Ried vs Lask Linz Prédiction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 12

Post on X

Lask Linz

Away

Innviertel Arena, Ried Im Innkreis

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Lask Linz

16%

21%

63%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Ried vs Lask Linz : Sportiko estime que Ried a 16% de chances de s'imposer, Lask Linz 63% et le match nul 21%. Dernière mise à jour : 7 Nov 2026, 20:26.

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5 73%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 3'

Christoph Lang assist: Saša Kalajdžić

Yellow Card

14' ▮

Miguel Freckleton Own Goal

32' ⚽ 1–1

Ante Bajić assist: Stefan Schwab

37' ⚽ 2–1

⚽ 2–2 39'

Alemão assist: Saša Kalajdžić

HT 2–2

⇄ 61'

Christoph Lang ⇄ Moses Usor

⇄ 61'

Florian Flecker ⇄ Kasper Jørgensen

Samuel Johansen Chukwudi Yellow Card

67' ▮

⇄ 77'

Saša Kalajdžić ⇄ Samuel Adeniran

⇄ 77'

Sascha Horvath ⇄ Krystof Daněk

Yusuf Maart ⇄ Lukas Malicsek

81' ⇄

Ante Bajić ⇄ Joris Boguo

81' ⇄

I. Kiese Thelin ⇄ Evan Eghosa

88' ⇄

Jaedin Rhodes ⇄ Oliver Sorg

88' ⇄

⚽ 2–3 90'

Moses Usor assist: Kasper Jørgensen

Martin Rasner ⇄ Jussef Nasrawe

90' ⇄

⇄ 90+2'

Robert Ljubičić ⇄ Daniel Elfadli

⚽ 2–4 90+5'

Krystof Daněk

FT 2–4

Ried

Match Stats

Lask Linz

48% Ball Possession 52%

0.96 Expected Goals (xG) 1.29

11 Total Shots 17

3 Shots on Goal 6

5 Shots off Goal 6

3 Blocked Shots 5

9 Shots insidebox 12

2 Shots outsidebox 5

4 Corner Kicks 3

2 Offsides 0

7 Fouls 15

1 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

441 Total passes 476

342 Passes accurate 376

13 Free Kicks 7

Ried

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 Ante Bajić M	7.1	81'	1	–	3	13 (8%)	2
92 I. Kiese Thelin F	6.5	88'	–	–	2	14 (8%)	–
17 Philipp Pomer D	6.4	90'	–	–	1	50 (43%)	3
6 Yusuf Maart M	6.3	81'	–	–	–	57 (45%)	1
15 Joris Boguo F	6.3	9'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
18 Fabian Rossdorfer D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	46 (36%)	5
30 Oliver Steurer D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	51 (45%)	2
22 Stefan Schwab M	6.0	90'	–	1	2	33 (21%)	1
8 Martin Rasner M	6.0	90'	–	–	–	45 (38%)	4
7 Oliver Sorg D	5.8	2'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1
47 Evan Eghosa M	5.8	2'	–	–	–	–	–
1 Andreas Leitner G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	51 (36%)	–
4 Lukas Malicsek D	5.7	9'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
28 Samuel Johansen Chukwudi D	5.6	90'	–	–	–	44 (35%)	–
11 Jaedin Rhodes M	5.2	88'	–	–	3	23 (15%)	5

Lask Linz

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
27 Christoph Lang F	7.9	61'	1	–	3	26 (15%)	3
8 Moses Usor F	7.8	29'	1	–	2	8 (5%)	–
11 Saša Kalajdžić F	7.4	77'	–	2	1	31 (23%)	1
43 Alemão D	7.4	90'	1	–	1	68 (59%)	1
9 Krystof Daněk M	7.0	13'	1	–	1	3 (3%)	–
30 Sascha Horvath M	6.7	77'	–	–	–	29 (25%)	–
4 Xavier Mbuyamba D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	49 (43%)	–
7 Samuel Adeniran F	6.6	13'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
6 Melayro Bogarde M	6.6	90'	–	–	3	40 (34%)	8
29 Florian Flecker M	6.4	61'	–	–	–	14 (7%)	–
20 Kasper Jørgensen D	6.3	29'	–	1	2	11 (10%)	–
25 Yvan Dibango M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	46 (39%)	8
1 Lukas Jungwirth G	6.0	90'	–	–	–	40 (28%)	–
10 Robert Ljubičić M	6.0	92'	–	–	2	35 (25%)	–
3 Miguel Freckleton D	5.7	90'	–	–	–	71 (57%)	1

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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Lask Linz

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Over 2.5 goals

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Ried

LDLDW

Lask Linz

WWWWL

Last 3 meetings Ried · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Ried will face Lask Linz in a match where both teams will seek crucial points. Ried has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, while Lask Linz boasts a more robust attack, with 1.8 goals scored per game. Ried's home form has been inconsistent, recording only 2 wins in their last 5 home outings, while Lask Linz has shown resilience on the road. The outcome may hinge on Ried's ability to tighten their defense against Lask's dynamic forward line. A closely contested match is expected, with both teams aiming for a strong performance.

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-3! Lask Linz win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

90' Goal 85% sure

Lask Linz now leads 2-4 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 61.6%. Late goal chance: 43%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-2. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 15.8%, Away win 2H: 49.8%.

40' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 32.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

16%

10%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

63%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Ried

P. Pomer 4 gls

I. Kiese Thelin 4 gls

S. Schwab 4 gls

Lask Linz

C. Lang 7 gls

S. Adeniran 6 gls

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Head to Head: Ried vs Lask Linz

0 Ried Wins

0 Draws

3 Lask Linz Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Oct 2026	Lask Linz	5 - 4	Ried
14 Aug 2026	Lask Linz	4 - 1	Ried
18 Mar 2026	Ried	1 - 2	Lask Linz

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Ried — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	H Lask Linz	L	2 - 4
31 Oct	A SCR Altach	D	1 - 1
28 Oct	A Lask Linz	L	5 - 4
25 Oct	A Sturm Graz	D	2 - 2
17 Oct	H Austria Vienna	W	3 - 2

Lask Linz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A Ried	W	2 - 4
03 Nov	H Slovan Bratislava	W	4 - 0
31 Oct	H WSG Wattens	W	2 - 1
28 Oct	H Ried	W	5 - 4
25 Oct	H Red Bull Salzburg	L	1 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	12	11	0	1	39	9	+30	33
2	Red Bull Salzburg	11	8	3	0	29	6	+23	27
3	Lask Linz	12	8	1	3	30	15	+15	25
4	Sturm Graz	11	5	4	2	19	13	+6	19
5	TSV Hartberg	11	5	2	4	20	19	+1	17
6	Ried	12	4	4	4	21	22	-1	16
7	WSG Wattens	11	3	3	5	14	17	-3	12
8	Austria Lustenau	12	3	2	7	15	30	-15	11
9	SCR Altach	11	3	1	7	11	17	-6	10
10	Grazer AK	12	2	4	6	9	29	-20	10
11	Austria Vienna	11	2	1	8	10	22	-12	7
12	Wolfsberger AC	12	1	3	8	8	26	-18	6