Moreirense vs Vitória SC Prédiction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24

28 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Vitória SC

Away

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Vitória SC

15%

27%

58%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Moreirense vs Vitória SC : Sportiko estime que Moreirense a 15% de chances de s'imposer, Vitória SC 58% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Moreirense

DWLLW

Vitória SC

DLDLW

Last 3 meetings Moreirense · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Moreirense will face Guimarães. Moreirense has struggled with consistency this season, currently positioned in the lower half of the table, while Guimarães has demonstrated stronger form, competing for European qualification. Key players to watch include Moreirense's top scorer, who will be crucial in breaking down Guimarães' defense, which has shown resilience but can be vulnerable against pace. The match will likely hinge on Moreirense's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and Guimarães' efficiency in transition.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

15%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

58%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vitória SC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	13	12	7	3	1
1	5	13	10	5	2	1
2	3	4	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Moreirense goals · most likely 0–1 (13.0%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

58%

Draw

27%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

58%

Draw

27%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

79% Away (No Draw) 21% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.9%	13.0%	12.4%	7.0%	3.0%
1	5.1%	12.6%	9.5%	5.4%	2.3%
2	2.5%	4.3%	3.7%	2.1%	0.9%
3	0.6%	1.1%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Moreirense	Draw	Vitória SC
Moreirense	8.5%	3.6%	2.2%
Draw	6.5%	17.5%	20.3%
Vitória SC	0.9%	3.5%	37.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Moreirense vs Vitória SC

1 Moreirense Wins

1 Draws

1 Vitória SC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2026	Vitória SC	1 - 1	Moreirense
30 Jan 2026	Vitória SC	1 - 0	Moreirense
23 Aug 2025	Moreirense	2 - 0	Vitória SC

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Maritimo	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 4
04 Sep	A FC Porto	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Casa Pia	W	0 - 1

Vitória SC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Moreirense	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Academico Viseu	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Casa Pia	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
23 Aug	H Nacional	W	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.