Toluca vs Santos Laguna Prédiction
Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Prédiction IA
Toluca pour gagner ou match nul
74%
17%
9%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Toluca vs Santos Laguna : Sportiko estime que Toluca a 74% de chances de s'imposer, Santos Laguna 9% et le match nul 17%. Dernière mise à jour : 21 Sep 2026, 02:06.
Pronostics Premium
Premium- L'équipe à domicile marque 2+ 76%
- Home 1H Over 0.5 74%
- Under 4.5 72%
Les membres Premium avaient ces pronostics avant le coup d'envoi.
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Timeline
Federico Viñas
assist: Alexis Vega
25'
⚽
1–0
Nicolás Castro
Yellow Card
38'
▮
Paulinho
assist: Alexis Vega
43'
⚽
2–0
⇄
45'
Emmanuel Echeverría
⇄ Diego González
⇄
45'
Salvador Mariscal
⇄ Fran Villalba
⚽
2–1
45+1'
Ezequiel Bullaude
Yellow Card
45+4'
▮
Everardo López
Red Card
45+7'
▮
Everardo López
Card upgrade confirmed
45+7'
🖵
▮
45+8'
Facundo Cáseres
Yellow Card
HT 2–1
Alexis Vega
⇄ Jorge Díaz
66'
⇄
Federico Viñas
⇄ Jesús Ricardo Angulo
66'
⇄
⇄
69'
Luis Gómez
⇄ Kevin Palacios
⇄
69'
Ezequiel Bullaude
⇄ Eduardo Aguirre
⇄
75'
Facundo Cáseres
⇄ Javier Güemez
Paulinho
⇄ Luan
81'
⇄
⚽
2–2
86'
Kevin Palacios
assist: Fran Villalba
Nicolás Castro
⇄ Brian García
90+1'
⇄
🖵
90+3'
Eduardo Aguirre
Goal cancelled
⚽
2–3
90+5'
Fran Villalba
assist: Mauricio Cuevas
FT 2–3
Toluca
Match Stats
Santos Laguna
46%
Ball Possession
54%
24
Total Shots
22
9
Shots on Goal
6
12
Shots off Goal
11
3
Blocked Shots
5
18
Shots insidebox
12
6
Shots outsidebox
10
6
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
7
439
Total passes
515
361
Passes accurate
435
12
Free Kicks
9
Toluca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Alexis Vega M | 8.5 | 66' | – | 2 | 1 | 30 (24%) | 4 |
| 16 Federico Viñas M | 7.9 | 66' | 1 | – | 3 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 26 Paulinho F | 7.7 | 81' | 1 | – | 7 | 14 (8%) | 2 |
| 8 Nicolás Castro M | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 61 (56%) | 3 |
| 6 Federico Pereira D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 58 (51%) | 4 |
| 2 Diego Barbosa D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 36 (26%) | 5 |
| Seamus Maughan | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 49 (48%) | 2 |
| 10 Jesús Ricardo Angulo M | 6.2 | 24' | – | – | 2 | 5 (5%) | 2 |
| 4 Bruno Méndez D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 54 (44%) | – |
| 13 Luan D | 5.9 | 9' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 29 Jorge Díaz M | 5.8 | 24' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 22 Luis García G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (15%) | – |
| 20 Jesús Gallardo M | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 39 (26%) | 2 |
| 25 Everardo López D | 4.9 | 52' | – | – | – | 28 (26%) | – |
Santos Laguna
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Fran Villalba M | 8.2 | 44' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 48 (40%) | 1 |
| 1 Carlos Acevedo G | 8.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | – |
| 10 Ezequiel Bullaude M | 7.8 | 69' | 1 | – | 5 | 26 (19%) | 2 |
| 77 Kevin Palacios M | 7.7 | 21' | 1 | – | 2 | 13 (12%) | – |
| 18 Franco Pardo D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (41%) | 1 |
| 3 Mauricio Cuevas D | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 41 (37%) | 2 |
| 19 Eduardo Aguirre F | 6.8 | 21' | – | – | 2 | 7 (4%) | 1 |
| 25 Felipe Sánchez D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (43%) | 4 |
| 7 Diego González F | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 45 (38%) | – |
| 6 Javier Güemez M | 6.4 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 20 E. Lozano F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 15 (11%) | 2 |
| 28 Jonathan Pérez D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 29 (24%) | 1 |
| 8 Salvador Mariscal M | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 19 (16%) | 3 |
| 23 Facundo Cáseres M | 6.2 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 78 (67%) | 2 |
| 193 Luis Gómez M | 6.1 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 37 (31%) | 3 |
| 17 Emmanuel Echeverría D | 5.8 | 46' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | – |
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Confidence
High (74%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Toluca pour gagner ou match nul
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Toluca
LWWWW
Santos Laguna
WWLDL
Last 2 meetings
Toluca · 2W 0D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Toluca will face Santos Laguna. Toluca has shown a solid attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while their defense has conceded 1.2 goals per game. Santos Laguna, however, boasts a slightly stronger away record with a goal difference of +5, indicating their capability to score and defend effectively on the road. Both teams will aim to exploit their strengths, making this match a critical encounter in their respective campaigns. Expect a competitive match with potential for goals from both sides.
Live insights
88'
Goal
65% sure
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Toluca leads 2-1. Win probability: 90%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 10%.
45'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 2-1. Toluca win: 89.1%. BTTS: 100%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 2-1. Toluca leads. Win probability: 89.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 83.5%.
43'
Goal
85% sure
Toluca now leads 2-0 with 97.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 84.7%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Toluca
F. Viñas
4 gls
Santos Laguna
E. Bullaude
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Toluca vs Santos Laguna
2
Toluca Wins
0
Draws
0
Santos Laguna Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | Toluca | 3 - 1 | Santos Laguna |
| 17 Jul 2025 | Santos Laguna | 2 - 4 | Toluca |
Toluca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | H Santos Laguna | L | 2 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | A Puebla | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Atlas | W | 5 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | H Monterrey | W | 2 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | H Leon | W | 2 - 0 |
Santos Laguna — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | A Toluca | W | 2 - 3 |
| 14 Sep | H FC Juarez | W | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Cruz Azul | L | 1 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | H Tigres UANL | D | 0 - 0 |
| 23 Aug | A Puebla | L | 3 - 2 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |
Club America
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |
Cruz Azul
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |
Club Queretaro
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |
Club Tijuana
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Leon
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Puebla
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |
Atlas
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 11 |
CF Pachuca
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atlante FC
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Necaxa
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tigres UANL
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos Laguna
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 |
Toluca
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: A. Mohamed
22
García
25
López
6
Pereira
4
Méndez
2
Barbosa
8
Castro
205
Téllez
9
Vega
16
Viñas
20
Gallardo
26
Paulinho
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | L. García | G |
| 2 | D. Barbosa | D |
| 4 | B. Méndez | D |
| 6 | F. Pereira | D |
| 25 | E. López | D |
| 205 | Edher Guadalupe Segura Téllez | M |
| 8 | N. Castro | M |
| 20 | J. Gallardo | M |
| 16 | F. Viñas | M |
| 9 | A. Vega | M |
| 26 | Paulinho | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | O. Virgen | F |
| 29 | J. Díaz | M |
| 12 | R. Beltrán | G |
| 10 | J. Angulo | M |
| 198 | J. Estrada | F |
| 13 | Luan | D |
| 17 | B. García | D |
| 15 | P. Pérez | M |
| 19 | S. Simón | M |
Santos Laguna
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Renato Paiva
1
Acevedo
17
EcheverrÃa
25
Sánchez
18
Pardo
28
Pérez
3
Cuevas
193
Gómez
23
Cáseres
8
Mariscal
10
Bullaude
20
Lozano
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Acevedo | G |
| 3 | M. Cuevas | D |
| 28 | Jonathan Pérez | D |
| 18 | F. Pardo | D |
| 25 | Felipe Sánchez | D |
| 17 | E. EcheverrÃa | D |
| 10 | E. Bullaude | M |
| 8 | S. Mariscal | M |
| 23 | F. Cáseres | M |
| 193 | Luis Gómez | M |
| 20 | E. Lozano | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | D. González | F |
| 6 | J. Güémez | M |
| 33 | H. Holguín | G |
| 14 | E. Orona | M |
| 77 | K. Palacios | M |
| 22 | K. Picón | D |
| 26 | R. Sordo | M |
| 21 | Fran Villalba | M |
| 19 | E. Aguirre | F |
| 4 | J. Abella | D |