Club Tijuana vs Puebla Prédiction

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 12
FT
Post on X
Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Club Tijuana
53%
26%
21%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Club Tijuana vs Puebla : Sportiko estime que Club Tijuana a 53% de chances de s'imposer, Puebla 21% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 17 Oct 2026, 05:03.

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Timeline

▮ 17'
Mathías Tomás Yellow Card
HT 0–0
▮ 57'
Iker Moreno Yellow Card
Jesús Vega ⇄ Unai Bilbao
58' ⇄
Ramiro Árciga ⇄ Joban González
58' ⇄
⇄ 63'
Luifer Hernández ⇄ Eduardo Mustre
⇄ 63'
Iker Moreno ⇄ Jose Pachuca
Rafael Fernández Yellow Card
66' ▮
Mourad El Ghezouani ⇄ Elias Manoel
70' ⇄
⇄ 74'
Omar Moreno ⇄ Heriberto Jurado
Joban González Yellow Card
79' ▮
⇄ 85'
Mathías Tomás ⇄ Ignacio Maestro Puch
⇄ 85'
Alejandro Organista ⇄ E. Armenta
José Rivero ⇄ Diego Abreu
85' ⇄
FT 0–0
Club Tijuana

Match Stats

Puebla
58% Ball Possession 42%
0.98 Expected Goals (xG) 0.39
20 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 3
11 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 4
11 Shots outsidebox 3
13 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 3
6 Fouls 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
422 Total passes 309
351 Passes accurate 236
9 Free Kicks 6
Club Tijuana
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 Jackson Porozo D 7.4 90' – – 4 37 (33%) 5
11 Francisco González M 7.2 90' – – 4 29 (23%) 2
8 Iván Tona M 7.1 90' – – 4 62 (55%) 2
2 Antonio Rodríguez G 7.0 90' – – – 41 (36%) –
6 Jesús Gómez D 6.9 90' – – – 66 (54%) 2
7 Adonis Preciado M 6.9 90' – – 2 24 (18%) 3
3 Rafael Fernández D 6.8 90' – – 1 42 (35%) 3
4 Unai Bilbao D 6.8 32' – – – 27 (22%) 1
17 Ramiro Árciga M 6.7 58' – – – 18 (16%) 1
16 Jesús Vega D 6.7 58' – – – 24 (20%) 4
19 Diego Abreu F 6.6 5' – – – 4 (2%) –
13 Elias Manoel F 6.5 20' – – – 2 1
15 José Rivero M 6.4 85' – – 3 27 (22%) 1
9 Mourad El Ghezouani F 6.3 70' – – 1 8 (6%) 3
202 Joban González F 6.3 32' – – 1 11 (9%) –
Puebla
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
28 Daniel Gutierrez G 8.7 90' – – – 30 (27%) –
8 Omar Moreno M 6.9 74' – – – 16 (13%) 1
4 Juan Pablo Vargas D 6.8 90' – – 1 40 (28%) –
5 Facundo Almada D 6.7 90' – – – 49 (36%) 1
29 Eduardo Mustre F 6.7 27' – – 1 3 (3%) 1
16 Alonso Ramirez M 6.6 90' – – – 26 (25%) 2
9 Luifer Hernández F 6.6 63' – – 2 13 (9%) –
14 E. Armenta M 6.6 5' – – – 5 (5%) –
19 Ignacio Maestro Puch F 6.5 5' – – 1 – –
24 Alejandro Organista M 6.4 85' – – – 28 (22%) –
25 Heriberto Jurado F 6.4 16' – – – 4 (3%) 2
20 Jose Pachuca D 6.4 27' – – – 1 (1%) –
27 Brayan Garnica M 6.2 90' – – 1 22 (15%) 2
7 Fernando Monarrez D 6.1 90' – – – 26 (16%) 3
10 Mathías Tomás M 6.1 85' – – 1 27 (19%) 1
12 Iker Moreno D 6.0 63' – – – 19 (14%) 2
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Club Tijuana
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Club Tijuana
LDDWD
Puebla
WLLLD
Last 2 meetings Club Tijuana · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this Liga MX matchup, Club Tijuana hosts Puebla, with both teams looking to gain crucial points. Tijuana has shown a solid home record, while Puebla has struggled on the road, averaging 1.2 goals per away game and conceding 1.5. Tijuana's offensive unit, led by their key forwards, will aim to exploit Puebla's defensive vulnerabilities. The match will be pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league. Expect a competitive encounter with tactical battles in midfield likely influencing the outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
21%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Club Tijuana vs Puebla

0 Club Tijuana Wins
1 Draws
1 Puebla Wins
Date Home Score Away
07 Feb 2026 Club Tijuana 0 - 0 Puebla
17 Oct 2025 Puebla 4 - 3 Club Tijuana

Club Tijuana — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Necaxa L 1 - 0
01 Nov A Monterrey D 3 - 3
29 Oct A Club America D 1 - 1
26 Oct H Santos Laguna W 4 - 1
22 Oct A Toluca D 2 - 2

Puebla — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
09 Nov A Club Queretaro W 0 - 2
31 Oct H U.N.A.M. - Pumas L 1 - 2
25 Oct A Atlas L 4 - 3
22 Oct H Monterrey L 1 - 4
17 Oct A Club Tijuana D 0 - 0

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Club America
15 8 5 2 +15 29
2
Guadalajara Chivas
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Cruz Azul
15 9 2 4 +10 29
4
Atlas
16 8 3 5 -3 27
5
Santos Laguna
16 8 1 7 +3 25
6
Toluca
15 6 6 3 +10 24
7
CF Pachuca
16 6 4 6 +9 22
8
Club Tijuana
16 5 7 4 +3 22
9
Leon
15 6 4 5 +2 22
10
Monterrey
14 6 3 5 +5 21
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
15 5 5 5 -2 20
12
Club Queretaro
14 6 2 6 -3 20
13
Atletico San Luis
16 5 4 7 -5 19
14
Puebla
15 4 4 7 -6 16
15
Tigres UANL
15 3 6 6 -7 15
16
Atlante FC
16 3 5 8 -10 14
17
Necaxa
16 3 4 9 -11 13
18
FC Juarez
16 3 2 11 -21 11

Club Tijuana

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: S. Abreu
2 Rodríguez
16 Vega
6 Gómez
12 Porozo
3 Fernández
8 Tona
7 Preciado
15 Rivero
11 González
17 Árciga
9 Mourad

Starting XI

# Player Pos
2 A. Rodríguez G
3 R. Fernández D
12 J. Porozo D
6 A. Gómez D
16 J. Vega D
8 I. Tona M
17 R. Árciga M
11 F. González M
15 I. Rivero M
7 Adonis Preciado M
9 Mourad F

Substitutes

20 Á. Zapata M
34 F. Boya M
4 Unai Bilbao D
13 Elias Manoel F
19 D. Abreu F
202 J. González F
29 S. Hernández G
18 A. Mejía D
33 P. Ortíz D
31 Y. Padilla F

Puebla

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
28 Gutiérrez
7 Monárrez
4 Vargas
5 Almada
12 Moreno
16 Ramírez
24 Organista
8 Moreno
10 Tomás
27 Garnica
9 Hernández

Starting XI

# Player Pos
28 R. Gutiérrez G
12 I. Moreno D
5 F. Almada D
4 J. Vargas D
7 F. Monárrez D
24 A. Organista M
16 A. Ramírez M
27 B. Garnica M
10 M. Tomás M
8 O. Moreno M
9 L. Hernández F

Substitutes

3 A. Herrera M
25 H. Jurado F
2 Á. Leyva D
19 I. Maestro Puch F
29 E. Mustre F
20 J. Pachuca D
33 J. Rodríguez G
15 Ó. Villa D
195 Alvaro Burgos D
14 E. Armenta M

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