Guingamp vs PAU Prédiction

Ligue 2 Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
Stade du Roudourou, Guingamp
Prédiction IA Guingamp ou match nul
42%
29%
30%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Guingamp vs PAU : Sportiko estime que Guingamp a 42% de chances de s'imposer, PAU 30% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 16 Oct 2026, 19:54.

Pronostics Premium

Premium
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 75%
  • L'équipe extérieure marque 71%
  • Moins de 3,5 buts 71%
Les membres Premium avaient ces pronostics avant le coup d'envoi. Voir les sélections Premium

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 6'
Cheikh Fall assist: Lorenzo Rajot
▮ 13'
Anthony Briançon Yellow Card
▮ 25'
Gaëtan Paquiez Yellow Card
⚽ 0–2 33'
Bilal Brahimi assist: Anthony Briançon
Tanguy Ahile ⇄ Brandon Bokangu
45' ⇄
⇄ 45'
Anthony Briançon ⇄ Rony Mimb Baheng
HT 0–2
Tom Ducrocq ⇄ Florent Sanchez Da Silva
57' ⇄
Tuomas Ollila ⇄ Amadou Samoura
57' ⇄
⇄ 62'
Bilal Brahimi ⇄ J. Sebas
▮ 66'
J. Sebas Yellow Card
⇄ 66'
Hacene Benali ⇄ Luan Gadegbeku
Stanislas Kielt ⇄ Dylan Louiserre
67' ⇄
N. Fondja Yellow Card
74' ▮
N. Fondja
74' ⇄
Teddy Averlant
75' ⚽ 1–2
⇄ 80'
B. Leye ⇄ Abdoulaye Mbaye
⇄ 80'
Tom Pouilly ⇄ Akim Abdallah
Jeovanni Dianganga Yellow Card
83' ▮
FT 1–2
Guingamp

Match Stats

PAU
64% Ball Possession 36%
1.26 Expected Goals (xG) 0.47
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 2
5 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 5
7 Shots outsidebox 2
5 Corner Kicks 2
14 Fouls 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
592 Total passes 348
514 Passes accurate 269
17 Free Kicks 12
Guingamp
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Teddy Averlant M 7.7 90' 1 – 4 16 (11%) –
4 Dylan Louiserre M 6.8 23' – – – 21 (19%) –
21 Tanguy Ahile M 6.8 46' – – 2 32 (30%) –
2 Erwin Koffi D 6.7 90' – – – 49 (42%) 3
10 Amine Hemia F 6.6 90' – – 4 78 (67%) 1
17 Amadou Samoura F 6.5 33' – – – 10 (7%) –
20 S. Ben Brahim M 6.5 90' – – – 37 (30%) –
18 Stanislas Kielt F 6.4 67' – – 4 15 (15%) –
Seamus Maughan 6.3 16' – – 1 14 (13%) 1
8 Florent Sanchez Da Silva M 6.2 33' – – – 28 (23%) –
16 Adrián Ortolá G 6.1 90' – – – 41 (40%) –
24 Jeovanni Dianganga D 6.1 90' – – – 87 (80%) 2
22 Brandon Bokangu M 6.0 44' – – 1 6 (4%) –
25 Tom Ducrocq M 5.9 57' – – 1 42 (35%) –
35 N. Fondja D 5.8 74' – – – 79 (67%) 1
5 Tuomas Ollila D 5.7 57' – – – 37 (31%) 2
PAU
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Cheikh Fall M 8.2 90' 1 – 2 21 (18%) 1
10 Bilal Brahimi M 7.5 62' 1 – 1 33 (27%) –
5 Lorenzo Rajot M 7.3 90' – 1 1 58 (44%) 2
1 Brice Maubleu G 7.0 90' – – – 25 (14%) –
2 Tom Pouilly D 6.8 80' – – – 34 (28%) 3
39 Mathys Tourraine D 6.7 90' – – – 18 (9%) 1
23 Anthony Briançon D 6.7 46' – 1 – 26 (24%) –
88 Axel Bamba D 6.6 90' – – – 30 (24%) –
97 Akim Abdallah D 6.5 10' – – – 5 (5%) –
18 J. Sebas F 6.5 28' – – – 6 (6%) –
27 Luan Gadegbeku M 6.4 24' – – – 3 (3%) –
9 B. Leye F 6.4 80' – – 1 16 (12%) –
29 Gaëtan Paquiez D 6.3 90' – – 1 54 (40%) 1
7 Hacene Benali F 6.3 66' – – 1 9 (7%) 1
22 Rony Mimb Baheng D 6.3 44' – – – 8 (7%) –
56 Abdoulaye Mbaye F 6.1 10' – – – 2 (1%) 1
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Guingamp ou match nul
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Guingamp
LWWLL
PAU
LWWWW

Match summary

Guingamp will face PAU in a Ligue 2 clash on October 16, 2026. Guingamp has shown a solid home record, with an average of 1.5 points per game at home this season, while PAU has struggled on the road, accumulating only 0.8 points per game away. Both teams have been inconsistent, with Guingamp scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match, compared to PAU's 0.9. Key players to watch include Guingamp's leading scorer, who contributes significantly to their attacking efforts, and PAU's goalkeeper, who has been pivotal in keeping the scoreline tight. This match could be crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
42%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
30%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Guingamp
B. Bokangu 4 gls
PAU
B. Leye 4 gls

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Head to Head: Guingamp vs PAU

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Guingamp — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Dunkerque L 3 - 0
31 Oct H Saint Etienne W 3 - 0
23 Oct A Clermont Foot W 0 - 2
16 Oct H PAU L 1 - 2
09 Oct A Nancy L 1 - 0

PAU — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Nantes L 0 - 2
30 Oct A Metz W 1 - 3
23 Oct H Grenoble W 2 - 1
16 Oct A Guingamp W 1 - 2
09 Oct H Laval W 3 - 2

Ligue 2 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Saint Etienne
12 9 1 2 +14 28
2
Nancy
12 8 1 3 +8 25
3
Montpellier
12 7 3 2 +9 24
4
Reims
12 5 6 1 +9 21
5
PAU
12 6 2 4 +3 20
6
Dijon
12 5 3 4 +2 18
7
Metz
12 4 5 3 +1 17
8
RED Star FC 93
12 5 2 5 -3 17
9
Annecy
12 5 1 6 -4 16
10
Dunkerque
12 4 3 5 0 15
11
Guingamp
12 4 2 6 -2 14
12
Boulogne
12 2 7 3 +2 13
13
Rodez
12 4 1 7 -6 13
14
Nantes
12 3 3 6 -4 12
15
Clermont Foot
12 1 8 3 -4 11
16
Sochaux
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Grenoble
12 3 2 7 -9 11
18
Laval
12 2 3 7 -9 9

Guingamp

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: S. Ripoll
16 Ortolá
5 Ollila
35 Fondja
24 Dianganga
2 Koffi
20 Brahim
21 Ahile
25 Ducrocq
11 Averlant
18 Kielt
10 Hemia

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 Adrián Ortolá G
2 E. Koffi D
24 J. Dianganga D
35 N. Fondja D
5 T. Ollila D
11 T. Averlant M
25 T. Ducrocq M
21 T. Ahile M
20 S. Ben Brahim M
10 A. Hemia F
18 S. Kielt F

Substitutes

8 F. Da Silva M
22 B. Bokangu M
1 T. Bartouche G
38 E. Aucan M
33 Ibrahim Fomba D
4 D. Louiserre M
31 J. Matondo M
3 J. Matumona D
17 A. Samoura F

PAU

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Thierry Debes
1 Maubleu
39 Tourraine
88 Bamba
23 Briançon
29 Paquiez
2 Pouilly
6 Fall
5 Rajot
10 Brahimi
7 Benali
9 Leye

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Maubleu G
2 T. Pouilly D
29 G. Paquiez D
23 A. Briançon D
88 A. Bamba D
39 M. Tourraine D
10 B. Brahimi M
5 L. Rajot M
6 C. Fall M
9 B. Leye F
7 H. Benali F

Substitutes

8 S. Basse D
25 Q. Daubin M
4 A. Dodote D
27 L. Gadegbeku M
56 Abdoulaye Mbaye F
22 R. Baheng D
30 E. Salles G
97 A. Abdallah D
18 J. Sebas F

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