ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd Prédiction

Premiership · Regular Season - 7

Post on X

Dundee Utd

Away

The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

Prédiction IA ST Mirren ou match nul

42%

27%

31%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd : Sportiko estime que ST Mirren a 42% de chances de s'imposer, Dundee Utd 31% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 19 Sep 2026, 15:52.

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1st Half Over 0.5 76%
L'équipe extérieure marque 75%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 6'

Jesse Randall assist: Daniel Bennie

⚽ 0–2 12'

Lyall Cameron assist: Idjessi Metsoko

Killian Phillips Penalty cancelled

20' 🖵

🖵 42'

Daniel Bennie Red card cancelled

▮ 43'

Daniel Bennie Yellow Card

⚽ 0–3 45'

Kevin Ciubotaru assist: Jesse Randall

F. Taylor ⇄ Jake Young

45' ⇄

HT 0–3

Killian Phillips ⇄ C. Mochrie

66' ⇄

Jake Young Yellow Card

70' ▮

⇄ 73'

Daniel Bennie ⇄ Will Ferry

⇄ 73'

Idjessi Metsoko ⇄ Lachlan Rose

Ismeal Kabia ⇄ J. Farquhar

77' ⇄

Eseosa Sule ⇄ L. Thomas

77' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Lyall Cameron ⇄ Abdoulaye Yoro

⇄ 78'

Jesse Randall ⇄ Neil Farrugia

▮ 80'

Will Ferry Yellow Card

⇄ 83'

Zidane Iqbal ⇄ Panutche Camará

R. Carr Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

FT 0–3

ST Mirren

Match Stats

Dundee Utd

60% Ball Possession 40%

10 Total Shots 13

0 Shots on Goal 9

6 Shots off Goal 1

4 Blocked Shots 3

6 Shots insidebox 9

4 Shots outsidebox 4

4 Corner Kicks 7

2 Offsides 3

13 Fouls 13

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

6 Goalkeeper Saves 0

509 Total passes 346

428 Passes accurate 281

12 Free Kicks 12

ST Mirren

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 J. Chapman G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	26 (23%)	–
8 R. Carr M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	81 (70%)	4
24 J. Farquhar F	6.7	13'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
47 Calvin Ramsay D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	53 (40%)	2
13 Alexander Gogić D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	71 (66%)	1
48 P. Nsio M	6.3	90'	–	–	2	30 (26%)	1
19 Ismeal Kabia M	6.3	77'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	1
88 Killian Phillips M	6.2	66'	–	–	3	28 (24%)	–
9 Eseosa Sule F	6.2	77'	–	–	–	12 (6%)	–
20 Jake Young F	6.1	44'	–	–	2	8 (5%)	2
3 Declan John D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	44 (37%)	1
23 C. Mochrie M	6.0	24'	–	–	1	8 (7%)	1
53 Henry Fieldson D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	87 (73%)	2
30 F. Taylor M	5.9	46'	–	–	1	33 (28%)	2
16 L. Thomas M	5.8	13'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–

Dundee Utd

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Jesse Randall F	8.8	78'	1	1	3	17 (13%)	–
16 Lyall Cameron M	8.2	78'	1	–	1	29 (22%)	–
19 Kevin Ciubotaru D	8.0	90'	1	–	3	15 (11%)	5
18 Michael Forbes D	7.9	90'	–	–	–	37 (32%)	3
3 Bert Esselink D	7.4	90'	–	–	–	36 (32%)	1
77 Daniel Bennie F	7.4	73'	–	1	1	23 (17%)	–
93 Idjessi Metsoko F	7.3	73'	–	1	2	22 (19%)	1
23 Joshua Rawlins D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	1
10 Dylan Tait M	7.0	90'	–	–	2	61 (50%)	–
1 Jack James Walton G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	16 (8%)	–
8 Panutche Camará M	6.8	7'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
26 Abdoulaye Yoro M	6.8	12'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	1
14 Zidane Iqbal M	6.7	83'	–	–	1	32 (27%)	1
20 Neil Farrugia F	6.6	12'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	1
15 Lachlan Rose F	6.5	17'	–	–	–	–	–
11 Will Ferry M	6.5	17'	–	–	–	6 (2%)	2

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Notre approche

ST Mirren ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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ST Mirren

LLLWD

Dundee Utd

WDLWL

Last 3 meetings ST Mirren · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, St Mirren host Dundee United in a match that promises competitive action. St Mirren has shown a solid defensive record, but they will need to improve their goal-scoring efficiency to secure a win. Dundee United, on the other hand, has had a mixed start to the season, with their recent form highlighting inconsistency in both attack and defense. Key players from both sides will be crucial in determining the outcome, especially in converting chances. The match could pivot on set pieces, given both teams’ performances in dead-ball situations so far this season.

Live insights

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Dundee Utd leads 0-3. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

76' Goal 85% sure

Dundee Utd now leads 0-4 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 36.9%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Dundee Utd leads 0-4. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

45' Goal 85% sure

Dundee Utd now leads 0-3 with 96.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 72.2%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-3. Dundee Utd leads. Win probability: 97.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

42%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

31%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dundee Utd goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	5	5	2	1
1	7	13	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	3	2	1
4	2	2	1	1
5		1

↑ ST Mirren goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Players in form

ST Mirren

K. Phillips 3 gls

Samu 1 gls

Dundee Utd

J. Randall 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

31%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

82%

43%

2.5

57%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

31%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

58% Home (No Draw) 42% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

82%

43%

2.5

57%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	5.4%	4.7%	2.1%	0.7%
1	6.7%	12.6%	7.7%	3.5%	1.2%
2	6.7%	9.2%	6.3%	2.9%	1.0%
3	3.7%	5.0%	3.4%	1.6%	0.5%
4	1.5%	2.1%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	ST Mirren	Draw	Dundee Utd
ST Mirren	28.7%	5.2%	2.3%
Draw	12.7%	15.8%	11.3%
Dundee Utd	2.0%	4.1%	17.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd

1 ST Mirren Wins

0 Draws

2 Dundee Utd Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Mar 2026	Dundee Utd	2 - 1	ST Mirren
06 Dec 2025	ST Mirren	2 - 0	Dundee Utd
25 Oct 2025	Dundee Utd	3 - 1	ST Mirren

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dundee Utd	L	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Celtic	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Kilmarnock	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Motherwell	D	3 - 3

Dundee Utd — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A ST Mirren	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	H Falkirk	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	A Motherwell	L	3 - 0
29 Aug	A Kilmarnock	W	0 - 4
22 Aug	H Dundee	L	0 - 2

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5