Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Prédiction

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 9

25 Oct 2026, 18:00

Post on X

Fenerbahçe

Away

Prédiction IA Galatasaray ou match nul

48%

27%

25%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe : Sportiko estime que Galatasaray a 48% de chances de s'imposer, Fenerbahçe 25% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Galatasaray

LWLWW

Fenerbahçe

WDDLW

Last 3 meetings Galatasaray · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Süper Lig clash, Galatasaray faces Fenerbahçe in a high-stakes derby. Both teams have shown strong form, with Galatasaray securing an average of 2.1 goals per match this season, while Fenerbahçe has been solid defensively, conceding only 0.9 goals per match. The match will likely hinge on Galatasaray's ability to penetrate Fenerbahçe's defense, as their attacking prowess has been evident in recent fixtures. Conversely, Fenerbahçe will aim to exploit any gaps left by Galatasaray’s forward pushes. This match could be pivotal for both teams in the race for the league title.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fenerbahçe goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	5	4	2
1	9	13	7	3	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ Galatasaray goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Galatasaray

V. Osimhen 6 gls

Gabriel Sara 2 gls

Fenerbahçe

V. Muriqi 6 gls

M. Greenwood 4 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

27%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

27%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	5.4%	3.9%	1.5%	0.4%
1	8.5%	13.0%	6.6%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.4%	9.7%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.7%	5.4%	3.1%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.0%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Galatasaray	Draw	Fenerbahçe
Galatasaray	28.7%	4.0%	1.5%
Draw	17.7%	16.5%	9.3%
Fenerbahçe	2.9%	4.7%	14.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe

1 Galatasaray Wins

2 Draws

0 Fenerbahçe Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	Galatasaray	3 - 0	Fenerbahçe
01 Dec 2025	Fenerbahçe	1 - 1	Galatasaray
24 Feb 2025	Galatasaray	0 - 0	Fenerbahçe

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Galatasaray — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Trabzonspor	L	4 - 0
13 Sep	H Kocaelispor	W	1 - 0
09 Sep	A Sporting CP	L	3 - 1
04 Sep	A Başakşehir	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H Göztepe	W	3 - 2

Fenerbahçe — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Eyüpspor	W	8 - 0
14 Sep	A Gaziantep FK	D	0 - 0
10 Sep	H AS Roma	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Beşiktaş	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Samsunspor	W	0 - 2

Süper Lig Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Amed	6	4	1	1	15	7	+8	13
2	Galatasaray	6	4	1	1	13	10	+3	13
3	Beşiktaş	6	4	0	2	14	7	+7	12
4	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7	4	+3	12
5	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	8	6	+2	11
6	Fenerbahçe	6	3	1	2	16	6	+10	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	13	5	+8	10
8	Kasımpaşa	6	2	4	0	7	5	+2	10
9	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	7	6	+1	10
10	Gaziantep FK	6	2	2	2	7	7	0	8
11	Çorum FK	6	2	1	3	13	12	+1	7
12	Başakşehir	6	2	1	3	10	11	-1	7
13	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	6	2	1	3	5	13	-8	7
14	Erzurumspor FK	6	2	1	3	3	11	-8	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	4	8	-4	4
16	Samsunspor	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6	4
17	Göztepe	6	0	3	3	11	15	-4	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	1	0	5	2	16	-14	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.