FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano Prédiction

Super League · Regular Season - 13

07 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

FC Lugano

Away

St. Jakob-Park, Basel

Prédiction IA FC Lugano ou match nul

24%

27%

49%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano : Sportiko estime que FC ST. Gallen a 24% de chances de s'imposer, FC Lugano 49% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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FC ST. Gallen

WLLWL

FC Lugano

WWDWW

Last 3 meetings FC ST. Gallen · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League match, FC St. Gallen faces FC Lugano, both teams looking for crucial points as the season progresses. FC St. Gallen has shown a solid home record with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match, while FC Lugano tends to struggle defensively, conceding around 1.5 goals per game. Key players to watch include St. Gallen’s top scorer, who has been instrumental in their attacking play, and Lugano’s playmaker, whose creativity will be vital in breaking down the opposition's defense. The match is likely to be competitive, with both teams aiming to leverage their attacking strengths.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

24%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

49%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Lugano goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	9	9	5	2	1
1	5	13	10	6	2	1
2	4	7	6	3	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4		1	1
5

↑ FC ST. Gallen goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Players in form

FC ST. Gallen

A. Balde 3 gls

FC Lugano

D. Moncada 3 gls

H. Delcroix 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

27%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

27%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

67% Away (No Draw) 33% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	8.5%	8.5%	4.8%	2.1%
1	5.2%	12.9%	9.7%	5.5%	2.3%
2	3.8%	6.5%	5.5%	3.1%	1.3%
3	1.5%	2.5%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC ST. Gallen	Draw	FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen	13.7%	3.8%	2.0%
Draw	9.4%	16.3%	14.4%
FC Lugano	1.8%	4.9%	33.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

50%

1.5

50%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano

1 FC ST. Gallen Wins

1 Draws

1 FC Lugano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Sep 2026	FC Lugano	4 - 1	FC ST. Gallen
17 Mar 2026	FC ST. Gallen	1 - 1	FC Lugano
26 Nov 2025	FC Lugano	1 - 3	FC ST. Gallen

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FC ST. Gallen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	A FC Lugano	L	4 - 1
12 Sep	H FC Sion	L	0 - 3
06 Sep	A Servette FC	W	0 - 2
02 Sep	A Grasshoppers	L	2 - 0

FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lausanne	W	0 - 4
16 Sep	H FC ST. Gallen	W	4 - 1
12 Sep	H BSC Young Boys	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 3
03 Sep	H Servette FC	W	1 - 0

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	9	8	1	0	27	7	+20	25
2	BSC Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31	18	+13	19
3	FC Sion	9	6	1	2	23	14	+9	19
4	FC Basel 1893	9	4	1	4	17	17	0	13
5	FC ST. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16	19	-3	13
6	FC Luzern	9	3	3	3	17	18	-1	12
7	FC Zurich	9	3	2	4	14	20	-6	11
8	Servette FC	9	3	1	5	11	13	-2	10
9	FC Thun	9	3	1	5	15	23	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	2	0	7	18	21	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	7	15	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.