Metz vs PAU Prédiction

Ligue 2 Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 11
FT
Post on X
1 : 3
HT 0 - 1
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
Prédiction IA Metz ou match nul
44%
29%
28%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Metz vs PAU : Sportiko estime que Metz a 44% de chances de s'imposer, PAU 28% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 30 Oct 2026, 20:57.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 11'
Cheikh Fall assist: Jessy Benet
✗ 18'
Jessy Benet Missed Penalty
⇄ Jahyann Pandore
45' ⇄
Bryan Song ⇄ Ibou Sane
45' ⇄
Cristian Castro Yellow Card
45+3' ▮
HT 0–1
▮ 58'
Axel Bamba Yellow Card
⇄ 61'
Akim Abdallah ⇄ Souleymane Basse
⇄ 61'
J. Sebas ⇄ B. Leye
Urie-Michel Mboula ⇄ Florian Miguel
62' ⇄
⚽ 0–2 64'
Cheikh Fall assist: B. Leye
Idris Mohamed ⇄ A. Agne Ba
67' ⇄
⚽ 0–3 68'
Hacene Benali
Teji Savanier Penalty
75' ⚽ 1–3
⇄ 76'
Hacene Benali ⇄ Alexis Lefebvre
Nathan Mbala ⇄ Hamza Kadamani
79' ⇄
Teji Savanier Yellow Card
85' ▮
FT 1–3
Metz

Match Stats

PAU
69% Ball Possession 31%
1.78 Expected Goals (xG) 2.14
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 3
7 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 1
8 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
717 Total passes 332
665 Passes accurate 250
8 Free Kicks 11
Metz
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Teji Savanier M 7.8 90' 1 – 5 93 (85%) 2
8 Jessy Deminguet M 7.2 90' – – 5 93 (89%) 1
Seamus Maughan 6.7 46' – – 1 5 (5%) –
98 Idris Mohamed M 6.6 67' – – – 70 (66%) 1
5 Jean Ruiz D 6.5 90' – – – 96 (91%) –
21 Jahyann Pandore F 6.4 44' – – – 26 (24%) 1
7 Ibou Sane F 6.4 44' – – – 5 (5%) –
4 Urie-Michel Mboula D 6.3 62' – – – 65 (64%) 1
88 A. Agne Ba F 6.3 23' – – – 17 (15%) –
22 Nathan Mbala F 6.2 79' – – 1 15 (13%) 3
70 Bouna Sarr D 6.1 90' – – 2 76 (69%) –
3 Florian Miguel D 6.1 28' – – – 18 (14%) 1
42 Cristian Castro D 6.0 90' – – 1 83 (79%) 1
38 Hamza Kadamani M 5.9 11' – – – 16 (13%) –
1 Jonathan Fischer G 5.7 90' – – – 20 (19%) –
39 Bryan Song M 5.7 46' – – – 15 (12%) –
PAU
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Cheikh Fall M 8.7 90' 2 – 2 27 (22%) 3
7 Hacene Benali F 8.1 76' 1 – 1 16 (11%) 2
9 B. Leye F 7.3 29' – 1 2 8 (7%) 2
23 Anthony Briançon D 7.2 90' – – – 30 (26%) 3
21 Jessy Benet M 7.0 90' – 1 1 31 (25%) 2
1 Brice Maubleu G 6.8 90' – – – 28 (20%) –
8 Souleymane Basse D 6.8 29' – – – 8 (6%) 2
39 Mathys Tourraine D 6.7 90' – – – 37 (26%) 2
29 Gaëtan Paquiez D 6.7 90' – – – 39 (32%) –
11 Alexis Lefebvre F 6.6 14' – – – 1 1
18 J. Sebas F 6.5 61' – – – 5 (3%) 1
88 Axel Bamba D 6.4 90' – – – 33 (26%) 2
5 Lorenzo Rajot M 6.3 90' – – 3 37 (28%) –
97 Akim Abdallah D 6.0 61' – – – 26 (16%) 2
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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Metz ou match nul
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Metz
WLDWL
PAU
LWWWW

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Metz will host PAU. Metz has shown a solid home record, leveraging their tactical approach and possession-based play, which could pressure PAU's defense. Conversely, PAU has struggled in away matches, often failing to convert opportunities into goals. Key players to watch include Metz's leading scorer, whose finishing ability will be crucial, and PAU's defense, which must adapt to the attacking threat. Both teams will be aiming for crucial points to solidify their standings in the league.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
44%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
28%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Metz
P. Fall 8 gls
J. Deminguet 3 gls
PAU
B. Leye 4 gls

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Head to Head: Metz vs PAU

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Metz — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Montpellier W 2 - 3
30 Oct H PAU L 1 - 3
23 Oct A Dunkerque D 1 - 1
17 Oct H Sochaux W 3 - 2
12 Oct A Dijon L 4 - 2

PAU — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Nantes L 0 - 2
30 Oct A Metz W 1 - 3
23 Oct H Grenoble W 2 - 1
16 Oct A Guingamp W 1 - 2
09 Oct H Laval W 3 - 2

Ligue 2 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Saint Etienne
12 9 1 2 +14 28
2
Nancy
12 8 1 3 +8 25
3
Montpellier
12 7 3 2 +9 24
4
Reims
12 5 6 1 +9 21
5
PAU
12 6 2 4 +3 20
6
Dijon
12 5 3 4 +2 18
7
Metz
12 4 5 3 +1 17
8
RED Star FC 93
12 5 2 5 -3 17
9
Annecy
12 5 1 6 -4 16
10
Dunkerque
12 4 3 5 0 15
11
Guingamp
12 4 2 6 -2 14
12
Boulogne
12 2 7 3 +2 13
13
Rodez
12 4 1 7 -6 13
14
Nantes
12 3 3 6 -4 12
15
Clermont Foot
12 1 8 3 -4 11
16
Sochaux
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Grenoble
12 3 2 7 -9 11
18
Laval
12 2 3 7 -9 9

PAU

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Thierry Debes
1 Maubleu
97 Abdallah
88 Bamba
23 Briançon
29 Paquiez
39 Tourraine
5 Rajot
21 Benet
6 Fall
18 Sebas
7 Benali

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Maubleu G
39 M. Tourraine D
29 G. Paquiez D
23 A. Briançon D
88 A. Bamba D
97 A. Abdallah D
6 C. Fall M
21 J. Benet M
5 L. Rajot M
7 H. Benali F
18 J. Sebas F

Substitutes

10 B. Brahimi M
4 A. Dodote D
27 L. Gadegbeku M
11 A. Lefebvre F
9 B. Leye F
22 R. Baheng D
19 T. Saettel F
8 S. Basse D
30 E. Salles G

Metz

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Fischer
4 Mboula
5 Ruiz
42 Devenish
70 Sarr
98 Mohamed
39 Song
10 Savanier
8 Deminguet
33 Mbodj
22 Mbala

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Fischer G
70 B. Sarr D
42 C. Devenish D
5 J. Ruiz D
4 U. Mboula D
98 I. Mohamed M
33 Abdourahmane Mbodj M
8 J. Deminguet M
10 T. Savanier M
39 B. Song M
22 N. Mbala F

Substitutes

12 A. Touré M
38 H. Kadamani M
2 M. Colin D
88 A. Agne Ba F
3 F. Miguel D
18 B. Munongo M
21 J. Pandore F
7 Ibou Sané F
61 P. Sy G

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