Saint Etienne vs Nantes Prédiction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 10

23 Oct 2026, 18:00

Post on X

Nantes

Away

Prédiction IA Trop serré pour trancher

47%

31%

21%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Saint Etienne vs Nantes : Sportiko estime que Saint Etienne a 47% de chances de s'imposer, Nantes 21% et le match nul 31%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Saint Etienne

DLWWW

Nantes

WLWDL

Last 3 meetings Saint Etienne · 0W 3D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 match, Saint Etienne hosts Nantes, both teams looking to solidify their positions in the league. Saint Etienne has shown a strong home record, with a significant scoring rate averaging 1.8 goals per match this season. Nantes, however, will aim to capitalize on their counter-attacking style, having recorded a solid defensive record with only 1.2 goals conceded per match. The match promises tactical intrigue as both sides vie for crucial points in their pursuit of promotion.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

47%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

21%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nantes goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	8	4	1
1	14	14	5	1
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	4	2
4	2	1	1
5

↑ Saint Etienne goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Saint Etienne

I. Cardona 4 gls

A. Boakye 4 gls

T. Ballo 4 gls

J. Breum 2 gls

Nantes

W. Younoussa 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

31%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

31%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

69% Home (No Draw) 31% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.1%	7.7%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%
1	13.8%	14.3%	5.2%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.4%	8.6%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%
3	4.7%	3.9%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.6%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Saint Etienne	Draw	Nantes
Saint Etienne	28.9%	3.9%	1.0%
Draw	18.1%	21.5%	9.2%
Nantes	1.8%	3.9%	11.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Saint Etienne vs Nantes

0 Saint Etienne Wins

3 Draws

0 Nantes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Jan 2025	Saint Etienne	1 - 1	Nantes
29 Sep 2024	Nantes	2 - 2	Saint Etienne
21 May 2022	Nantes	1 - 1	Saint Etienne

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Saint Etienne — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Metz	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Dunkerque	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Montpellier	W	3 - 1
31 Aug	A Dijon	W	2 - 3
22 Aug	H Grenoble	W	4 - 0

Nantes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Boulogne	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Sochaux	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Nancy	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Guingamp	D	3 - 3
22 Aug	H Rodez	L	2 - 5

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.