Dunkerque vs Montpellier Prédiction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 3

Post on X

Montpellier

Away

Stade Marcel-Tribut, Dunkerque

Prédiction IA Dunkerque ou match nul

42%

28%

30%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Dunkerque vs Montpellier : Sportiko estime que Dunkerque a 42% de chances de s'imposer, Montpellier 30% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 21 Aug 2026, 19:55.

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Timeline

▮ 12'

Yael Mouanga Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Victor Mayela ⇄ Lenny Vallier

46' ⇄

⇄ Souleymane Keita

46' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 54'

Nicolas Pays

⇄ 58'

Noah Vidal ⇄ Daryll Benlahlou

Alex Daho Yellow Card

60' ▮

Alex Daho ⇄ Marco Decherf

63' ⇄

Théna Massock ⇄ Khalil Ayari

64' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Nordan Mukiele ⇄ Yanis Issoufou

Jordan Morel ⇄ Enzo Mayilla

78' ⇄

Souleymane Keita Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

▮ 90+3'

Enzo Tchato Mbiayi Yellow Card

Khalil Ayari Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

FT 0–1

Dunkerque

Match Stats

Montpellier

58% Ball Possession 42%

Expected Goals (xG)

12 Total Shots 10

3 Shots on Goal 4

5 Shots off Goal 5

4 Blocked Shots 1

7 Shots insidebox 7

5 Shots outsidebox 3

5 Corner Kicks 7

Offsides

16 Fouls 19

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

436 Total passes 301

357 Passes accurate 238

82% Passes % 79%

goals_prevented

Dunkerque

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Maxence Prévot G	7.7	89'	–	–	–	19 (16%)	–
7 Khalil Ayari F	7.3	25'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
18 Théna Massock M	7.3	64'	–	–	2	30 (25%)	2
4 Bram Lagae D	7.2	89'	–	–	2	51 (42%)	2
22 Victor Mayela D	7.2	45'	–	–	–	19 (17%)	–
24 Lenny Vallier D	6.9	44'	–	–	1	16 (13%)	1
6 Jordan Morel M	6.9	78'	–	–	–	49 (45%)	2
9 Thomas Robinet F	6.9	89'	–	–	2	15 (8%)	1
29 Marco Decherf M	6.7	26'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
27 Allan Linguet D	6.6	89'	–	–	–	63 (54%)	1
26 Opa Sangante D	6.6	89'	–	–	–	73 (56%)	1
93 Alex Daho M	6.6	63'	–	–	–	39 (29%)	2
19 Souleymane Keita M	6.6	44'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	–
10 Adrien Lebeau M	6.5	89'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	–
11 Egor Prutsev M	6.5	45'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
94 Enzo Mayilla F	6.3	11'	–	–	–	5 (2%)	–

Montpellier

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Nicolas Pays M	7.9	89'	1	–	2	15 (14%)	–
31 Simon Ngapandouetnbu G	7.7	89'	–	–	–	42 (30%)	–
19 Nordan Mukiele M	7.2	69'	–	–	2	16 (9%)	2
5 Florian Tardieu M	7.2	89'	–	–	–	42 (35%)	4
40 Noah Vidal M	6.9	58'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	2
32 Hichem Abderrebi M	6.9	89'	–	–	–	30 (23%)	2
15 Julien Laporte D	6.7	89'	–	–	1	36 (26%)	–
23 Daryll Benlahlou F	6.7	31'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	1
6 Yael Mouanga D	6.6	89'	–	–	–	44 (38%)	–
7 Yanis Issoufou F	6.6	20'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	2
17 Théo Sainte-Luce D	6.5	89'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	2
9 Laciné Megnan-Pave F	6.5	89'	–	–	4	8 (6%)	–
29 Enzo Tchato Mbiayi D	6.3	89'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	–

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Dunkerque ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Dunkerque

LWDLL

Montpellier

DWLDW

Match summary

Dunkerque faces Montpellier in a Ligue 2 matchup, both teams looking to secure valuable points early in the season. Dunkerque's home performance has been solid, boasting a strong defense, while Montpellier's attacking strategy relies on quick transitions and set pieces. Historically, Montpellier has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, making this a challenging fixture for Dunkerque. Both teams will need to capitalize on their respective strengths to secure a crucial win. Expect tight competition as each side aims to establish momentum in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Montpellier goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	5	4	2
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Dunkerque goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

Dunkerque

E. Prutsev 2 gls

S. Keita 2 gls

Montpellier

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

30%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

30%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	5.5%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
1	8.5%	13.1%	6.7%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.3%	9.6%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.6%	5.3%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dunkerque	Draw	Montpellier
Dunkerque	28.8%	4.5%	1.8%
Draw	17.2%	16.8%	10.4%
Montpellier	2.6%	4.2%	13.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dunkerque vs Montpellier

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Dunkerque — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A PAU	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Saint Etienne	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	H Clermont Foot	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Nancy	L	2 - 0
21 Aug	H Montpellier	L	0 - 1

Montpellier — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Reims	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	H PAU	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Saint Etienne	L	3 - 1
28 Aug	H Boulogne	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	A Dunkerque	W	0 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Montpellier

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Z. Camara

31 Ngapandouetnbu

17 Sainte-Luce

6 Mouanga

15 Laporte

29 Mbiayi

32 Abderrebi

5 Tardieu

19 Mukiele

40 Vidal

18 Pays

9 Megnan-Pave

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Simon Ngapandouetnbu	G
29	Enzo Tchato Mbiayi	D
15	Julien Laporte	D
6	Yael Mouanga	D
17	Théo Sainte-Luce	D
5	Florian Tardieu	M
32	Hichem Abderrebi	M
18	Nicolas Pays	M
40	Noah Vidal	M
19	Nordan Mukiele	M
9	Laciné Megnan-Pave	F

Substitutes

50	Viktor Dzodic	G
35	Mathis Chambon	D
3	Naoufel El Hannach	D
7	Yanis Issoufou	F
77	Everson Junior	M
90	Gregory Ayem	M
23	Daryll Benlahlou	F

Dunkerque

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Albert Sánchez

16 Prévot

22 Mayela

4 Lagae

26 Sangante

27 Linguet

18 Massock

6 Morel

11 Prutsev

10 Lebeau

93 Daho

9 Robinet

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Maxence Prévot	G
27	Allan Linguet	D
26	Opa Sangante	D
4	Bram Lagae	D
22	Victor Mayela	D
6	Jordan Morel	M
18	Théna Massock	M
93	Alex Daho	M
10	Adrien Lebeau	M
11	Egor Prutsev	M
9	Thomas Robinet	F

Substitutes

73	Moha Ramos	G
21	Lenny Dziki	D
2	Ousmane Touré	D
24	Lenny Vallier	D
29	Marco Decherf	M
25	Franck Atoen	M
7	Khalil Ayari	F
19	Souleymane Keita	M
94	Enzo Mayilla	F