CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana Prédiction

Liga MX · Apertura - 9

Post on X

Club Tijuana

Away

Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour CF Pachuca

53%

27%

20%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana : Sportiko estime que CF Pachuca a 53% de chances de s'imposer, Club Tijuana 20% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 21 Sep 2026, 02:03.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%
Moins de 3,5 buts 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 17'

Gilberto Mora Penalty

▮ 33'

Iván Tona Yellow Card

Oussama Idrissi Yellow Card

33' ▮

⚽ 0–2 42'

Jesús Gómez assist: Jesús Vega

Rodolfo Pizarro ⇄ A. Alcáraz

45' ⇄

Alan Bautista ⇄ Mauricio Isais

45' ⇄

Oussama Idrissi ⇄ Nicolás Vallejo

45' ⇄

HT 0–2

Salomón Rondón assist: Nicolás Vallejo

55' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 63'

Gilberto Mora ⇄ José Rivero

⇄ 63'

Ramiro Árciga ⇄ Yael Padilla

Francisco Venegas ⇄ Gael Álvarez

68' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Ángel Zapata ⇄ Frank Boya

▮ 74'

Yael Padilla Yellow Card

Carlos Sánchez ⇄ Sebastián Santos

80' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Mourad El Ghezouani ⇄ Diego Abreu

⇄ 84'

Jesús Vega ⇄ Pablo Nicolás Ortíz

Salomón Rondón assist: Sergio Barreto

90' ⚽ 2–2

Red Card

90+1' ▮

▮ 90+3'

Diego Abreu Yellow Card

FT 2–2

CF Pachuca

Match Stats

Club Tijuana

58% Ball Possession 42%

29 Total Shots 8

11 Shots on Goal 5

11 Shots off Goal 2

7 Blocked Shots 1

22 Shots insidebox 6

7 Shots outsidebox 2

10 Corner Kicks 0

1 Offsides 2

16 Fouls 6

1 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 9

371 Total passes 295

320 Passes accurate 238

6 Free Kicks 15

CF Pachuca

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Salomón Rondón F	9.4	90'	2	–	9	7 (7%)	–
21 Nicolás Vallejo F	8.0	44'	–	2	4	9 (7%)	–
2 Sergio Barreto D	7.5	90'	–	1	2	39 (35%)	2
4 Eduardo Bauermann D	7.3	90'	–	–	4	58 (54%)	–
26 Alan Bautista M	7.1	46'	–	–	–	20 (18%)	–
9 A. Alcáraz F	7.1	44'	–	–	4	6 (4%)	1
16 Christian Rivera M	6.8	90'	–	–	1	69 (59%)	1
187 Gael Álvarez F	6.6	22'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
25 Carlos Moreno G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
15 Francisco Venegas D	6.4	68'	–	–	–	32 (27%)	2
30 Sergio Rodríguez M	6.4	90'	–	–	1	36 (30%)	1
14 Carlos Sánchez D	6.2	80'	–	–	1	37 (31%)	1
6 Mauricio Isais D	6.2	44'	–	–	1	8 (5%)	–
7 Rodolfo Pizarro M	6.1	46'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
12 Sebastián Santos M	6.0	10'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
11 Oussama Idrissi M	5.9	46'	–	–	1	9 (7%)	–

Club Tijuana

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
2 Antonio Rodríguez G	8.2	90'	–	–	–	50 (33%)	–
6 Jesús Gómez D	7.6	90'	1	–	1	30 (23%)	2
4 Unai Bilbao D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	29 (28%)	–
7 Adonis Preciado M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
9 Mourad El Ghezouani F	6.8	84'	–	–	2	16 (13%)	1
31 Yael Padilla F	6.7	27'	–	–	–	8 (4%)	–
16 Jesús Vega D	6.5	84'	–	1	2	20 (13%)	2
20 Ángel Zapata M	6.5	71'	–	–	–	28 (26%)	1
8 Iván Tona M	6.4	90'	–	–	–	38 (31%)	1
12 Jackson Porozo D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	1
17 Ramiro Árciga D	6.3	63'	–	–	–	23 (19%)	1
33 Pablo Nicolás Ortíz D	6.2	6'	–	–	–	–	–
15 José Rivero M	6.1	27'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	2
34 Frank Boya M	6.1	19'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
19 Diego Abreu F	6.0	6'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
10 Gilberto Mora M	5.9	63'	1	–	3	15 (14%)	–

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour CF Pachuca

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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CF Pachuca

DWWDD

Club Tijuana

DLWLW

Last 2 meetings CF Pachuca · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, CF Pachuca will host Club Tijuana. Pachuca has shown strong form at home with an average of 2.1 goals per game, while Tijuana typically struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game this season. Both teams have varied results in recent matches, but Pachuca's offensive capabilities could be a crucial factor. The match will likely hinge on Pachuca's ability to exploit Tijuana's defensive vulnerabilities.

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Club Tijuana leads 1-2. Win probability: 78.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 21.5%.

56' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Club Tijuana win: 64.1%. BTTS: 100%.

45' Goal 85% sure

Club Tijuana now leads 0-2 with 84.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 73.2%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-2. Club Tijuana leads. Win probability: 84.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 73.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

53%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

20%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Club Tijuana goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	5	3	1
1	10	13	6	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ CF Pachuca goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

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Players in form

CF Pachuca

S. Rondón 10 gls

Club Tijuana

G. Mora 5 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

27%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

27%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

73% Home (No Draw) 27% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	5.0%	3.2%	1.1%	0.3%
1	9.9%	12.8%	5.6%	1.9%	0.5%
2	10.0%	9.9%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%
3	5.8%	5.8%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.6%	2.5%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	CF Pachuca	Draw	Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca	38.0%	5.2%	1.8%
Draw	15.2%	16.3%	9.0%
Club Tijuana	1.7%	3.1%	9.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana

0 CF Pachuca Wins

0 Draws

2 Club Tijuana Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Apr 2026	Club Tijuana	3 - 1	CF Pachuca
16 Aug 2025	CF Pachuca	0 - 2	Club Tijuana

CF Pachuca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Club Tijuana	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Atlante FC	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	A FC Juarez	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Guadalajara Chivas	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A Atletico San Luis	D	1 - 1

Club Tijuana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	A CF Pachuca	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Club Queretaro	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	W	2 - 0
22 Aug	A Guadalajara Chivas	L	5 - 2
17 Aug	H Cruz Azul	W	2 - 1

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

CF Pachuca

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: B. Mora

25 Moreno

15 Venegas

2 Barreto

4 Bauermann

14 Sánchez

16 Rivera

30 Rodríguez

11 Idrissi

7 Pizarro

26 Gutiérrez

23 Rondón

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
25	C. Moreno	G
14	C. Sánchez	D
4	Eduardo Bauermann	D
2	S. Barreto	D
15	F. Venegas	D
30	S. Rodríguez	M
16	C. Rivera	M
26	Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez	M
7	R. Pizarro	M
11	O. Idrissi	M
23	S. Rondón	F

Substitutes

31	J. Eulogio	G
206	Thomas Contreras	M
32	P. Budib	D
9	A. Alcáraz	F
211	C. Hernandez	F
6	M. Isaís	D
221	Ulises Natanael Martínez Reynoso	D
12	S. Santos	M
21	N. Vallejo	F
187	G. Ãlvarez	F

Club Tijuana

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: S. Abreu

2 Rodríguez

16 Vega

6 Gómez

4 Bilbao

12 Porozo

17 Árciga

10 Mora

8 Tona

20 Zapata

7 Preciado

9 Mourad

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
2	A. Rodríguez	G
17	R. Árciga	D
12	J. Porozo	D
4	Unai Bilbao	D
6	A. Gómez	D
16	J. Vega	D
7	Adonis Preciado	M
20	Á. Zapata	M
8	I. Tona	M
10	G. Mora	M
9	Mourad	F

Substitutes

19	D. Abreu	F
34	F. Boya	M
202	J. González	F
11	F. González	F
29	S. Hernández	G
188	A. Magallon	D
33	P. Ortíz	D
31	Y. Padilla	F
26	A. Perez	M
15	I. Rivero	M