Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau Prédiction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Post on X

Austria Lustenau

Away

Merkur Arena, Graz

Prédiction IA Sturm Graz pour gagner ou match nul

70%

19%

11%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau : Sportiko estime que Sturm Graz a 70% de chances de s'imposer, Austria Lustenau 11% et le match nul 19%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Aug 2026, 03:00.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Moins de 3,5 buts 74%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 10'

Dominik Weixelbraun assist: Danilo Soares

FT 1–1

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Confidence Medium (70%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Sturm Graz pour gagner ou match nul

Most likely score

2:0 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Sturm Graz

LDWWL

Austria Lustenau

WLWLD

Last 3 meetings Sturm Graz · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Sturm Graz enters the match against Austria Lustenau with a solid home record, having secured 70% of their points at home last season. Their offensive line, characterized by a goal conversion rate of 15%, poses a significant threat to Lustenau's defense, which struggled against top-tier teams, conceding an average of 2 goals per game in previous encounters. Austria Lustenau will need to improve their defensive organization and capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities to compete effectively. As both teams aim to secure vital points early in the season, this matchup promises to be competitive.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

70%

45%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

11%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Austria Lustenau goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	3	1
1	14	10	3	1
2	15	9	3	1
3	10	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Sturm Graz goals · most likely 2–0 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Sturm Graz

No scorer data.

Austria Lustenau

D. Weixelbraun 4 gls

A. Verinac 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

19%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

19%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

87% Home (No Draw) 13% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	3.5%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
1	13.5%	10.5%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
2	14.7%	9.2%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
3	9.7%	6.1%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	4.8%	3.1%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sturm Graz	Draw	Austria Lustenau
Sturm Graz	42.8%	2.4%	0.4%
Draw	23.8%	14.7%	3.8%
Austria Lustenau	2.8%	3.5%	6.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau

3 Sturm Graz Wins

0 Draws

0 Austria Lustenau Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Nov 2023	Sturm Graz	2 - 0	Austria Lustenau
19 Aug 2023	Austria Lustenau	0 - 1	Sturm Graz
04 Mar 2023	Austria Lustenau	0 - 2	Sturm Graz

Voir les 4 confrontations — Premium

Sturm Graz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Rennes	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Lask Linz	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Voitsberg	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Rapid Vienna	L	3 - 1

Austria Lustenau — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H SCR Altach	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Austria Vienna	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A SV Lafnitz	W	2 - 6
28 Aug	H WSG Wattens	L	0 - 4
22 Aug	A Sturm Graz	D	1 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	7	6	0	1	21	7	+14	18
2	Red Bull Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18	4	+14	17
3	Lask Linz	7	5	1	1	19	7	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8	9	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	11	12	-1	8
6	TSV Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
7	WSG Wattens	7	2	2	3	9	12	-3	8
8	Austria Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6	16	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7	13	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6	5
12	SCR Altach	7	1	0	6	5	12	-7	3

Sturm Graz

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: F. Ingolitsch

22 Helac

18 Soglo

5 Vallci

21 Petrović

28 Heil

19 Seidl

39 Weinhandl

4 Stanković

43 Hödl

20 Jatta

17 Włodarczyk

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Ammar Helac	G
28	Jurgen Heil	D
21	Petar Petrović	D
5	Albert Vallci	D
18	Emran Soglo	D
43	Jacob Hödl	M
4	Jon Gorenc Stanković	M
39	Luca Weinhandl	M
19	Simon Seidl	M
17	Szymon Włodarczyk	F
20	Seedy Jatta	F

Substitutes

32	Christoph Wiener-Pucher	G
23	Arjan Malić	D
27	Luís Balbo	D
30	Paul Koller	D
15	Gizo Mamageishvili	M
40	Julian Halwachs	M
44	Nelson Weiper	F
26	Belmin Beganović	F
11	Axel Kayombo	F

Austria Lustenau

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Markus Mader

27 Schierl

3 Soares

29 Pertlwieser

15 Emmanuel

7 Gmeiner

8 Kacuri

24 Diarra

17 Gashi

20 Afrifa

11 Weixelbraun

39 Verinac

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
27	Domenik Schierl	G
7	Fabian Gmeiner	D
15	Chukwu Emmanuel	D
29	Niklas Pertlwieser	D
3	Danilo Soares	D
8	Dion Kacuri	M
11	Dominik Weixelbraun	M
20	Lord Afrifa	M
17	Albin Gashi	M
24	Seydou Diarra	M
39	Antonio Verinac	F

Substitutes

30	Phillip Bohm	G
26	Lukas Ibertsberger	D
18	Robin Voisine	D
31	Matthias Maak	D
19	Sacha Delaye	M
23	Pius Grabher	M
61	Haris Ismailcebioglu	M
9	Lenn Jastremski	F
14	Precious Benjamin	F