Tigres UANL vs Puebla Prédiction

Liga MX · Apertura - 10

27 Sep 2026, 03:10

Post on X

Puebla

Away

Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León, San Nicolás de los Garza

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Tigres UANL

60%

24%

16%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Tigres UANL vs Puebla : Sportiko estime que Tigres UANL a 60% de chances de s'imposer, Puebla 16% et le match nul 24%. Dernière mise à jour : 25 Sep 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 11.1%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Tigres UANL

LDDDW

Puebla

DLWLW

Last 2 meetings Tigres UANL · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Tigres UANL will face Puebla. Tigres has historically been strong at home, showcasing a solid attack, averaging 2 goals per game this season, while their defense has conceded only 0.9 goals per match. Puebla, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, with a record of only 1 win in their last 5 matches on the road. The match presents an opportunity for Tigres to capitalize on their offensive prowess against Puebla's inconsistent defense, making them favorites to secure a victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

60%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

16%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Puebla goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	4	2	1
1	9	11	5	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	7	7	3	1
4	4	4	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Tigres UANL goals · most likely 1–1 (11.1%)

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Players in form

Tigres UANL

R. Aguirre 3 gls

Puebla

E. Mustre 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

24%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

24%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	3.5%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
1	8.7%	11.1%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.3%	10.1%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%
3	7.0%	7.0%	3.5%	1.1%	0.3%
4	3.6%	3.6%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

29%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Tigres UANL	Draw	Puebla
Tigres UANL	38.6%	3.5%	1.1%
Draw	19.9%	13.9%	6.1%
Puebla	3.2%	4.1%	9.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Tigres UANL vs Puebla

1 Tigres UANL Wins

0 Draws

1 Puebla Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Mar 2026	Puebla	3 - 1	Tigres UANL
09 Aug 2025	Tigres UANL	7 - 0	Puebla

Tigres UANL — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FC Juarez	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Monterrey	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Necaxa	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Santos Laguna	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	H Atlante FC	W	2 - 0

Puebla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Atlante FC	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Toluca	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Necaxa	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Club America	L	2 - 0
23 Aug	H Santos Laguna	W	3 - 2

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.