Dundee vs Kilmarnock Prédiction

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 11
FT
Post on X
The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park, Dundee
Prédiction IA Dundee ou match nul
49%
26%
25%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Dundee vs Kilmarnock : Sportiko estime que Dundee a 49% de chances de s'imposer, Kilmarnock 25% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 28 Oct 2026, 21:38.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 75%
  • L'équipe extérieure marque 71%
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Timeline

Joe Bevan assist: Ethan Hamilton
32' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
▮ 58'
C. McCarthy Yellow Card
Joe Bevan ⇄ Charlie Reilly
60' ⇄
Bradley Fink ⇄ Joe Westley
65' ⇄
Joe Wright ⇄ Matai Akinmboni
66' ⇄
⇄ 70'
Robbie Deas ⇄ Michael John Kamara
⚽ 1–1 75'
Joe Hugill Penalty
⇄ 76'
Greg Kiltie ⇄ Ieuan Owen
⇄ 76'
Jamie Brandon ⇄ J. Meier
Callum Jones ⇄ Žan Bešir
78' ⇄
Ashley Hay Goal cancelled
80' 🖵
Ashley Hay assist: Alan Forrest
83' ⚽ 2–1
▮ 85'
George Stanger Yellow Card
⇄ 89'
C. McCarthy ⇄ D. Daniels
▮ 90+3'
Michael John Kamara Yellow Card
Ashley Hay assist: Owen Goodman
90+4' ⚽ 3–1
FT 3–1
Dundee

Match Stats

Kilmarnock
46% Ball Possession 54%
1.83 Expected Goals (xG) 2.13
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 8
2 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 13
4 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
409 Total passes 411
309 Passes accurate 322
13 Free Kicks 6
Dundee
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Ashley Hay F 9.1 90' 2 – 2 25 (15%) 1
27 Joe Bevan M 7.8 60' 1 – 3 12 (7%) –
48 Ethan Hamilton M 7.7 90' – 1 5 34 (31%) 1
14 Alan Forrest M 7.7 90' – 1 – 31 (29%) –
4 Ryan Astley D 7.3 90' – – 1 55 (43%) 2
7 Drey Wright D 6.8 90' – – – 45 (34%) 1
28 Callum Jones M 6.7 78' – – – 37 (29%) 1
1 Owen Goodman G 6.6 90' – – – 36 (25%) –
12 Imari Samuels D 6.5 90' – – – 43 (34%) 1
6 Matai Akinmboni D 6.5 24' – – – 5 (3%) –
17 Žan Bešir M 6.4 12' – – – 9 (8%) –
21 Bradley Fink F 6.4 65' – – 4 15 (10%) –
26 Joe Wright D 6.3 66' – – – 44 (28%) 1
19 Joe Westley F 6.2 25' – – – 5 (3%) –
18 Charlie Reilly F 6.1 30' – – – 13 (10%) –
Kilmarnock
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Tyreece John-Jules F 6.8 90' – – 2 29 (21%) 3
11 Greg Kiltie F 6.6 76' – – 4 21 (15%) –
36 Aaron Tshibola M 6.5 90' – – 1 53 (50%) 1
18 Tom Lowery M 6.5 90' – – 1 51 (44%) 2
19 J. Meier D 6.4 14' – – – 2 (1%) –
9 Joe Hugill F 6.3 90' 1 – 3 12 (4%) –
29 D. Daniels F 6.3 1' – – – 1 –
14 George Stanger D 6.2 90' – – 1 45 (40%) 5
27 Ieuan Owen F 6.2 14' – – – 5 (3%) –
6 Robbie Deas D 6.1 70' – – – 37 (28%) 4
2 Jamie Brandon D 6.0 76' – – – 24 (17%) –
58 N. Mantl G 6.0 90' – – – 31 (17%) –
3 Michael John Kamara D 5.8 20' – – – 11 (7%) –
21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen M 5.7 90' – – 2 30 (23%) 1
4 C. McCarthy D 5.6 89' – – 1 59 (52%) –
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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Dundee ou match nul
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Dundee
LWLDW
Kilmarnock
DLLWL
Last 3 meetings Dundee · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Dundee will face Kilmarnock in a crucial Premiership clash on October 28, 2026. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, with Dundee currently sitting mid-table and Kilmarnock struggling near the relegation zone. Key players to watch include Dundee's top scorer, who contributes significantly to their attacking play, and Kilmarnock's defense, which has been inconsistent. Match statistics indicate that Dundee has a stronger home goal-scoring record, while Kilmarnock's away form has been a concern. This matchup will be pivotal for both sides' ambitions as the season progresses.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
49%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
25%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Dundee
B. Fink 4 gls
A. Hay 3 gls
J. Westley 3 gls
Kilmarnock
G. Kiltie 3 gls

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Head to Head: Dundee vs Kilmarnock

1 Dundee Wins
2 Draws
0 Kilmarnock Wins
Date Home Score Away
11 Apr 2026 Kilmarnock 2 - 2 Dundee
30 Dec 2025 Dundee 2 - 1 Kilmarnock
23 Aug 2025 Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Dundee
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Dundee — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A ST Johnstone L 2 - 1
28 Oct H Kilmarnock W 3 - 1
24 Oct A ST Mirren L 2 - 1
17 Oct H Rangers D 2 - 2
10 Oct A Falkirk W 1 - 2

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct H ST Johnstone D 2 - 2
28 Oct A Dundee L 3 - 1
24 Oct A Falkirk L 3 - 0
17 Oct H Motherwell W 3 - 2
10 Oct A Rangers L 3 - 1

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
12 9 1 2 +17 28
2
Rangers
12 8 3 1 +12 27
3
Heart Of Midlothian
11 6 2 3 +7 20
4
Falkirk
12 5 3 4 +3 18
5
Dundee
12 5 2 5 +3 17
6
Dundee Utd
12 4 5 3 0 17
7
ST Johnstone
13 4 5 4 -3 17
8
ST Mirren
13 4 2 7 -10 14
9
Motherwell
13 3 4 6 -6 13
10
Hibernian
12 3 2 7 -2 11
11
Aberdeen
12 3 2 7 -6 11
12
Kilmarnock
12 2 3 7 -15 9

Kilmarnock

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: N. McCann
58 Mantl
6 Deas
14 Stanger
4 McCarthy
2 Brandon
21 Schjønning-Larsen
36 Tshibola
18 Lowery
11 Kiltie
9 Hugill
10 John-Jules

Starting XI

# Player Pos
58 N. Mantl G
2 J. Brandon D
4 C. McCarthy D
14 G. Stanger D
6 R. Deas D
18 T. Lowery M
36 A. Tshibola M
21 M. Schjønning-Larsen M
10 T. John-Jules F
9 J. Hugill F
11 G. Kiltie F

Substitutes

29 D. Daniels F
32 R. Ellis D
3 Michael-John Kamson-Kamara D
23 Roshaun Mathurin M
7 R. McKenzie M
19 J. Meier D
8 E. Ring M
12 C. Ferrie G
27 I. Owen F

Dundee

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: S. Pressley
1 Goodman
12 Samuels
4 Astley
26 Wright
7 Wright
14 Forrest
48 Hamilton
28 Jones
27 Bevan
21 Fink
11 Hay

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 O. Goodman G
7 D. Wright D
26 J. Wright D
4 R. Astley D
12 I. Samuels D
27 J. Bevan M
28 C. Jones M
48 E. Hamilton M
14 A. Forrest M
11 A. Hay F
21 B. Fink F

Substitutes

2 B. Halliday D
17 Ž. Bešir M
77 Alfie Harrison M
3 I. Odutayo D
45 Cole Perrie D
18 C. Reilly F
30 H. Sharp G
19 J. Westley F
6 M. Akinmboni D

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