Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets Prédiction

A-League · Regular Season - 11

02 Jan 2027, 04:00

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Newcastle Jets

Away

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Newcastle Jets

13%

26%

61%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets : Sportiko estime que Wellington Phoenix a 13% de chances de s'imposer, Newcastle Jets 61% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Newcastle Jets

LWDDL

Last 2 meetings Wellington Phoenix · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Wellington Phoenix will face Newcastle Jets. Wellington has shown a solid home record, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while Newcastle has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Both teams will be keen to secure points, with Wellington looking to maintain momentum from recent performances. Key players to watch include Wellington's top scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking plays, and Newcastle’s midfield maestro, responsible for playmaking. This match promises to be competitive as both teams aim to improve their standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

13%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

61%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Newcastle Jets goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	14	14	8	3	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	2	4	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Wellington Phoenix goals · most likely 0–1 (14.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

26%

Home Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

26%

Home Win

13%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

82% Away (No Draw) 18% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 13% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	14.3%	13.6%	7.8%	3.4%
1	4.8%	12.0%	9.2%	5.3%	2.3%
2	2.1%	3.6%	3.1%	1.8%	0.8%
3	0.5%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix	7.0%	3.2%	2.0%
Draw	5.9%	17.5%	21.1%
Newcastle Jets	0.7%	3.3%	39.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

51%

34%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets

0 Wellington Phoenix Wins

0 Draws

2 Newcastle Jets Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jan 2026	Newcastle Jets	4 - 1	Wellington Phoenix
14 Dec 2025	Wellington Phoenix	1 - 3	Newcastle Jets

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

Newcastle Jets — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Jul	A Preston Lions	L	3 - 2
25 Apr	H Central Coast Mariners	W	4 - 0
17 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	2 - 2
11 Apr	H Adelaide United	D	1 - 1
02 Apr	A Macarthur	L	3 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.