Casa Pia vs Maritimo Prédiction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

17 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Maritimo

Away

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Maritimo

15%

28%

57%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Casa Pia vs Maritimo : Sportiko estime que Casa Pia a 15% de chances de s'imposer, Maritimo 57% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Casa Pia

WLDLL

Maritimo

DLLLD

Last 3 meetings Casa Pia · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Casa Pia will host Maritimo. Casa Pia has shown solid form this season, particularly at home, where they have a strong defensive record, conceding only 10 goals in 10 matches. Maritimo, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, with a poor away record and a high goals-against ratio. The match is set to be pivotal for both sides, as Casa Pia aims to solidify their mid-table position, while Maritimo fights to escape the relegation zone. Expect a tactical battle with Casa Pia likely focusing on solidifying their defense and exploiting counter-attacking opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Maritimo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	15	13	7	3	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	2	4	3	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Casa Pia goals · most likely 0–1 (14.9%)

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

28%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

28%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

80% Away (No Draw) 20% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	14.9%	13.0%	6.9%	2.7%
1	5.6%	12.8%	9.0%	4.8%	1.9%
2	2.5%	3.9%	3.1%	1.6%	0.7%
3	0.6%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Casa Pia	Draw	Maritimo
Casa Pia	8.0%	3.4%	1.9%
Draw	6.6%	19.1%	20.5%
Maritimo	0.8%	3.4%	36.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

50%

35%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Casa Pia vs Maritimo

2 Casa Pia Wins

0 Draws

1 Maritimo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Aug 2026	Maritimo	1 - 0	Casa Pia
19 Mar 2023	Casa Pia	2 - 0	Maritimo
03 Oct 2022	Maritimo	1 - 2	Casa Pia

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Estoril	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Porto	L	1 - 4
06 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Moreirense	L	0 - 1
24 Aug	A GIL Vicente	L	2 - 0

Maritimo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A GIL Vicente	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	A Moreirense	L	3 - 1
05 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 3
29 Aug	A Arouca	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Academico Viseu	D	2 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.