Estrela vs Benfica Prédiction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 11

08 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Benfica

Away

Prédiction IA Estrela ou match nul

43%

30%

27%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Estrela vs Benfica : Sportiko estime que Estrela a 43% de chances de s'imposer, Benfica 27% et le match nul 30%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Estrela

LDWDW

Benfica

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings Estrela · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Estrela faces Benfica, a team known for its attacking prowess and tactical discipline. Benfica currently boasts a strong offensive record, averaging over 2 goals per match this season. Estrela, while competitive, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. This matchup will likely hinge on Benfica's ability to exploit defensive weaknesses and maintain possession, while Estrela will need to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities to secure a positive result. Overall, Benfica is favored based on current form and statistical performance.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Benfica goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	8	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Estrela goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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Players in form

Estrela

A. Marcus 4 gls

L. Antonetti 4 gls

I. Stoica 4 gls

Benfica

V. Pavlidis 8 gls

G. Prestianni 5 gls

L. Barreiro 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

30%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

30%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	7.1%	4.8%	1.7%	0.5%
1	9.9%	14.2%	6.9%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.3%	9.0%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.0%	4.3%	2.4%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estrela	Draw	Benfica
Estrela	26.4%	4.4%	1.6%
Draw	16.0%	18.8%	10.8%
Benfica	2.1%	4.3%	15.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estrela vs Benfica

0 Estrela Wins

0 Draws

3 Benfica Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Jan 2026	Benfica	4 - 0	Estrela
16 Aug 2025	Estrela	0 - 1	Benfica
02 Feb 2025	Estrela	2 - 3	Benfica

Voir les 6 confrontations — Premium

Estrela — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Academico Viseu	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Rio Ave	D	3 - 3
10 Sep	H SC Braga	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Famalicao	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Nacional	W	2 - 3

Benfica — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Porto	L	3 - 1
16 Sep	A AC Milan	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H GIL Vicente	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	A Moreirense	W	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Maritimo	W	0 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.