Fakel vs Rodina Moskva Prédiction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 12
FT
Post on X
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov, Voronezh
Prédiction IA Fakel ou match nul
46%
29%
25%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Fakel vs Rodina Moskva : Sportiko estime que Fakel a 46% de chances de s'imposer, Rodina Moskva 25% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 24 Oct 2026, 14:05.

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Timeline

Aleksandr Koksharov Yellow Card
19' ▮
⚽ 0–1 43'
German Onugkha Penalty
D. Todorović ⇄ A. Kovalev
45' ⇄
HT 0–1
⇄ 58'
Andrey Egorychev ⇄ Iker Pozo
▮ 60'
Leon Musaev Yellow Card
A. Gabaraev Yellow Card
61' ▮
B. Pusi ⇄ M. Turishchev
63' ⇄
Aleksandr Koksharov ⇄ Axel Gnapi
63' ⇄
⇄ 67'
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov ⇄ Artem Maksimenko
⇄ 67'
Leon Musaev ⇄ Ruslan Fishchenko
B. Magomedov ⇄ R. Netfullin
73' ⇄
A. Kovalev Yellow Card
76' ▮
▮ 76'
Ruslan Fishchenko Yellow Card
▮ 76'
German Onugkha Yellow Card
⇄ 83'
Rodrigo Becão ⇄ Artur Gharibyan
⇄ 83'
Soltmurad Bakaev ⇄ Dmitriy Tananeev
V. Yakimov ⇄ N. Giorgobiani
87' ⇄
▮ 90'
Artem Meshchaninov Yellow Card
A. Bagamaev Yellow Card
90+2' ▮
▮ 90+6'
Iker Pozo Yellow Card
FT 0–1
Fakel

Match Stats

Rodina Moskva
59% Ball Possession 41%
0.64 Expected Goals (xG) 1.13
6 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Corner Kicks 4
19 Fouls 11
4 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
473 Total passes 316
364 Passes accurate 225
9 Free Kicks 18
Fakel
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
40 Clayton Sampaio D 6.9 90' – – – 75 (69%) 2
90 Aleksandr Koksharov F 6.8 63' – – 2 11 (9%) 2
55 D. Todorović D 6.7 45' – – 1 21 (16%) 1
23 V. Yakimov M 6.5 87' – – 1 45 (35%) 3
10 I. Alshin D 6.4 90' – – 1 33 (27%) 1
53 M. Bardachev D 6.4 90' – – – 68 (56%) 2
5 A. Gabaraev D 6.3 90' – – – 78 (59%) 2
19 B. Pusi F 6.3 63' – – – 5 (4%) 1
7 M. Turishchev F 6.3 27' – – 1 4 (3%) –
99 N. Giorgobiani M 6.2 3' – – – 7 (4%) –
17 A. Kovalev M 6.2 45' – – – 15 (13%) 1
52 R. Netfullin M 6.1 17' – – – 12 (10%) 1
96 I. Obukhov G 6.0 90' – – – 30 (16%) –
9 Axel Gnapi F 5.9 27' – – – 5 (2%) –
8 A. Bagamaev M 5.6 90' – – – 29 (20%) 2
97 B. Magomedov M 5.6 73' – – – 35 (21%) 1
Rodina Moskva
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
50 Rodrigo Becão D 7.5 83' – – 2 31 (30%) 3
20 Deiver Machado D 7.2 90' – – – 39 (30%) 2
2 Igor Silva D 7.1 90' – – – 36 (28%) 1
26 Artem Meshchaninov D 7.1 90' – – 1 48 (38%) –
7 German Onugkha F 7.0 90' 1 – 1 14 (6%) –
38 Leon Musaev D 7.0 67' – – – 24 (22%) 1
19 Dmitriy Tananeev D 6.8 7' – – – 1 (1%) –
13 Sergey Volkov G 6.7 90' – – – 19 (13%) –
10 Yordy Reyna M 6.7 90' – – 1 24 (10%) 1
6 Ruslan Fishchenko M 6.6 23' – – – 4 (1%) 2
17 Soltmurad Bakaev M 6.5 83' – – – 19 (11%) 1
18 Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov M 6.5 67' – – – 16 (11%) –
77 Artur Gharibyan F 6.4 7' – – 1 2 (1%) –
8 Iker Pozo M 6.3 32' – – 1 12 (8%) 1
5 Andrey Egorychev M 6.2 58' – – – 21 (11%) –
9 Artem Maksimenko F 6.1 23' – – – 6 (4%) 1
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Fakel ou match nul
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Fakel
LLDLW
Rodina Moskva
LWLWD

Match summary

Fakel will face Rodina Moskva in a Premier League clash on October 24, 2026. Fakel has shown a solid home record, boasting a strong defense with an average of only 1 goal conceded per match at home this season. Rodina Moskva, meanwhile, has struggled to secure points on the road, with a poor away record highlighting their vulnerability. Key players to watch include Fakel's leading scorer, who has been pivotal in their recent successes, and Rodina's midfield playmaker, who can influence the game if given space. Overall, Fakel's stability at the back may give them the edge in this encounter.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
46%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
25%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Fakel

No scorer data.

Rodina Moskva
A. Maksimenko 3 gls

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Head to Head: Fakel vs Rodina Moskva

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Fakel — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Dynamo L 1 - 2
31 Oct A Rubin L 1 - 0
27 Oct H Akhmat D 0 - 0
24 Oct H Rodina Moskva L 0 - 1
17 Oct A Krylia Sovetov W 1 - 2

Rodina Moskva — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Akhmat L 1 - 0
31 Oct H FC Krasnodar W 2 - 1
28 Oct A FC Orenburg L 2 - 1
24 Oct A Fakel W 0 - 1
19 Oct H FC Orenburg D 2 - 2

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Dynamo
14 10 1 3 +10 31
2
Zenit
13 10 0 3 +17 30
3
FC Krasnodar
14 7 5 2 +7 26
4
CSKA Moscow
14 7 5 2 +7 26
5
Spartak Moscow
13 8 2 3 +15 26
6
FC Rostov
13 5 3 5 -1 18
7
Rubin
14 4 6 4 -4 18
8
Baltika
13 4 5 4 +3 17
9
FC Orenburg
13 3 8 2 +2 17
10
Krylia Sovetov
13 3 6 4 -3 15
11
Akhmat
14 3 5 6 -3 14
12
Dinamo Makhachkala
13 4 1 8 -10 13
13
Rodina Moskva
14 3 3 8 -14 12
14
Akron
13 2 6 5 -7 12
15
Lokomotiv
14 2 5 7 -5 11
16
Fakel
14 1 3 10 -14 6

Fakel

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
96 Obukhov
10 Alshin
53 Bardachev
40 Clayton
5 Gabaraev
55 Todorović
8 Bagamaev
23 Yakimov
97 Magomedov
19 Pusi
90 Koksharov

Starting XI

# Player Pos
96 I. Obukhov G
55 D. Todorović D
5 A. Gabaraev D
40 Clayton D
53 M. Bardachev D
10 I. Alshin D
97 B. Magomedov M
23 V. Yakimov M
8 A. Bagamaev M
90 A. Koksharov F
19 B. Pusi F

Substitutes

35 V. Dorovskikh G
22 H. El Mahasni D
1 D. Frolkin G
99 N. Giorgobiani M
9 A. Gnapi Dable F
17 A. Kovalev M
52 R. Netfullin M
18 K. Simonov M
7 M. Turishchev F
20 I. Yurganov D
44 Y. Zhuravlev D

Rodina Moskva

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Jonatan Alba
13 Volkov
20 Machado
26 Meshchaninov
38 Musaev
50 Becão
2 Silva
17 Bakaev
5 Egorychev
10 Reyna
18 Abdusalamov
7 Onugkha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 S. Volkov G
2 Igor Silva D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
38 L. Musaev D
26 A. Meshchaninov D
20 D. Machado D
18 M. Abdusalamov M
10 Y. Reyna M
5 A. Egorychev M
17 S. Bakaev M
7 G. Onugkha F

Substitutes

23 K. Ushatov M
99 I. Timoshenko F
19 D. Tananeev D
8 Iker Pozo M
75 M. Nadé D
9 A. Maksimenko F
3 L. Goglichidze D
77 A. Gharibyan F
6 R. Fishchenko M
95 K. Cissoko F
1 S. Aydarov G
80 S. Bessmertny D

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