Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro Prédiction

Liga MX · Apertura - 8

Post on X

Club Queretaro

Away

Estadio Caliente, Tijuana

Prédiction IA Club Tijuana ou match nul

46%

28%

26%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro : Sportiko estime que Club Tijuana a 46% de chances de s'imposer, Club Queretaro 26% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 12 Sep 2026, 05:14.

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1st Half Home or Draw 74%
Moins de 3,5 buts 71%

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Timeline

▮ 20'

Daniel Parra Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 30'

Mateo Coronel assist: Santiago Homenchenko

HT 0–1

Yael Padilla ⇄ Diego Abreu

56' ⇄

⇄ 62'

Paulo Victor ⇄ Carlos Villanueva

Gilberto Mora ⇄ Aldahir Pérez

67' ⇄

▮ 69'

Bayron Duarte Yellow Card

⇄ 75'

Bayron Duarte ⇄ Iker Benito

Francisco González ⇄ Aarón Mejía

82' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Mateo Coronel ⇄ Alejandro Alcala

⇄ 86'

Carlo Adriano García ⇄ Bernardo Parra

⇄ 86'

Enzo Giménez ⇄ Erik Dueñas

▮ 88'

Ali Ávila Yellow Card

▮ 90+6'

Santiago Homenchenko Yellow Card

▮ 90+8'

Diego Reyes Yellow Card

Jackson Porozo Penalty cancelled

90+8' 🖵

FT 0–1

Club Tijuana

Match Stats

Club Queretaro

63% Ball Possession 37%

24 Total Shots 8

4 Shots on Goal 4

8 Shots off Goal 3

12 Blocked Shots 1

18 Shots insidebox 6

6 Shots outsidebox 2

13 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 1

8 Fouls 14

0 Yellow Cards 5

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

441 Total passes 274

363 Passes accurate 196

14 Free Kicks 8

Club Tijuana

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 Jesús Gómez D	7.7	90'	–	–	3	90 (73%)	7
10 Gilberto Mora M	7.2	67'	–	–	2	25 (22%)	1
2 Antonio Rodríguez G	7.1	90'	–	–	–	35 (34%)	–
7 Adonis Preciado M	7.0	90'	–	–	1	17 (13%)	–
12 Jackson Porozo D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	50 (48%)	–
17 Ramiro Árciga D	6.8	90'	–	–	2	44 (35%)	4
19 Diego Abreu F	6.7	34'	–	–	4	5 (3%)	1
16 Jesús Vega D	6.6	90'	–	–	3	43 (29%)	4
26 Aldahir Pérez M	6.5	23'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
9 Mourad El Ghezouani F	6.5	90'	–	–	6	7 (2%)	–
8 Iván Tona M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	73 (62%)	1
11 Francisco González M	6.3	82'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	–
18 Aarón Mejía D	6.3	8'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	–
31 Yael Padilla M	5.7	56'	–	–	2	15 (10%)	2

Club Queretaro

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Mateo Coronel M	7.4	85'	1	–	3	26 (20%)	–
5 Santiago Homenchenko M	7.2	90'	–	1	1	39 (27%)	2
25 Guillermo Allison G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	22 (14%)	–
8 Bernardo Parra M	6.9	4'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
4 Carlo Adriano García M	6.8	86'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	7
15 Carlos Villanueva D	6.7	28'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
12 Paulo Victor M	6.6	62'	–	–	–	14 (7%)	2
16 Enzo Giménez M	6.6	86'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	–
18 Erik Dueñas M	6.5	4'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
7 Iker Benito F	6.5	15'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
13 Diego Reyes D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	–
2 Lucas Abascia D	6.4	90'	–	–	1	27 (19%)	–
20 Alejandro Alcala M	6.4	5'	–	–	–	6 (2%)	–
9 Ali Ávila F	6.3	90'	–	–	3	24 (13%)	1
24 Bayron Duarte D	6.2	75'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	1
27 Daniel Parra D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	20 (14%)	–

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Club Tijuana ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Club Tijuana

DLWLW

Club Queretaro

DWWLD

Last 2 meetings Club Tijuana · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

Club Tijuana faces Club Queretaro in this Liga MX clash, with both teams seeking valuable points. Tijuana has shown a solid home record, capitalizing on offensive pressure, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Queretaro, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match this season. The matchup will hinge on Tijuana's ability to exploit Queretaro's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their own defensive discipline. Expect a competitive encounter with Tijuana looking to assert dominance early.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

26%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Club Queretaro goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	4	2
1	9	13	7	3	1
2	8	10	5	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Club Tijuana goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Players in form

Club Tijuana

G. Mora 5 gls

Club Queretaro

S. Homenchenko 4 gls

A. Ávila 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

28%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

28%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	5.8%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
1	8.7%	13.3%	6.8%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.3%	9.5%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.4%	5.1%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Club Tijuana	Draw	Club Queretaro
Club Tijuana	24.5%	3.3%	1.2%
Draw	19.5%	17.0%	8.9%
Club Queretaro	3.6%	5.6%	16.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro

2 Club Tijuana Wins

0 Draws

0 Club Queretaro Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Jan 2026	Club Queretaro	1 - 2	Club Tijuana
12 Jul 2025	Club Tijuana	1 - 0	Club Queretaro

Club Tijuana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	A CF Pachuca	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Club Queretaro	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	W	2 - 0
22 Aug	A Guadalajara Chivas	L	5 - 2
17 Aug	H Cruz Azul	W	2 - 1

Club Queretaro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Leon	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Club Tijuana	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Atlas	W	1 - 3
22 Aug	H Toluca	L	1 - 2
16 Aug	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	0 - 0

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3