Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise Prédiction

Jupiler Pro League Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Prédiction IA Union St. Gilloise ou match nul
26%
26%
48%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise : Sportiko estime que Charleroi a 26% de chances de s'imposer, Union St. Gilloise 48% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 5 Sep 2026, 15:58.

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  • L'équipe à domicile marque 72%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 70%
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Timeline

▮ 7'
Ondrej Kricfalusi Yellow Card
Mardochee Nzita Yellow Card
9' ▮
⚽ 0–1 12'
Mohamed Koné Own Goal
Freddy Mbemba assist: Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
27' ⚽ 1–1
Patrick Pflücke assist: Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
41' ⚽ 2–1
⚽ 2–2 44'
Adem Zorgane
▮ 45+2'
Louis Patris Yellow Card
HT 2–2
⚽ 2–3 49'
Kamiel Van de Perre assist: Besfort Zeneli
Freddy Mbemba ⇄ Antoine Colassin
64' ⇄
Amine Boukamir ⇄ Triston Rowe
64' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Raul Florucz ⇄ Darius Olaru
⇄ 72'
Louis Patris ⇄ Denzel De Roeve
Patrick Pflücke ⇄ Adama Bojang
72' ⇄
⇄ 80'
Mateo Biondic ⇄ I. Hurtevent
⇄ 80'
Besfort Zeneli ⇄ Nikki Havenaar
⇄ 84'
Adem Zorgane ⇄ Rob Schoofs
Mardochee Nzita ⇄ Gaku Nawata
86' ⇄
FT 2–3
Charleroi

Match Stats

Union St. Gilloise
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Goal 7
7 Shots off Goal 3
8 Blocked Shots 7
16 Shots insidebox 12
4 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Corner Kicks 7
1 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
479 Total passes 333
392 Passes accurate 254
16 Free Kicks 12
Charleroi
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Patrick Pflücke M 7.5 72' 1 – 1 18 (15%) –
8 Jakob Napoleon Romsaas M 7.3 90' – 1 2 42 (32%) 2
3 Kevin Van Den Kerkhof D 7.0 90' – 1 3 35 (28%) 2
20 Freddy Mbemba M 7.0 64' 1 – 2 12 (9%) –
4 Aiham Ousou D 6.8 90' – – 1 72 (64%) 4
95 Cheick Keita D 6.8 90' – – 1 59 (51%) 5
30 Mohamed Koné G 6.7 90' – – – 34 (25%) –
6 Amine Boukamir M 6.5 64' – – 1 43 (39%) 3
25 Antoine Colassin F 6.4 26' – – – 6 (5%) 3
18 Yassine Khalifi M 6.3 90' – – 1 60 (51%) 1
9 Adama Bojang F 6.3 18' – – – 7 (7%) 1
21 Aurélien Scheidler F 6.2 90' – – 5 19 (13%) 1
2 Triston Rowe D 6.2 26' – – – 23 (22%) 1
13 Gaku Nawata M 5.8 4' – – 1 1 (1%) –
24 Mardochee Nzita D 5.4 86' – – 2 48 (30%) 3
Union St. Gilloise
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Adem Zorgane M 7.6 84' 1 – 4 56 (46%) –
23 Besfort Zeneli M 7.4 80' – 1 1 25 (22%) –
6 Kamiel Van de Perre M 7.3 90' 1 – 1 29 (23%) 1
5 Kevin Mac Allister D 6.8 90' – – 1 42 (30%) 6
30 Raul Florucz F 6.6 72' – – 2 18 (13%) 1
25 I. Hurtevent F 6.5 10' – – – 5 (4%) –
27 Louis Patris M 6.4 72' – – 1 11 (6%) 2
9 Mateo Biondic F 6.4 80' – – 2 12 (8%) 1
12 Hervé Koffi G 6.3 90' – – – 22 (16%) –
11 Guilherme Smith M 6.3 90' – – 2 21 (19%) –
29 Massire Sylla D 6.2 90' – – 1 33 (23%) 4
21 Denzel De Roeve D 6.1 18' – – – 8 (5%) 1
55 Nikki Havenaar D 6.1 10' – – – 2 (1%) –
17 Rob Schoofs M 6.0 6' – – – 2 (2%) –
28 Darius Olaru M 6.0 18' – – – 9 (7%) 1
80 Ondrej Kricfalusi D 5.7 90' – – 2 38 (29%) 3
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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Union St. Gilloise ou match nul
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Charleroi
WWLWW
Union St. Gilloise
WWWWW
Last 3 meetings Charleroi · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In this Jupiler Pro League matchup, Charleroi faces Union St. Gilloise, both teams aiming to secure crucial points early in the season. Charleroi has shown a solid home record in the past, but Union St. Gilloise's recent form indicates they are a formidable opponent, especially with their strong attacking capabilities. Key players to watch include Charleroi's top scorer, who has consistently found the net, and Union's playmaker, known for creating goal-scoring opportunities. This clash promises to be competitive, with both teams vying for dominance in the midfield. Expect a tactical battle that could hinge on set pieces and defensive organization.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
26%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
48%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Charleroi
F. Situmona Mbemba 3 gls
A. Scheidler 3 gls
Union St. Gilloise
R. Florucz 4 gls
R. Mofokeng 3 gls

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Head to Head: Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise

0 Charleroi Wins
1 Draws
2 Union St. Gilloise Wins
Date Home Score Away
14 Dec 2025 Charleroi 1 - 1 Union St. Gilloise
18 Oct 2025 Union St. Gilloise 3 - 1 Charleroi
11 Jan 2025 Charleroi 1 - 2 Union St. Gilloise
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Charleroi — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Cercle Brugge W 3 - 2
13 Sep A Zulte Waregem W 0 - 1
05 Sep H Union St. Gilloise L 2 - 3
29 Aug A Kortrijk W 1 - 3
22 Aug H KV Mechelen W 2 - 0

Union St. Gilloise — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Antwerp W 0 - 2
17 Sep A Plzen W 0 - 3
12 Sep H Lommel United W 5 - 0
05 Sep A Charleroi W 2 - 3
02 Sep A St. Truiden W 0 - 3

Jupiler Pro League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Union St. Gilloise
7 6 1 0 +18 19
2
Gent
7 6 1 0 +9 19
3
Club Brugge KV
7 6 0 1 +12 18
4
Charleroi
7 6 0 1 +8 18
5
Anderlecht
7 4 1 2 +2 13
6
Zulte Waregem
7 3 2 2 +3 11
7
Standard Liege
7 3 2 2 +1 11
8
KVC Westerlo
7 3 1 3 -1 10
9
SK Beveren
7 3 0 4 -4 9
10
Genk
7 2 3 2 +1 9
11
St. Truiden
7 2 2 3 0 8
12
Lommel United
7 2 2 3 -2 8
13
Antwerp
7 2 1 4 -4 7
14
RAAL La Louvière
7 1 1 5 -7 4
15
OH Leuven
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Kortrijk
7 1 0 6 -13 3
17
Cercle Brugge
7 0 3 4 -6 3
18
KV Mechelen
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Charleroi

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
30 Koné
24 Nzita
95 Keita
4 Ousou
3 Kerkhof
18 Khalifi
6 Boukamir
20 Mbemba
8 Romsaas
14 Pflücke
21 Scheidler

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 M. Koné G
3 K. Van Den Kerkhof D
4 A. Ousou D
95 C. Keita D
24 M. Nzita D
6 A. Boukamir M
18 Y. Khalifi M
14 P. Pflücke M
8 J. Romsaas M
20 F. Situmona Mbemba M
21 A. Scheidler F

Substitutes

9 A. Bojang F
19 I. Cisse M
25 A. Colassin F
1 M. Delavallée G
51 Mory Kera M
13 G. Nawata M
2 Triston Rowe D
33 N. Solheid D
44 M. Sow D

Union St. Gilloise

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: D. Hubert
12 Koffi
80 Kričfaluši
29 Sylla
5 Allister
11 Carvalho
8 Zorgane
6 Perre
27 Patris
23 Zeneli
9 Biondic
30 Florucz

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 H. Koffi G
5 K. Mac Allister D
29 M. Sylla D
80 O. Kričfaluši D
27 L. Patris M
6 K. Van de Perre M
8 A. Zorgane M
11 Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho M
23 B. Zeneli M
30 R. Florucz F
9 M. Biondic F

Substitutes

17 R. Schoofs M
14 I. Pavlić M
38 R. Mofokeng F
25 I. Hurtevent F
55 N. Havenaar D
28 D. Olaru M
21 D. De Roeve D
1 V. Chambaere G
20 D. Aquino F

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