Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas Prédiction
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Prédiction IA
Guadalajara Chivas ou match nul
27%
28%
45%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas : Sportiko estime que Atlas a 27% de chances de s'imposer, Guadalajara Chivas 45% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 11 Oct 2026, 03:04.
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- 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline
Juan José Purata
Yellow Card
26'
▮
▮
30'
Richard Ledezma
Yellow Card
▮
41'
Daniel Aguirre
Yellow Card
⇄
45'
Diego Campillo
⇄ C. Hernandez
HT 0–0
Kevin Zenón
assist: Paulo Ramírez
52'
⚽
1–0
Florián Monzón
Yellow Card
63'
▮
Paulo Ramírez
⇄ Edgar Zaldívar
65'
⇄
⇄
66'
L. Calderon
⇄ Kevin Castañeda
⇄
66'
Ricardo Marín
⇄ Hugo Camberos
⇄
66'
Richard Ledezma
⇄ Santiago Sandoval
🖵
70'
Santiago Sandoval
Penalty confirmed
✗
76'
Ángel Sepúlveda
Missed Penalty
Elías Montiel
⇄ Aldo Rocha
82'
⇄
▮
84'
Kevin Castañeda
Yellow Card
⚽
1–1
86'
Ángel Sepúlveda
assist: Brian Gutiérrez
Ryan Mmaee
⇄ Sergio Hernandez
87'
⇄
▮
89'
Santiago Sandoval
Yellow Card
⇄
90+1'
Roberto Alvarado
⇄ Efrain Alvarez
▮
90+8'
Kevin Castañeda
Red Card
FT 1–1
Atlas
Match Stats
Guadalajara Chivas
43%
Ball Possession
57%
1.52
Expected Goals (xG)
2.1
5
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
5
1
Shots off Goal
6
2
Blocked Shots
1
5
Shots insidebox
7
0
Shots outsidebox
5
7
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
310
Total passes
401
230
Passes accurate
322
19
Free Kicks
13
Atlas
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Kevin Zenón M | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | 2 |
| 12 Camilo Vargas G | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (21%) | – |
| 15 Paulo Ramírez M | 7.2 | 65' | – | 1 | 1 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 19 Adonis Frías D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | 1 |
| 10 Luís Esteves M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | 1 |
| 44 Juan José Purata D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (30%) | 1 |
| 6 Edgar Zaldívar M | 6.5 | 25' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 26 Aldo Rocha M | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 23 Sergio Hernandez M | 6.4 | 3' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | – |
| 9 Florián Monzón F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 20 (13%) | – |
| 3 Jorge Sánchez M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (29%) | 2 |
| 8 Ryan Mmaee M | 6.3 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 16 Milton Valenzuela D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (19%) | – |
| 18 Elías Montiel M | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | – | 36 (29%) | 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Brian Gutiérrez M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 38 (32%) | 3 |
| 9 Ángel Sepúlveda F | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 16 Luis Gabriel Rey D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 61 (45%) | 5 |
| 23 Daniel Aguirre D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (48%) | 3 |
| 1 Raúl Rangel G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (15%) | – |
| 192 C. Hernandez D | 6.8 | 44' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | 1 |
| 25 Roberto Alvarado M | 6.7 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 45 (41%) | 1 |
| 37 Richard Ledezma M | 6.5 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 27 (24%) | 1 |
| 28 Fernando González M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (30%) | 4 |
| 3 Diego Campillo D | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | – |
| 17 Ricardo Marín M | 6.4 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 15 (8%) | – |
| 14 Hugo Camberos M | 6.4 | 24' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 182 L. Calderon M | 6.3 | 66' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | 4 |
| 30 Santiago Sandoval M | 6.1 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 19 Kevin Castañeda M | 5.4 | 32' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (45%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Guadalajara Chivas ou match nul
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Atlas
LWWLW
Guadalajara Chivas
WWWDD
Last 2 meetings
Atlas · 0W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Guadalajara Chivas, both teams will be looking to strengthen their positions in the league standings. Atlas has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Guadalajara has struggled with consistency in attack, averaging 1.1 goals per match. The matchup could hinge on Atlas's ability to convert possession into scoring opportunities, as they have a higher average ball possession percentage. Additionally, recent head-to-head encounters suggest a competitive balance, with both teams often sharing points. Expect a tactical battle that could be decided by set pieces or individual moments of quality.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
27%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
45%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Atlas
F. Monzón
5 gls
Luís Esteves
5 gls
Guadalajara Chivas
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas
0
Atlas Wins
0
Draws
2
Guadalajara Chivas Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar 2026 | Atlas | 1 - 2 | Guadalajara Chivas |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas | 4 - 1 | Atlas |
Atlas — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H CF Pachuca | L | 1 - 4 |
| 31 Oct | A Atletico San Luis | W | 0 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Puebla | W | 4 - 3 |
| 22 Oct | H Club America | L | 2 - 5 |
| 17 Oct | A Necaxa | W | 0 - 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | H Atlante FC | W | 4 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Monterrey | W | 0 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Necaxa | W | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Tigres UANL | D | 1 - 1 |
| 11 Oct | A Atlas | D | 1 - 1 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club America
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 21 | +15 | 29 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 29 |
| 4 |
Atlas
|
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 |
| 5 |
Santos Laguna
|
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 25 |
| 6 |
Toluca
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | +10 | 24 |
| 7 |
CF Pachuca
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |
Club Tijuana
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Leon
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |
Club Queretaro
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |
Puebla
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |
Tigres UANL
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |
Atlante FC
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |
Necaxa
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 |
Guadalajara Chivas
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: G. Milito
1
Rangel
3
Campillo
16
Rey
23
Aguirre
182
Calderon
11
Gutiérrez
28
González
37
Ledezma
17
Marín
25
Alvarado
9
Sepúlveda
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Rangel | G |
| 23 | D. Aguirre | D |
| 16 | L. Rey | D |
| 3 | D. Campillo | D |
| 37 | R. Ledezma | M |
| 28 | R. González | M |
| 11 | B. Gutiérrez | M |
| 182 | L. Calderon | M |
| 25 | R. Alvarado | M |
| 17 | R. Marín | M |
| 9 | Á. Sepúlveda | F |
Substitutes
| 192 | C. Hernandez | D |
| 57 | J. Hernández | F |
| 2 | J. Castillo | D |
| 19 | K. Castañeda | M |
| 33 | J. Carrillo | M |
| 14 | H. Camberos | M |
| 59 | C. Inda | M |
| 30 | Santiago Sandoval | M |
| 13 | Óscar Whalley | G |
| 10 | E. Álvarez | F |
Atlas
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: H. Crespo
12
Vargas
16
Valenzuela
44
Purata
19
Frías
8
Mmaee
15
Ramírez
18
Montiel
3
Sánchez
10
Esteves
20
Zenón
9
Monzón
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | C. Vargas | G |
| 19 | A. Frías | D |
| 44 | J. Purata | D |
| 16 | M. Valenzuela | D |
| 3 | J. Sánchez | M |
| 18 | E. Montiel | M |
| 15 | Paulo Ramírez | M |
| 8 | R. Mmaee | M |
| 20 | K. Zenón | M |
| 10 | Luís Esteves | M |
| 9 | F. Monzón | F |
Substitutes
| 58 | A. González | F |
| 28 | M. Capasso | D |
| 13 | G. Aguirre | D |
| 23 | S. Hernández | M |
| 27 | V. RÃos | M |
| 203 | J. Martín | F |
| 26 | A. Rocha | M |
| 5 | J. Rodríguez | D |
| 22 | A. Sánchez | G |
| 6 | É. Zaldívar | M |