Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone Prédiction

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 12
FT
Post on X
The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Prédiction IA Kilmarnock ou match nul
40%
27%
32%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone : Sportiko estime que Kilmarnock a 40% de chances de s'imposer, ST Johnstone 32% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Oct 2026, 16:55.

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  • L'équipe extérieure marque 75%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 75%
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Timeline

🖵 12'
Toby Steward Card upgrade confirmed
▮ 13'
Toby Steward Red Card
C. McCarthy assist: D. Daniels
14' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 14'
Taylor Steven ⇄ Ross Sinclair
▮ 35'
Jason Holt Yellow Card
▮ 35'
M. Todd Yellow Card
Aaron Tshibola Yellow Card
37' ▮
⚽ 1–1 40'
D. Schmidt assist: Enes Alic 
D. Daniels assist: Joe Hugill
41' ⚽ 2–1
⇄ 45'
M. Todd ⇄ Matty Foulds
⇄ 45'
Josh Fowler ⇄ Josh Campbell
HT 2–1
Jamie Brandon Yellow Card
56' ▮
Erik Ring ⇄ Nicky Cleșcenco
58' ⇄
D. Daniels ⇄ Tyreece John-Jules
58' ⇄
⇄ 63'
Jason Holt ⇄ Logan Chalmers
⚽ 2–2 65'
Joel Cotterill
⇄ 67'
B. Mikulić ⇄ Daniel Finlayson
Robbie Deas ⇄ Michael Schjønning-Larsen
71' ⇄
Nicky Cleșcenco Yellow Card
83' ▮
FT 2–2
Kilmarnock

Match Stats

ST Johnstone
63% Ball Possession 37%
2.57 Expected Goals (xG) 0.8
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 1
4 Blocked Shots 2
16 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 2
10 Corner Kicks 2
3 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
539 Total passes 333
453 Passes accurate 233
9 Free Kicks 11
Kilmarnock
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
29 D. Daniels F 8.4 58' 1 1 3 11 (5%) –
4 C. McCarthy D 7.4 90' 1 – 1 79 (66%) 2
10 Tyreece John-Jules F 7.2 32' – – 4 12 (11%) 1
14 George Stanger D 7.0 90' – – 1 74 (63%) 1
9 Joe Hugill F 7.0 90' – 1 – 13 (11%) 2
11 Greg Kiltie M 6.7 90' – – 2 43 (40%) 1
20 Nicky Cleșcenco F 6.7 32' – – 4 9 (7%) 1
18 Tom Lowery M 6.6 90' – – – 78 (74%) –
36 Aaron Tshibola M 6.5 90' – – 2 51 (45%) 5
6 Robbie Deas D 6.3 71' – – 1 52 (39%) 1
58 N. Mantl G 6.2 90' – – – 21 (17%) –
2 Jamie Brandon M 6.1 90' – – – 56 (41%) 2
8 Erik Ring M 6.0 58' – – – 23 (19%) –
21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen D 5.9 19' – – – 11 (9%) –
ST Johnstone
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 D. Schmidt F 8.0 90' 1 – 1 20 (17%) 1
30 Joel Cotterill M 7.3 90' 1 – 1 25 (19%) –
2 Enes Alic  D 6.6 90' – 1 – 31 (22%) 3
8 Jason Holt M 6.5 63' – – – 33 (29%) 2
19 Daniel Finlayson D 6.4 23' – – – 5 (4%) 3
42 Reece McAlear M 6.4 90' – – 1 42 (30%) 1
20 Ross Sinclair G 6.3 76' – – – 30 (9%) –
14 Matty Foulds D 6.2 44' – – – 14 (4%) 1
6 B. Mikulić D 6.2 67' – – – 33 (28%) 2
3 Cheick Diabate D 6.1 90' – – 1 35 (26%) –
32 Josh Campbell M 6.0 44' – – 1 18 (16%) –
23 Logan Chalmers M 6.0 27' – – – 5 (2%) –
9 Josh Fowler M 5.9 46' – – 1 10 (7%) –
26 M. Todd M 5.7 46' – – – 18 (9%) 1
7 Taylor Steven M 5.6 14' – – – 5 (4%) –
1 Toby Steward G 4.4 13' – – – 6 (4%) –
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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Kilmarnock ou match nul
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Kilmarnock
DLLWL
ST Johnstone
WDDLD
Last 3 meetings Kilmarnock · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Kilmarnock faces St Johnstone in a crucial Premiership clash. Kilmarnock has shown a solid home record, securing 60% of their points at home this season, while St Johnstone struggles with away performances, winning only 25% of their matches on the road. The key for Kilmarnock will be to capitalize on their home advantage and maintain defensive solidity, as St Johnstone has scored just 10 goals away from home. This match could hinge on Kilmarnock's ability to convert chances, given that St Johnstone has a leaky defense, conceding 1.8 goals per game on average in away fixtures.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
40%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
32%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Kilmarnock
G. Kiltie 3 gls
ST Johnstone
J. Fowler 6 gls

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Head to Head: Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone

2 Kilmarnock Wins
0 Draws
1 ST Johnstone Wins
Date Home Score Away
02 Aug 2026 ST Johnstone 4 - 3 Kilmarnock
03 May 2025 ST Johnstone 0 - 2 Kilmarnock
15 Feb 2025 Kilmarnock 3 - 1 ST Johnstone
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct H ST Johnstone D 2 - 2
28 Oct A Dundee L 3 - 1
24 Oct A Falkirk L 3 - 0
17 Oct H Motherwell W 3 - 2
10 Oct A Rangers L 3 - 1

ST Johnstone — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Dundee W 2 - 1
31 Oct A Kilmarnock D 2 - 2
28 Oct H Motherwell D 2 - 2
24 Oct A Rangers L 4 - 0
17 Oct H Dundee Utd D 1 - 1

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
12 9 1 2 +17 28
2
Rangers
12 8 3 1 +12 27
3
Heart Of Midlothian
11 6 2 3 +7 20
4
Falkirk
12 5 3 4 +3 18
5
Dundee
12 5 2 5 +3 17
6
Dundee Utd
12 4 5 3 0 17
7
ST Johnstone
13 4 5 4 -3 17
8
ST Mirren
13 4 2 7 -10 14
9
Motherwell
13 3 4 6 -6 13
10
Hibernian
12 3 2 7 -2 11
11
Aberdeen
12 3 2 7 -6 11
12
Kilmarnock
12 2 3 7 -15 9

Kilmarnock

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: N. McCann
58 Mantl
14 Stanger
6 Deas
4 McCarthy
8 Ring
18 Lowery
36 Tshibola
2 Brandon
11 Kiltie
29 Daniels
9 Hugill

Starting XI

# Player Pos
58 N. Mantl G
4 C. McCarthy D
6 R. Deas D
14 G. Stanger D
2 J. Brandon M
36 A. Tshibola M
18 T. Lowery M
8 E. Ring M
11 G. Kiltie M
9 J. Hugill F
29 D. Daniels F

Substitutes

23 Roshaun Mathurin M
3 Michael-John Kamson-Kamara D
7 R. McKenzie M
19 J. Meier D
21 M. Schjønning-Larsen D
20 N. Cleșcenco F
27 I. Owen F
10 T. John-Jules F
12 C. Ferrie G

ST Johnstone

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: S. Valakari
1 Steward
2 Alıç
6 Mikulić
3 Diabate
30 Cotterill
8 Holt
42 McAlear
26 Todd
9 Fowler
7 Steven
22 Schmidt

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 T. Steward G
3 C. Diabate D
6 B. Mikulić D
2 E. Alıç D
26 M. Todd M
42 R. McAlear M
8 J. Holt M
30 J. Cotterill M
7 T. Steven M
9 J. Fowler M
22 D. Schmidt F

Substitutes

32 J. Campbell M
23 L. Chalmers M
14 M. Foulds D
10 J. Gullan F
99 R. Paton F
20 R. Sinclair G
25 M. Tait M
52 A. Brookfield D
19 D. Finlayson D

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