Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor Prédiction

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 6

Post on X

Samsunspor

Away

Prédiction IA Erzurumspor FK ou match nul

37%

31%

32%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor : Sportiko estime que Erzurumspor FK a 37% de chances de s'imposer, Samsunspor 32% et le match nul 31%. Dernière mise à jour : 20 Sep 2026, 15:54.

Pronostics Premium

Premium

L'équipe à domicile marque 72%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Plus de 1,5 buts 71%

Les membres Premium avaient ces pronostics avant le coup d'envoi. Voir les sélections Premium

Timeline

Miguel Cardoso Yellow Card

18' ▮

Elisha Owusu Yellow Card

33' ▮

Miguel Cardoso

45' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Saikuba Jarju ⇄ Tanguy Coulibaly

Martín Rodríguez ⇄ Sefa Akgün

57' ⇄

▮ 64'

Samed Onur Yellow Card

⇄ 65'

Elliot Watt ⇄ Antoine Sekongo

Eren Tozlu ⇄ Gyrano Kerk

66' ⇄

Miguel Cardoso ⇄ Ibrahim Diabaté

66' ⇄

Brandon Baiye Yellow Card

77' ▮

⇄ 79'

Samed Onur ⇄ Yalçın Kayan

Orhan Ovacıklı ⇄ Festy Ebosele

81' ⇄

▮ 86'

Emre Kılınç Yellow Card

FT 1–0

Erzurumspor FK

Match Stats

Samsunspor

43% Ball Possession 57%

0.77 Expected Goals (xG) 0.40

8 Total Shots 8

2 Shots on Goal 2

4 Shots off Goal 6

2 Blocked Shots 0

6 Shots insidebox 2

2 Shots outsidebox 6

3 Corner Kicks 5

0 Offsides 2

7 Fouls 10

3 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

405 Total passes 553

334 Passes accurate 481

82% Passes % 87%

-0.66 goals_prevented -0.66

Erzurumspor FK

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Miguel Cardoso M	7.6	66'	1	–	1	27 (25%)	1
4 Amar Gerxhaliu D	7.3	89'	–	–	–	50 (44%)	2
53 Orhan Ovacıklı D	7.2	82'	–	–	–	36 (27%)	–
18 Nihad Mujakić D	6.9	89'	–	–	1	43 (39%)	2
6 Brandon Baiye M	6.9	89'	–	–	–	39 (36%)	5
42 Elisha Owusu M	6.7	89'	–	–	–	34 (29%)	–
19 Ibrahim Diabaté F	6.7	23'	–	–	2	2 (2%)	–
10 Eren Tozlu F	6.7	66'	–	–	1	22 (17%)	1
9 Gyrano Kerk F	6.7	23'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
15 Guram Giorbelidze D	6.5	89'	–	–	–	39 (32%)	1
1 Ertuğrul Taşkıran G	6.3	89'	–	–	–	34 (18%)	–
65 Martín Rodríguez M	6.3	57'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	–
8 Sefa Akgün M	6.3	32'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	–
22 Mustafa Yumlu D	6.3	89'	–	–	–	31 (26%)	1
2 Festy Ebosele D	—	7'	–	–	–	1	–

Samsunspor

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Yalçın Kayan M	7.2	10'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
5 Celil Yüksel M	6.9	89'	–	–	2	51 (41%)	–
16 Strahinja Eraković D	6.9	89'	–	–	–	74 (70%)	1
34 Gabriele Guarino D	6.9	89'	–	–	1	74 (70%)	2
4 Elliot Watt M	6.7	65'	–	–	–	65 (58%)	–
10 Tanguy Coulibaly F	6.7	44'	–	–	–	25 (23%)	1
8 Samed Onur M	6.6	79'	–	–	2	62 (54%)	1
30 Saikuba Jarju F	6.5	45'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
1 Okan Kocuk G	6.3	89'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	–
42 Antoine Sekongo M	6.3	24'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
2 Josafat Mendes D	6.2	89'	–	–	1	33 (29%)	2
18 Mohamed Bayo F	6.2	89'	–	–	1	14 (10%)	–
11 Emre Kılınç F	6.2	89'	–	–	–	45 (34%)	–
17 Logi Tomasson D	6.0	89'	–	–	1	55 (46%)	–

Premium

Accéder à l'analyse complète de l'IA pour Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor

Tous les 70+ marchés de probabilité
Rapport de match — Analyse approfondie IA
Avantage Analytique — modèle vs marché
Types de sélections que vous choisissez

Passer à Premium

Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Erzurumspor FK ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Erzurumspor FK

WLWDL

Samsunspor

LLLLW

Match summary

In the upcoming Süper Lig match, Erzurumspor FK will face Samsunspor. Erzurumspor has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in their last five encounters, while Samsunspor's attack has shown promise, scoring 8 goals in the same period. The key matchup will be Erzurumspor's defense against Samsunspor's forward line, which includes a potent striker. Given the current form, both teams will be eager for points, making this a crucial fixture in their campaigns.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Samsunspor goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	6	2	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Erzurumspor FK goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Pourquoi cette sélection ? · Premium Analyse approfondie IA · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

32%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

32%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	8.6%	6.1%	2.4%	0.7%
1	9.4%	14.7%	7.6%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.0%	8.2%	4.8%	1.9%	0.6%
3	2.9%	3.5%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Erzurumspor FK	Draw	Samsunspor
Erzurumspor FK	23.8%	5.3%	2.2%
Draw	12.7%	19.8%	14.1%
Samsunspor	1.4%	3.6%	17.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Erzurumspor FK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Samsunspor	W	1 - 0
11 Sep	A Beşiktaş	L	3 - 0
05 Sep	H Konyaspor	W	1 - 0
28 Aug	A Gençlerbirliği S.K.	D	1 - 1
21 Aug	H Galatasaray	L	0 - 4

Samsunspor — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Erzurumspor FK	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Çorum FK	L	1 - 5
06 Sep	A Kocaelispor	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Fenerbahçe	L	0 - 2
22 Aug	A Rizespor	W	0 - 2

Süper Lig Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Amed	6	4	1	1	15	7	+8	13
2	Galatasaray	6	4	1	1	13	10	+3	13
3	Beşiktaş	6	4	0	2	14	7	+7	12
4	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7	4	+3	12
5	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	8	6	+2	11
6	Fenerbahçe	6	3	1	2	16	6	+10	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	13	5	+8	10
8	Kasımpaşa	6	2	4	0	7	5	+2	10
9	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	7	6	+1	10
10	Gaziantep FK	6	2	2	2	7	7	0	8
11	Çorum FK	6	2	1	3	13	12	+1	7
12	Başakşehir	6	2	1	3	10	11	-1	7
13	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	6	2	1	3	5	13	-8	7
14	Erzurumspor FK	6	2	1	3	3	11	-8	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	4	8	-4	4
16	Samsunspor	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6	4
17	Göztepe	6	0	3	3	11	15	-4	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	1	0	5	2	16	-14	3

Samsunspor

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Thorsten Fink

1 Kocuk

17 Tomasson

34 Guarino

16 Eraković

2 Mendes

4 Watt

5 Yüksel

11 Kılınç

8 Onur

30 Jarju

18 Bayo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Okan Kocuk	G
2	Josafat Mendes	D
16	Strahinja Eraković	D
34	Gabriele Guarino	D
17	Logi Tomasson	D
5	Celil Yüksel	M
4	Elliot Watt	M
30	Saikuba Jarju	M
8	Samed Onur	M
11	Emre Kılınç	M
18	Mohamed Bayo	F

Substitutes

25	Bilal Bayazit	G
13	Efe Yiğit Üstün	G
22	Yunus Emre Çift	D
3	Igor Drapiński	D
23	Enes Albak	D
29	Haluk Mustafa Tan	D
20	Yalçın Kayan	M
10	Tanguy Coulibaly	F
42	Antoine Sekongo	M

Erzurumspor FK

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Serkan Ozbalta

1 Taşkıran

15 Giorbelidze

18 Mujakić

22 Yumlu

4 Gerxhaliu

53 Ovacıklı

20 Cardoso

6 Baiye

42 Owusu

65 Rodríguez

10 Tozlu

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ertuğrul Taşkıran	G
53	Orhan Ovacıklı	D
4	Amar Gerxhaliu	D
22	Mustafa Yumlu	D
18	Nihad Mujakić	D
15	Guram Giorbelidze	D
65	Martín Rodríguez	M
42	Elisha Owusu	M
6	Brandon Baiye	M
20	Miguel Cardoso	M
10	Eren Tozlu	F

Substitutes

31	Matija Orbanić	G
2	Festy Ebosele	D
3	Yakup Kırtay	D
23	Cengizhan Bayrak	D
77	Lawrence Agyekum	M
99	Mustafa Fettahoglu	F
8	Sefa Akgün	M
90	Nariman Akhundzade	F
19	Ibrahim Diabaté	F
9	Gyrano Kerk	F