KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege Prédiction

Jupiler Pro League Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
Prédiction IA Standard Liege ou match nul
33%
31%
36%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege : Sportiko estime que KV Mechelen a 33% de chances de s'imposer, Standard Liege 36% et le match nul 31%. Dernière mise à jour : 16 Aug 2026, 18:35.

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  • 1st Half Home or Draw 72%
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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 9'
Bernard Nguene assist: Marlon Fossey
⚽ 0–2 24'
Adnane Abid assist: Casper Nielsen
▮ 33'
Gustav Mortensen Yellow Card
Leo Fuhr Hjelde
38' ⇄
Thérence Koudou assist: Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi
45+4' ⚽ 1–2
HT 1–2
Dikeni Salifou ⇄ Benito Raman
46' ⇄
⇄ 62'
Rayan Touzghar ⇄ Ryan Fosso
⇄ 62'
Marlon Fossey ⇄ Henry Lawrence
⚽ 1–3 65'
Adnane Abid assist: Casper Nielsen
⇄ 70'
Bernard Nguene ⇄ Daan Dierckx
⇄ 70'
Alexis Trouillet ⇄ Timothé Nkada
Luc Marijnissen ⇄ Ian Struyf
75' ⇄
Dennis Praet ⇄ Bilal Bafdili
80' ⇄
Thérence Koudou ⇄ Adeshina Ayodele
80' ⇄
Myron Van Brederode Penalty
89' ⚽ 2–3
⇄ 89'
Gustav Mortensen ⇄ Tobias Mohr
▮ 90+5'
Ryan Fosso Yellow Card
▮ 90+11'
Matthieu Epolo Yellow Card
Myron Van Brederode Penalty
90+12' ⚽ 3–3
FT 3–3
KV Mechelen

Match Stats

Standard Liege
52% Ball Possession 48%
1.99 Expected Goals (xG) 1.64
18 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Goal 7
11 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 10
6 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Corner Kicks 2
4 Offsides 2
8 Fouls 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
432 Total passes 402
325 Passes accurate 286
75% Passes % 71%
-0.31 goals_prevented -0.31
KV Mechelen
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Thérence Koudou M 7.9 80' 1 – 3 36 (27%) 1
17 Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne F 7.6 59' – – – 21 (20%) 3
9 Myron Van Brederode M 7.2 97' 1 – 1 43 (35%) –
13 Nacho Miras G 6.9 97' – – – 21 (15%) –
6 Fredrik Hammar M 6.9 97' – – – 50 (34%) 5
11 Bilal Bafdili M 6.9 17' – – 2 10 (9%) –
14 Benito Raman F 6.7 52' – – – 10 (5%) –
39 Massimo Decoene D 6.6 97' – – 1 57 (43%) 3
18 Ian Struyf D 6.6 22' – – – 8 (6%) –
3 José Marsà D 6.5 97' – – 2 50 (39%) 3
26 Dennis Praet M 6.5 80' – – 1 37 (29%) 1
8 Dikeni Salifou M 6.3 45' – – – 12 (9%) –
19 Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi F 6.3 97' – 1 2 8 (6%) –
16 Adeshina Ayodele F 6.3 17' – – 1 4 (2%) –
5 Leo Fuhr Hjelde D 6.2 38' – – – 23 (16%) –
2 Luc Marijnissen D 6.2 75' – – 1 42 (30%) 1
Standard Liege
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Adnane Abid F 9.3 97' 2 – 4 32 (25%) 2
94 Casper Nielsen M 7.2 97' – 2 1 44 (25%) 6
13 Marlon Fossey D 7.0 62' – 1 – 18 (14%) 1
17 Bernard Nguene F 7.0 70' 1 – 3 16 (13%) –
22 Alexis Trouillet M 6.9 70' – – 1 46 (36%) 5
10 Dennis Eckert Ayensa F 6.7 97' – – 4 20 (12%) –
25 Ibe Hautekiet D 6.7 97' – – – 33 (27%) 1
3 Gustav Mortensen D 6.7 89' – – – 30 (24%) 6
18 Henry Lawrence D 6.7 35' – – – 14 (10%) –
7 Tobias Mohr M 6.7 8' – – – 1 (1%) –
20 Ibrahim Karamoko D 6.6 97' – – 1 35 (29%) 3
59 Timothé Nkada F 6.5 27' – – – 9 (5%) –
29 Daan Dierckx D 6.3 27' – – – 4 (2%) 1
84 Rayan Touzghar M 6.3 62' – – – 35 (29%) –
1 Matthieu Epolo G 6.2 97' – – – 44 (21%) 1
80 Ryan Fosso M 6.2 35' – – – 21 (13%) 1
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Standard Liege ou match nul
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KV Mechelen
DLLDL
Standard Liege
LLWWW
Last 3 meetings KV Mechelen · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League match, KV Mechelen faces Standard Liege. KV Mechelen has shown a solid attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Standard Liege has been more defensively oriented, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. However, Mechelen's home form has been inconsistent, with only 50% of their matches resulting in victories. Meanwhile, Standard Liege’s away performance has been sturdy, maintaining a strong defensive record. This match could hinge on Mechelen's ability to break down Standard's defense, making it crucial for them to capitalize on any goal-scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
33%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
36%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

KV Mechelen

No scorer data.

Standard Liege
D. Eckert Ayensa 4 gls
A. Abid 3 gls

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Head to Head: KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege

0 KV Mechelen Wins
2 Draws
1 Standard Liege Wins
Date Home Score Away
28 Nov 2025 KV Mechelen 0 - 1 Standard Liege
12 Sep 2025 Standard Liege 1 - 1 KV Mechelen
10 May 2025 KV Mechelen 0 - 0 Standard Liege
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

KV Mechelen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Lommel United D 0 - 0
11 Sep H Anderlecht L 0 - 1
05 Sep H KVC Westerlo L 0 - 4
29 Aug A RAAL La Louvière D 2 - 2
22 Aug A Charleroi L 2 - 0

Standard Liege — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Gent L 2 - 1
12 Sep A KVC Westerlo L 4 - 2
05 Sep H Antwerp W 1 - 0
29 Aug A OH Leuven W 1 - 2
21 Aug H RAAL La Louvière W 2 - 0

Jupiler Pro League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Union St. Gilloise
7 6 1 0 +18 19
2
Gent
7 6 1 0 +9 19
3
Club Brugge KV
7 6 0 1 +12 18
4
Charleroi
7 6 0 1 +8 18
5
Anderlecht
7 4 1 2 +2 13
6
Zulte Waregem
7 3 2 2 +3 11
7
Standard Liege
7 3 2 2 +1 11
8
KVC Westerlo
7 3 1 3 -1 10
9
SK Beveren
7 3 0 4 -4 9
10
Genk
7 2 3 2 +1 9
11
St. Truiden
7 2 2 3 0 8
12
Lommel United
7 2 2 3 -2 8
13
Antwerp
7 2 1 4 -4 7
14
RAAL La Louvière
7 1 1 5 -7 4
15
OH Leuven
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Kortrijk
7 1 0 6 -13 3
17
Cercle Brugge
7 0 3 4 -6 3
18
KV Mechelen
7 0 3 4 -9 3

KV Mechelen

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Frederic Vanderbiest
13 Miras
3 Marsà
5 Hjelde
2 Marijnissen
39 Decoene
6 Hammar
8 Salifou
9 Brederode
26 Praet
7 Koudou
19 Lohunanu-Mbasi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Nacho Miras G
39 Massimo Decoene D
2 Luc Marijnissen D
5 Leo Fuhr Hjelde D
3 José Marsà D
8 Dikeni Salifou M
6 Fredrik Hammar M
7 Thérence Koudou M
26 Dennis Praet M
9 Myron Van Brederode M
19 Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi F

Substitutes

17 Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne F
1 Ortwin De Wolf G
20 Kobe Corbanie D
18 Ian Struyf D
40 Amine Ouahabi M
11 Bilal Bafdili M
14 Benito Raman F
10 Maxim Kireev M
16 Adeshina Ayodele F

Standard Liege

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Vincent Euvrard
1 Epolo
3 Mortensen
25 Hautekiet
20 Karamoko
13 Fossey
84 Touzghar
22 Trouillet
94 Nielsen
11 Abid
10 Ayensa
17 Nguene

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Matthieu Epolo G
13 Marlon Fossey D
20 Ibrahim Karamoko D
25 Ibe Hautekiet D
3 Gustav Mortensen D
94 Casper Nielsen M
22 Alexis Trouillet M
84 Rayan Touzghar M
17 Bernard Nguene F
10 Dennis Eckert Ayensa F
11 Adnane Abid F

Substitutes

21 Lucas Pirard G
29 Daan Dierckx D
18 Henry Lawrence D
7 Tobias Mohr M
19 Sylvester Jasper M
15 Salieu Drammeh M
80 Ryan Fosso M
59 Timothé Nkada F
77 Bruny Nsimba F

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