - 0
15 Sep H Lincoln L 0 - 1
12 Sep A Southampton L 4 - 1
05 Sep A Burnley W 1 - 2
01 Sep A Preston W 1 - 3

Watford — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Bristol City L 1 - 0
12 Sep H Stoke City L 1 - 2
08 Sep H Preston W 2 - 1
05 Sep A West Brom L 1 - 0
01 Sep A Swansea L 2 - 0

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Swansea
8 5 2 1 +7 17
2
West Ham
8 4 3 1 +11 15
3
Middlesbrough
8 4 3 1 +4 15
4
Wolves
7 4 2 1 +5 14
5
West Brom
8 4 2 2 +2 14
6
QPR
8 3 4 1 +3 13
7
Stoke City
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Bristol City
8 4 1 3 -1 13
9
Charlton
8 3 3 2 -3 12
10
Birmingham
8 2 5 1 +1 11
11
Millwall
8 3 2 3 0 11
12
Lincoln
8 3 2 3 -1 11
13
Southampton
8 4 2 2 +9 10
14
Wrexham
8 2 4 2 -3 10
15
Bolton
8 3 1 4 -4 10
16
Blackburn
8 2 3 3 0 9
17
Norwich
8 3 0 5 -1 9
18
Sheffield Utd
8 2 3 3 -2 9
19
Portsmouth
7 2 2 3 -1 8
20
Watford
8 2 2 4 -3 8
21
Cardiff
8 1 4 3 -2 7
22
Derby
8 1 2 5 -7 5
23
Preston
8 1 1 6 -7 4
24
Burnley
8 0 4 4 -8 4

Watford

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: A. Dionisi
1 Ravaglia
29 Mlačić
6 Pollock
4 Keben
21 Nabizada
39 Kayembe
5 Kyprianou
11 Vata
17 Bravo
9 Kjerrumgaard
20 Doumbia

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Ravaglia G
4 K. Keben D
6 M. Pollock D
29 Branimir Mlačić D
11 R. Vata M
5 H. Kyprianou M
39 E. Kayembe M
21 Amin Nabizada M
17 Iker Bravo M
20 M. Doumbia F
9 L. Kjerrumgaard F

Substitutes

45 S. Mavididi F
7 O. Maamma F
43 J. Grieves F
10 M. Boadu F
24 S. Walker G
26 D. Bachmann G
19 N. Chikovani F
53 James Andrew Clarridge D
56 Albert Eames D

Bristol City

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Skubala
1 Tickle
21 Cardines
5 Atkinson
38 Eile
19 Tanner
4 Randell
8 Williams
20 Greenwood
12 Knight
7 Hirakawa
23 Ballard

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. Tickle G
19 G. Tanner D
38 N. Eile D
5 R. Atkinson D
21 Rio Cardines D
8 J. Williams M
4 A. Randell M
7 Y. Hirakawa M
12 J. Knight M
20 S. Greenwood M
23 D. Ballard F

Substitutes

45 E. Adebayo F
40 B. Collins G
2 L. Eissat D
14 T. Horvat M
3 C. Pring D
9 L. Tolaj F
10 S. Twine M
17 J. Wallace M
27 G. Yah M

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